BMIE Market 11741
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,667 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 27,655 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,959 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $144,346 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,643 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $536,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,861 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11741 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -2.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +52.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +123.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 31–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11741. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 89.5 | 89 | 40% | +35.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58.0 | 58 | 35% | +20.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 51.2 | 51 | 25% | +12.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,667 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 144,346 | 95 | 40% | +38.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,004 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.6 | 22 | 35% | +7.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.3 | 55 | 25% | +13.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,667 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 144,346 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 5.6 | 62 | 50% | +31.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.6 | 22 | 30% | +6.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 52 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (76)
By cuisine
Pizza 9 · Bakery 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 6 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Italian 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Greek 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Peruvian 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Bar 12 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Brewery / taproom 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Café 3 · Food truck 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 W. Main St. Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 700 Patchogue Holbrook Rd | open | |
| 1940's Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1337 Lincoln Ave #1 | open | |
| Aegean Italian & Greek Pizzeria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5801 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Ai Foods Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 315 Main St Ste N | open | |
| Asian Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 380 Furrows Rd | open |
| Bagel Brothers | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 315 Main St | open |
| Bagel Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 480 Patchogue-Holbrook Rd | open |
| Bagel Patch | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 5721 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 411 Furrows Rd | open |
| Best Bagels In Town | Bakery | Bakery | 480 Patchogue Holbrook Rd Unit 19 | open |
| Bite Station | Food truck | Halal / kosher | 960 Main St | open |
| Blissful Bites & Co. | Dessert | Dessert | open | |
| Buffin Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | open | |
| Caribeno | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1231 Grundy Ave | open |
| Carlo's Pizza Oven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 480 Patchogue Holbrook Rd Unit 23 | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 480 Patchogue-Holbrook Rd | open |
| China 4 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 315 Main St | open |
| Davinci's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1191 Grundy Ave | open |
| Dolci Momenti Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 315 Main St Ste j | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 390 Furrows Rd | open |
| Freedom Brewing Corp. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 921 Lincoln Ave | open | |
| Gator Grill Holbrook ny | Bar · Casual dining | 1083 Main St | open | |
| Golden Chicken Ii Peruvian Cuisine Holbrook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 310 Main St | open |
| Golden chicken II To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Chicken / wings | 310 Main St | open |
| Greek Islands Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 315 Main St Ste A | open |
| Grillin Villain | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck | Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 4444 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Habanero's Tex-Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 310 Main St | open |
| Hecker Video Transfer Service | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 321 Dante Ct Ste 3 | open | |
| Holbrook Bagel Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 1073 Main St | open |
| Holbrook Diner | Casual dining | American · Greek | 980 Main St | open |
| Holbrook Market Place & Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 248 Union Ave | open |
| Holbrook's Backporch | Bar | 1259 Grundy Ave | open | |
| Hummus Mediterranean Holbrook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 1066 Main St | open |
| Izumi Sushi and Hibachi Steak house | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · American · Sushi · Steakhouse | 5745 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| J & B Restaurant Partners Top Flight Foods L.l.c | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4250 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| J&b Restaurant Partners Family Dining Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4250 Veterans Memorial Hwy Ste 305 | open | |
| Joe's Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 346 Union Ave | open |
| Jolly Mike LLC Ice Cream & Sno Cones | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 9 | open |
| Karvers Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 480 Main St | open |
| Limitless Venture Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 836 Grundy Ave | open | |
| Lombardi’s Congelati Frozen Yogurt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1051 Main St | open | |
| Lotus Dynasty Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 338 Union Ave | open |
| Luka's Cafe & Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1361 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Mama's Pizza, Pasta & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1057 Main St | open |
| Mamma Lombardi's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 400 Furrows Rd | open |
| Mei Wei | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | Grundy Ave. | open |
| Monarca Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 350 Union Ave | open | |
| New Century Kitchen New Century FS | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chinese | 1079 Main St | open |
| Nonna's Cafe & Catering Deli | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 1150 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 325 Main St | open |
| Oven Lovin Hero's & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 971 Main St | open |
| Pancake Cottage | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5801 Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 411 Furrows Rd | open |
| Pepperoni Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 480 Patchogue Holbrook Rd Unit 23 | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 5991 Expressway Dr N | open | |
| Prohibition Tap Room & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4444 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Ralph's Famous Italian Ices and Ice Cream | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 1191 Grundy Ave | open |
| Rams Pub | Bar | 236 Union Ave | open | |
| Runway Deli | Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1361 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Saint James Brewery | Brewery / taproom | 929 Lincoln Ave Ste 11 | open | |
| Senor Taco Mexican Grill and Bar Senor Taco Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 480 Patchogue Holbrook Rd | open |
| Shah's Halal Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 975 Main St | open |
| Spider Bite Beer Co | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 920 Lincoln Ave #5 | open | |
| SquareHead Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 405 High St | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5801 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 315 Main St | open |
| Sun Vet Shake Shack | Quick service | 5801 Sunrise Hwy, Suite 220 | open | |
| The Irish Times Pub | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 975 Main St | open |
| The Original Mama's Catering Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1057 Main St | open | |
| The Rolling Joint Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 420 High St | open | |
| Trio Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | American | 700 Patchogue Holbrook Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches | 4250 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Wing Shun Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 480 Patchogue Holbrook Rd Unit 10 | open |
| YoGoMania | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies | 315 Main St | open |
| Kas Deli Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 310 Main St | closed |
| Toast Coffeehouse Express Cafe | Café | Coffee | 4250 Veterans Memorial Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 29 | 26 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 29 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 29 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 38 | 33 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 40 | 34 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 36 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 36 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 47 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 47 | 41 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 47 | 41 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 43 | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 44 | 39 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 40 | 36 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 37 | 12 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 36 | 12 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 44 | 40 | 14 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 38 | 12 | 17 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |