BMIE Market 11755
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,144 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,085 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,387 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,336 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $119,364 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,157 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $601,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,680 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11755 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 23.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -2.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +54.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 31–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11755. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.7 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.0 | 46 | 35% | +16.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 28.2 | 28 | 25% | +7.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,144 | 74 | 40% | +29.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,364 | 90 | 40% | +36.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,085 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.9 | 22 | 35% | +7.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 28 | 22 | 25% | +5.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,144 | 74 | 20% | +14.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,364 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5.6 | 22 | 50% | +11.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.9 | 22 | 30% | +6.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 30.8 | 52 | 20% | +10.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (77)
By cuisine
American 13 · Coffee 11 · Asian 7 · Bakery 7 · Japanese 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Italian 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · Brazilian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Café 10 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4698 Food Services Corp.-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 141 Alexander Ave | open | |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 3145 Middle Country Road | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Quick service · Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Bakery | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Auntie Anne's | Bakery | Bakery | Space #106 | open |
| Bagelati Bagelati | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2815 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Bahama Breeze | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 612 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Bloom & Brew | Cafe, Florist, Dessert & Ice Cream Shop | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 3205 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Bobby's Burger Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 355 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| California Pizza Kitchen at Smith Haven Mall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 618 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Quick service · Other | Sandwiches · American | 313 Smith Haven Mall Ste VC02 | open |
| China Max-chicken Now | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 330 Smith Haven Mall | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2093 Smith Haven Plz | open |
| Cinnabon Cinnabon | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | Route 25 & NY-347 Site A22 | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2760 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Ford's Garage Ford's Garage | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 355 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| G.e.a. Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2854 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Go2far International, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3076 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Gong Cha Gong Cha | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Good Steer | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2810 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Häagen-Dazs Häagen-Dazs | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Halal Lemongrass Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Halal / kosher · Asian | 2840 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Hey Friday | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 141 Alexander Ave | open |
| JINYA Ramen Bar - Lake Grove JINYA Ramen Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 3176 Middle Country Rd | open |
| John Harvard's Brew House | Bar | 2093 Smith Haven Plz | open | |
| K60 Japanese Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 2811 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Kura Revolving Sushi Bar Kura Revolving Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 619 Smith Haven Mall Ste P01A | open |
| L'Artigiano | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| La Grova Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 2799 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Läderach Läderach NA | Dessert | Dessert | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Lake Grove Sandwich | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Coffee shop · Café | Sandwiches · Pizza · Coffee | 120 New Moriches Road | open |
| Lake Grove Delicatessen Lake Grove Village Hall | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1003 Hawkins Ave | open |
| Lake Grove Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 2211 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Le Vin Wine Bar and Tapas | Bar | 356 Smith Haven Mall | open | |
| Little Tokyo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Los Amigos Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 313 Burr Ln | open |
| Mayras Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 781 Hawkins Ave | open |
| Melt Shop | Other | Sandwiches | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Miller's Ale House Miller's Ale House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | American | 4000 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Mito Mito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 476 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Nassau Suffolk Music Lessons, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1001 Hawkins Ave Unit 3 | open | |
| Nathan's Famous | Quick service | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open | |
| Nissen Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2475 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Nrgize NrGize Lifestyle Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 110 New Moriches Rd | open |
| P.f. Chang's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 476 Smith Haven Mall | open | |
| Panda Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 330 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery | 141 Alexander Ave | open |
| R & R Of Smith Haven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 334 Smith Haven Mall | open | |
| Returndays Electronics Store | Café | Coffee | 2 Equine Ln | open |
| Richard F. Tuting, Jr. Cpa Pc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2780 Middle Country Rd Ste 211 | open | |
| Rockefellers Kitchen & Cocktails | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2811 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Ruth's Chris Steak House Ruth's Chris Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 472 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Sarku Japan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 336 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Sarno Scally Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2811 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Sbarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 313 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Shake Shack Shake Shack | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2093 Smith Haven Plz | open |
| Spd Diner Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2211 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 528 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Surf City Squeeze | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 332 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service | Middle Country Rd # 4098 | open | |
| Teavana | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 313 Smith Haven Mall # C-12 | open |
| Texas de Brazil Texas de Brazil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Brazilian · Steakhouse · Latin American (other) | 201 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| TGI Fridays | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 328 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| The Cheesecake Factory The Cheesecake Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 610 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| The Pizzeria of Lake Grove The Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 342 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 127 Alexander Ave | open |
| Ugly Dumpling Ugly Dumpling Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 328 Smith Haven Mall | open |
| Umberto's of Lake Grove | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 111 Alexander Ave | open |
| Uncle Joe's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2854 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Urban Cafe Urban Air Adventure Park - Laredo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3147 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Village Idiot Pub | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 2811 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Wild Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai · Chinese | 2801 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Wuyang Casa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2880 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Zan's Jewish Deli, Smith Haven Mall | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | open | |
| Zan's Kosher Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 135 Alexander Ave | open |
| Dunkin' | Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 2815 Middle Country Rd | closed |
| Milky Ways Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 313 Smith Haven Mall | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 23 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 21 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 30 | 28 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 36 | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 38 | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 42 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 44 | 39 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 43 | 39 | 19 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 36 | 17 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 39 | 18 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 38 | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |