BMIE Market 11733
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,752 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,949 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,326 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $173,281 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,624 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,411 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±574 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $683,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,638 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11733 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -2.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 36 (range 32–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11733. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.4 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.0 | 53 | 35% | +18.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 23.2 | 23 | 25% | +5.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,752 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,281 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,137 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.9 | 22 | 35% | +7.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.2 | 40 | 25% | +9.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,752 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,281 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5.6 | 22 | 50% | +11.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.9 | 22 | 30% | +6.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
Coffee 12 · Asian 9 · Pizza 8 · American 7 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 4 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Indian 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Burgers 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Authentic Chinese Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 736 Route 25A | open | |
| Bagel Express | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast | 15-5 Bennetts Rd | open |
| Bango - East Setauket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Breakfast | 199 Main St | open |
| Bango Bowls Bango Bowls | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 119 Main St | open |
| Bango Bowls - East Setauket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 199 Main St | open |
| Bliss | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 766 NY-25A | open |
| Campus Heroes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 232 N Belle Mead Ave | open | |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 178 Route 25A | open |
| Checkmate Inn | Bar | 94 N Country Rd | open | |
| Chicken And Things | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 190 N Belle Mead Ave | open |
| Chico's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 30 N Country Rd | open |
| Chico's Tex Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 244 Route 25A | open |
| Chock Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4020 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Country Corner | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 270 Main St | open | |
| Cremasse.Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 248 Route 25A | open | |
| Culpers 1778 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 212 Main St | open |
| Dominos Pizza Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 736 Route 25A | open |
| Domo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 180 NY-25A | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 5050 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5050 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4000 Nesconset Hwy BJs Wholesale Club | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 197 Main St | open |
| East Coast Burrito Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 736 Route 25A | open |
| Eastern Pavilion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 750 NY-25A | open |
| Elaine's Restaurant and Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Italian · American | 316 Main St | open |
| Grounds & Sounds Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 380 Nicolls Rd | open |
| How How Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4084 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Ichi sushi & ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 700 N Country Rd | open |
| IXCHEL Mexican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 130 Old Town Rd | open |
| Kai Li Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 207 Main St | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4040 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Lees Kitchen and Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Sheep Pasture Road | open | |
| Little Joe's III Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 30 Rte 25A | open |
| Los Amigos Tacos - East Setauket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 30 NY-25A | open |
| Luigi's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1372 Route 25a | open |
| Luigi's Pizzeria of East Setauket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 25 New St | open |
| Madiran The Wine Bar | Bar | 209 NY-25A | open | |
| Mario's Italian Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 212 Main St | open | |
| McDonald's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3990 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Mezze Mediterranean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 190 N Belle Mead Rd Suite 8 | open |
| Of56 Setauket Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 130 Old Town Rd | open | |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 5040 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Patriot Hot Dogs | Quick service | American · Hot dogs | 347 Old Town Rd | open |
| Pumpernickles Delicatessen & Market | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 734 NY-25A | open |
| Raga Indian Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 130 Old Town Rd | open |
| Right Coast Taqueria Right Coast Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4088 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Rolling Pin | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1387 Route 25A | open |
| Sbarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4000 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Se-port Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 301 Main St | open |
| Setauket Pastaria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 4082 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Setauket Pita House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Asian | 100 S Jersey Ave Unit 27 | open |
| Setauket Village Restaurant Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | American · Coffee | 238 Main St | open |
| Sichuan Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 736 NY-25A | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4020 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 246 Route 25 A | open |
| Strathmore Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 1367 Route 25A | open |
| Strathmore Bagels of East Setauket | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast | 4088 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 18 Woods Corner Rd | open |
| SUSHI LMN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 198 Main St | open |
| Tai Show North | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 316 Main St | open |
| Taj Crown of India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 10 Woods Corner Rd | open |
| The Curry Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 Woods Corner Rd | open | |
| The Study by Toast | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 100-27 S Jersey Ave | open |
| Via Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 205 NY-25A | open |
| Vincent’s NYWF Pizza | Food truck | Pizza · Italian | 384 Mark Tree Rd | open |
| Xiao Si Chuan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 736 NY-25A | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 17 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 15 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 20 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 20 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 39 | 33 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 36 | 31 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 35 | 32 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 42 | 39 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 39 | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |