BMIE Market 11705
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,284 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±789 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,866 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,030 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $164,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,670 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,306 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±289 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $646,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,513 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11705 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +4.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -4.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +91.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +228.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 15–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11705. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.4 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.2 | 46 | 35% | +16.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 52.7 | 53 | 25% | +13.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,284 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 164,300 | 97 | 40% | +39.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,866 | 66 | 20% | +13.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.2 | 21 | 35% | +7.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 27.8 | 23 | 25% | +5.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,284 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 164,300 | 97 | 20% | +19.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 61 | 50% | +30.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.2 | 21 | 30% | +6.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 91.7 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 6 · Italian 4 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · American 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bakery 7 · Specialty food shop 5 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avocados Mexican-American Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 955 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Bayport Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 600 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Bayport House Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 291 Bayport Ave | open | |
| Berry Fresh | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 897 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 776 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Dandg Of Long Island 32002 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 863 Montauk Hwy # 865 | open | |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 640 Montauk Hwy Hess | open |
| Friendly Bagels of Bayport | Other | Sandwiches | 871 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Furci's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 271 Snedecor Ave | open |
| Great South Bay Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 940 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Grey Horse Tavern | Bar | 291 Bayport Ave | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 869 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Jt's Farmhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 291 Bayport Ave | open | |
| La Pizzetta Gourmet Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 578 Middle Rd | open |
| Laredo Taco Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 750 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Le Soir | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 825 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mizu Ken Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 883 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Momo's Too Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 667 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Mondello Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 771 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Neighborhood Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 756 Montauk Hwy | open |
| People's Pub Bayport | Bar · Casual dining | 291 Bayport Ave | open | |
| Pollyanna's Pastry Company | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 87 Elm St | open |
| Salsa Salsa in Bayport | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 893 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Satelite Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 799 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 911 Montauk Hwy | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 869 Montauk Hwy | open |
| TD's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 750 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Thats Amore Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | Montauk highway | open |
| The Bistro Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 881 Montauk Hwy | open |
| The Pizzeria of Bayport The Pizzeria | Catering | Pizza · Italian | 606 Montauk Hwy | open |
| The Sweet Escape Bakery Inc. | Bakery | Bakery | 771 Montauk Hwy | open |
| The Whale Tea and Ramen | Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery | Japanese · Tea / bubble tea · Bakery | 771 Montauk Hwy Unit 11 | open |
| Wenner Bread | Bakery | Bakery | 33 Rajon Rd | open |
| Yum May Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 895 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Yum May May Kitchen Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 895 Montauk Hwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 16 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 29 | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 24 | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 24 | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |