BMIE Market 11716
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 9,659 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±994 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,340 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±259 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,700 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,925 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $128,889 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,572 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $559,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,984 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11716 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 25.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +34.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +79.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +72.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +152.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 49 (range 42–55) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11716. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.9 | 79 | 40% | +31.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.6 | 67 | 35% | +23.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 84.7 | 85 | 25% | +21.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 9,659 | 70 | 40% | +28.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,889 | 93 | 40% | +37.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,340 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 79.2 | 89 | 35% | +31.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 44.5 | 11 | 25% | +2.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 9,659 | 70 | 20% | +14.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,889 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 34.4 | 86 | 50% | +43.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 79.2 | 89 | 30% | +26.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 72 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (92)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 16 · Bakery 15 · Coffee 13 · Dessert 8 · American 7 · Pizza 7 · Mexican 5 · Italian 4 · Burgers 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 21 · Bakery 18 · Bar 12 · Specialty food shop 11 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 7 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940 Brewing Co LLC | Brewery / taproom | 1527 Lakeland Ave | open | |
| 21 Main North Beach Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 640 Johnson Ave Ste 103 | open | |
| Adana Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 4611 Sunrise Hwy North Service Rd | open |
| Adri & Gaby's Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3326 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Agouri Rest. Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3760 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Airport Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 3760 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Alm Systems And Controls, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 840 Lincoln Ave Ste 13 | open | |
| American Chocolate Mould Company | Dessert | Dessert | 1401 Church St Ste 5 | open |
| Anthony's Coal Fired Pizza & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4180 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3870 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Avni Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3460 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Avocados Mexican-American Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 1360 Lakeland Ave | open |
| Axe Island | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1626 Locust Ave | open |
| B & B Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 4641 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Barracks | Bar | 1132 Smithtown Ave | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery | 4597 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 3072 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Bob's Bakery Distributors | Bakery | Bakery | 1525 Ocean Ave | open |
| Bohemia's Little Bagel Shop | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1097 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Buona Fortuna Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 876 Church St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5141 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| California Cactus Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3320 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Canz Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 4780 Sunrise Hwy South Service Rd | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 5163 Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Chico's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3326 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Chicos Tex Mex Bohemia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1093 smithtown Ave | open |
| Chimney Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 80 Orville Dr | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5181 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Cipollino Pizzeria and Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1360 Lakeland Ave | open |
| Constance Food Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 545 Johnson Ave | open | |
| Cooky's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 1450 Church St | open |
| Crossroads Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | Lakeland Ave | open |
| Crust Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1360 Lakeland Ave | open |
| Drake Bakeries | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 3030 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1573 Lakeland Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 4541 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 3072 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Eastern Coffee Products | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 360 Central Ave | open |
| Eatcetera Deli Cafe | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 1120 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Edesia Restaurant and Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1360 Lakeland Ave Ste A1 | open |
| Eleanor's piano lounge | Bar | 4130 Sunrise Hey | open | |
| Eleanors Lounge | Bar | 4103 Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Glenn Wayne Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1800 Artic Ave | open |
| Go Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4611 Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Goldent Inc | Bakery | Bakery | 45 Knickerbocker Ave | open |
| Hero Express | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1574 Lakeland Ave | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1500 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Joes Sirloin Burger Grill Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1400 Lakeland Ave | open | |
| Jonathan Lord Cheesecakes & Desserts | Bakery | Bakery | 87 Carlough Rd | open |
| Khloe's Caribbean Spice (formerly Lucky Spice Grill) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 1460 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Kings Coast Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 55 Carlough Rd | open |
| Knockouts | Bar | 3328 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Kona Ice of Patchogue/Medford | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 125 Wilbur Pl | open |
| La Roma Pastry Shop | Dessert | Dessert | 1611 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Local Burger - Bohemia - Restaurant and Bar Local Burger - Bay Shore | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1400 Lakeland Ave | open |
| Locust Avenue Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1090 Locust Ave | open |
| Long Island Cigar | Bar | 4775 Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3850 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| MJ's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1460 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Murtha's Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 4777 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| No Gluten Kneaded | Bakery | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1089 Smithtown Ave | open |
| North Bohemia | Café · Quick service | Coffee | 4525 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 5191 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Papa's Country Porch | Bakery | Bakery | 1611 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 4740 Sunrise Highway | open | |
| Plate Restaurant Incorporated | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4780 Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Red Apple Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3318 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Round 2 Pub | Bar | 3328 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Sal's Deli & Pizza | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 125 Wilbur Pl | open |
| Saviano's Italian Restaurant and Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 4645 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Social Juice Media | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 600 Johnson Ave Ste C11 | open |
| Sophies Lakeland Pizzeria & Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1460 Smithtown Ave | open |
| St James Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1255 Lakeland Ave | open | |
| St. George Deli & Catering Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 125 Wilbur Pl Ste 14 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4180 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3365 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4577 Sunrise Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3460 Veterans Memorial Hwy Suite 4 & 5 | open |
| Talon Claw Cookware | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 385 Central Ave | open |
| The Foodie Shack Eaterie | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Breakfast · Coffee | 3010 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| The Garage Pit Stop Bohemia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3010 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open | |
| The Gourmet Bagel Co | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1360 Lakeland Ave | open |
| The Pudding Lady NY | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Cajun, Creole, Southern | … | open |
| The Yum Spot | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1275 Lakeland Ave | open | |
| Tijuana grill bohemia | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | open | |
| Tonnam Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1126 Smithtown Ave | open |
| Tribute Baking Co | Bakery | Bakery | 10 Keyland Ct | open |
| Watsons Public House | Bar · Casual dining | 876 Church St | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3450 Veterans Memorial Hwy | open |
| Yoyo Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | open | |
| Zac & Mimis Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4611 Sunrise Hwy | open | |
| Kelly's Ale House | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 4777 Sunrise Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 24 | 17 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 14 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 18 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 28 | 23 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 46 | 37 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 35 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 37 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 42 | 34 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 32 | 10 | 18 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 31 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 45 | 36 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 33 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 38 | 7 | 23 | 8 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 39 | 6 | 26 | 7 | 6 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 54 | 43 | 6 | 30 | 7 | 6 | NAICS2022 |