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BMIE Market 11715

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)3,936
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±572 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households1,658
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±234 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count4,752
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units1,752
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income$163,125
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,714 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age43.3
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent$2,551
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value$600,100
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area1.7 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants15
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11715
Restaurants per 10,000 residents16.8
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year+15.4%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year+7.1%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year+50.0%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file+200.0%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 202811 (range 8–15)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score64 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score73 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score52 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score65 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score73.27340%+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score52.35235%+18.3
Market Momentum Score65.16525%+16.3
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)3,9365740%+22.6
Median household income (ACS)163,1259740%+38.9
Households (ACS)1,6585820%+11.6
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth7.15135%+18.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)38.11425%+3.6
Population (ACS)3,9365720%+11.3
Median household income (ACS)163,1259720%+19.5
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth15.47350%+36.7
10-year restaurant growth7.15130%+15.4
20-year restaurant growth506520%+13.0
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 11 · Coffee 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Dessert 2 · Greek 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
Alma D'OroRestaurant (service type not stated)American59 Montauk Hwyopen
Amara RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)American · Greek7 Montauk Hwyopen
Atlantic Avenue DeliSpecialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick serviceSandwiches18 Weeks Stopen
Beach Side SweetsDessertIce cream / frozen desserts · Dessert10 Corey Aveopen
Beyond PhillyRestaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches168 Montauk Hwyopen
Bistro 25 EastRestaurant (service type not stated)American154 Montauk Hwyopen
Blue Point DinerCasual diningAmerican145 Montauk Hwyopen
Bodhi's Beach ShackBar · Restaurant (service type not stated)American1 Corey Aveopen
Buoy 35BarSeafood1 Curtis Rdopen
Burger KingRestaurant (service type not stated)32 Montauk Hwyopen
Cavanaugh'sBar · Casual diningBritish / Irish pub food255 Blue Point Aveopen
Christopher's PizzeriaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza33 Montauk Hwyopen
Dunkin'Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · BakeryCoffee · Dessert33 Montauk Hwy, Ste Dopen
Firehouse DeliSpecialty food shop · Quick serviceSandwiches204 Blue Point Aveopen
Flo's Luncheonette Flo's LuncheonetteRestaurant (service type not stated)American · Seafood · Burgers302 Middle Rdopen
Gyro IsllandRestaurant (service type not stated)Greek55 Montauk Hwyopen
Hong Kong Chinese RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese · Asian9 Montauk Hwyopen
Hot Chicken MamaRestaurant (service type not stated)Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American168 Montauk Hwyopen
Jt's On The BayRestaurant (service type not stated)Seafood1 Curtis Rdopen
Jules ice cream and cereal barRestaurant (service type not stated)166 Montauk Hwyopen
Ladder Company 204 IncRestaurant (service type not stated)204 Blue Point Aveopen
Mademoiselle in the LibraryCoffee shopCoffeeopen
McDonald's McDonald'sQuick service32 Montauk Hwyopen
Mmbc Restaurant Group Llc.Restaurant (service type not stated)154 Montauk Hwyopen
Sage CaféCafé · BarCoffee · Breakfast · American4 Montauk Hwyopen
Savannah Jean's BBQRestaurant (service type not stated)BBQ · Americanopen
scals trattoriaRestaurant (service type not stated)7 Montauk Hwyopen
Stella Trattoria & BarRestaurant (service type not stated) · BarItalian7 Montauk Hwyopen
T. C. Jr. IncRestaurant (service type not stated)255 Blue Point Aveopen
The Corey CreekRestaurant (service type not stated) · BarAmerican154 Montauk Hwyopen
The Mad Batter Tea Room & CafeJuice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · BakeryTea / bubble tea · BakeryBlue Point NY, 4 Montauk Hwyopen
Tico's EmpanadasRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningLatin American (other) · American55 Montauk Hwyopen
Sprinkles Ice Cream Parlor IncDessertIce cream / frozen desserts168 Montauk Hwyclosed
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
19941055SIC1987
1995853SIC1987
19961147SIC1987
19971165SIC1987
1998129543NAICS1997
1999117434NAICS1997
2000106424NAICS1997
2001106334NAICS1997
2002974212NAICS1997
200312107212NAICS2002
20041297112NAICS2002
20051286113NAICS2002
20061196212NAICS2002
20071111641NAICS2002
20081096211NAICS2007
2009986111NAICS2007
20101086111NAICS2007
201113128221NAICS2007
20121515933NAICS2012
20131414833NAICS2012
20141515843NAICS2012
20151313742NAICS2012
201615147521NAICS2012
2017141457NAICS2017
2018141356NAICS2017
2019131256NAICS2017
2020111155NAICS2017
20219953NAICS2017
2022131366NAICS2022
2023151577NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11715. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
117051.2 mi232023
117822.6 mi482023
117722.6 mi1402023
117413.5 mi382023
117963.6 mi32023
117424.1 mi172023
117694.9 mi262023
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.