BMIE Market 11790
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,074 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,455 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±317 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,511 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,034 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $171,133 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,901 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 22.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $624,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,443 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 58 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11790 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +11.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +41.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +107.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +141.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 66 (range 63–69) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11790. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.5 | 87 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.0 | 69 | 35% | +24.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 75.1 | 75 | 25% | +18.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,074 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 171,133 | 98 | 40% | +39.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,455 | 73 | 20% | +14.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 41.5 | 78 | 35% | +27.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 27.5 | 23 | 25% | +5.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,074 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 171,133 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 11.5 | 69 | 50% | +34.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 41.5 | 78 | 30% | +23.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 107.1 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (93)
By cuisine
Asian 17 · American 15 · Coffee 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 7 · Japanese 7 · Bakery 6 · Chinese 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Noodles / ramen / pho 6 · Tea / bubble tea 6 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Sushi 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Seafood 2 · Vietnamese 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Korean 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 12 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 8 · Bakery 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1089 Noodle House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1089 N Country Rd | open |
| 16 Round Wood Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1113 N Country Rd Unit 4d | open |
| Arnor Crepes Stony Brook | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Breakfast · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 1113 N Country Rd | open |
| Bambu Dessert Drinks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Asian | 2350 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 1085 N Country Rd | open |
| Brew Cheese, Stony Brook | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 127 Main St | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2488 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Burgerology Stony Brook Burgerology Long Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2302 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Cabo Fresh - Stony Brook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2182 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Cake Fairyland | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Bakery · Tea / bubble tea · Dessert | 1320 Stony Brook Rd Bldg c | open |
| Cataffo’s Pizza Of Stony Brook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1320 Stony Brook Rd | open | |
| China Station 老北方麵食館 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1015 NY-25A | open |
| Chocolate Works | Dessert | Dessert | 143 Main St | open |
| Chocology | Dessert | Dessert | 1099 N Country Rd | open |
| Country House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1175 N Country Rd | open |
| Crazy Beans Crazy Beans Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 97 Main St | open |
| DJ'S Clam Shack Stony Brook DJ's Clam Shack St. Augustine, FL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1007 N Country Rd | open |
| Druthers Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1113 N Country Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 100 Nicolls Road | open | |
| Exotic Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1073 N Country Rd | open |
| Friendly's Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 201 Hallock Rd | open |
| Grandpa's Shed | Casual dining · Bar | 121 Main St | open | |
| Green Cactus Fresh Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 1099 N Country Rd | open |
| Green Tea | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1015 N Country Rd | open |
| Grist Mill Eatery | Deli, Pizzeria & Catering | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 77 Main St | open |
| Hirosaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 2548 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Hoshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1320 Stony Brook Rd | open |
| Iron Poke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 2350 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Iron ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 2350 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| J&R's Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 1320 Stony Brook Rd | open |
| Jake Starr | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1007 Route 25A | open | |
| Jamba Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2460 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1113 Route 25A | open |
| Kumo Sushi & Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Steakhouse · Japanese | 2548 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Kung Fu Tea Kung Fu Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 1009 N Country Rd | open |
| leannescakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 11 Stony Brook Ave | open |
| Long Island Bagel Cafe Long Island Bagel Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2310 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Luca | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 93 Main St | open |
| Mad Over Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2184 Nesconset Hwy Ste A | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2324 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Meet Noodle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 2166 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Mirabelle Restaurant & Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 150 Main St | open |
| Modern Realty And Management, Ltd. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2460 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 201 Hallock Rd | open |
| O Sole Mio | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 2194 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Oriental Style Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1015 N Country Rd | open | |
| Pentimento | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 93 Main St | open | |
| Pho Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Greek · Thai · Asian | 2460 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 100 - Nicolls Rd | open |
| Premiere Pastry Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 117 Main St | open |
| Ralph's Ices | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Italian | 1320-24 Stony Brook Rd | open |
| Ralph’s Famous Italian Ices & Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1320 Stony Brook Rd Ste 24 | open |
| Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2220 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Red Mango | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2350 Nesconset Highway | open |
| Red Mango | Dessert · Buffet | Ice cream / frozen desserts | Roth Quad | open |
| Red Tiger Dumpling House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1320 Stony Brook Rd | open |
| resturaunt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1113 Route 25A, Bldg 3 Unit E | open | |
| Robinson's Tea Room | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Tea / bubble tea · British / Irish pub food | 97E Main St | open |
| Saturday Candy Co | Dessert | Dessert | 73 Main St | open |
| Schnitzels | Casual dining · Bar | German / Eastern European | 77 Main St | open |
| Shah's Halal Food Shah's Halal Food | Quick service | 1113 Route 25A, Store 4B | open | |
| Sonic Underground | Quick service | 26 Glen Ridge Ave | open | |
| Sora Omakase | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1113 NY-25A Unit 3e | open |
| Soup's On | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1099 N Country Rd | open | |
| Splendid Noodle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Chinese · Asian | 1320 Stony Brook Rd | open |
| Ssambap Korean BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · BBQ · Asian | 2350 Nesconset Hwy Ste 700B | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1320 Stony Brook Rd | open |
| Station Pizza and Brew | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1099 N Country Rd G | open |
| Stony Brook garden Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2460 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Stony Brook Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2460 Nesconset Hwy #10 | open |
| Stony Brook Wine & Liquor | Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2192 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| Stony Brook Wings | Casual dining · Bar | Chicken / wings · American | 1099 N Country Rd | open |
| Stony Brook Yacht Club | Bar | open | ||
| Stonybrook Roth Quad Dining | Casual dining | American | 100 Nicolls Rd | open |
| Stonybrook Subs Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2350 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| Strathmore Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2184 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2350 Nesconset Hwy, Store #50 | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | open | |
| Subway | Quick service | 1080 N Country Rd | open | |
| Sup Vietnamese Pho and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | Units, 1113 NY-25A #3BC | open |
| Supreme Salads | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2460 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Sweet Mama's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 121 Main St | open |
| Tacoz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · American | 2182 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Tai Chi Bubble Tea Tai Chi Bubble Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Asian | 2460 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Tao's Dim Sum and Noodle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2460 NY-347 | open |
| The Bench | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1095 NY-25A | open |
| The Golden Pear Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 97 Main St | open | |
| The Halal Hut Stony Brook | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Halal / kosher · American | 1075 N Country Rd | open |
| Three Put Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1079 N Country Rd | open | |
| Tomken Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1099 N Country Rd | open | |
| Village Coffee Market | Coffee shop | Coffee | 131 Main St | open |
| Maui Sensations | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 207 Hallock Rd | closed |
| Tudor Village Delicatessen Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1320 Stony Brook Rd Ste 22 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 26 | 26 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 29 | 29 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 27 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 27 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 30 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 30 | 12 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 44 | 43 | 16 | 19 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 43 | 41 | 16 | 17 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 43 | 18 | 16 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 43 | 42 | 19 | 15 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 45 | 43 | 17 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 48 | 19 | 20 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 55 | 52 | 19 | 23 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 56 | 50 | 18 | 24 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 57 | 52 | 17 | 24 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 62 | 54 | 18 | 25 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 62 | 54 | 18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 64 | 58 | 21 | 26 | 10 | 3 | NAICS2022 |