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BMIE Market 11766

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)10,750
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households3,934
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count12,635
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units4,444
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income$153,235
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,761 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age49.0
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent$3,088
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±797 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value$649,600
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,233 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area6.0 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants27
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11766
Restaurants per 10,000 residents14.3
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year+12.5%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year+17.4%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year+80.0%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file+80.0%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 202833 (range 29–37)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score71 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score82 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score62 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score69 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score81.58240%+32.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score61.66235%+21.6
Market Momentum Score69.06925%+17.2
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)10,7507240%+28.8
Median household income (ACS)153,2359640%+38.6
Households (ACS)3,9347120%+14.2
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth17.46135%+21.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)25.12625%+6.6
Population (ACS)10,7507220%+14.4
Median household income (ACS)153,2359620%+19.3
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth12.57150%+35.3
10-year restaurant growth17.46130%+18.3
20-year restaurant growth807720%+15.4
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Japanese 5 · Sushi 5 · Bakery 4 · American 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 9 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
A Cake in TimeBakeryBakery29 Route 25Aopen
Alexandros RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)Greek · Mediterranean · European1060 RT-25Aopen
Amici Restaurant AmiciRestaurant (service type not stated) · BarItalian304 NY-25Aopen
APlus at SunocoCoffee shopCoffee560 rte 25aopen
AT&TQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches5507 Nesconset Hwy Ste 3open
Bagels Your WayBakeryBakery · Breakfast331 NY-25A #10open
Benchwarmer's Tavern and GrillBar · Casual dining23 NY-25Aopen
Benten Japanese RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)331 Route 25Aopen
Cafe SpigaRestaurant (service type not stated)Italian · Pizza176 N Country Rdopen
Cedar Beach Bar & GrillBar · Restaurant (service type not stated)1 Harbor Beach Rdopen
Crazy Crepe Cafe Crazy Crepe CafeRestaurant (service type not stated) · Café · DessertSandwiches · Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert5507 Nesconset Hwyopen
Customers Always Right Enterprises IncRestaurant (service type not stated)271 Route 25a Ste 10open
Domino's Domino's PizzaDelivery-focused · Quick servicePizza271 Route 25 Aopen
Dunkin' Dunkin'Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shopDessert · Coffee381 NY-25Aopen
Finnbar PubBar · Casual diningBritish / Irish pub food340 Route 25Aopen
Go BurgerQuick serviceBurgers · American271 Route 25Aopen
GrillCheesyQuick service · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches · American · Pizza275 Route 25Aopen
Hokkaido Asian FusionRestaurant (service type not stated)Japanese · Asian · Sushi331 NY-25Aopen
Insignia Steak HouseRestaurant (service type not stated)Steakhouse · BBQ610 Route 25Aopen
Jos Gan Pizza Restaurant Corp Dba-sba Small 7a TermRestaurant (service type not stated)37 Route 25Aopen
Land and Sea Fish and LobsterRestaurant (service type not stated)Seafood524 Route 25Aopen
Lemongrass Asian FusionRestaurant (service type not stated)Thai331 Route 25Aopen
Lotus East IIRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese · Asian331 Route 25Aopen
Loyal Order Of MooseBar37 Crystal Brook Hollow Rdopen
Mavi Grill - Turkish & Mediterranean CuisineRestaurant (service type not stated)Middle Eastern · Mediterranean749 Mount Sinai-Coram Rdopen
Midori Sushi and SteakhouseRestaurant (service type not stated)Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse271 Route 25Aopen
Mount Sinai SushiRestaurant (service type not stated)Japanese · Sushi · Asian166 Route 25Aopen
Mountain Sea Asian BistroRestaurant (service type not stated)33 New York # 25aopen
Mt. Sinai Bagel & DeliBakery · Quick service · Specialty food shopBakery · Sandwiches5507 Nesconset Hwyopen
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's PizzaQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Pizza152 NY-25Aopen
Private ChocolatiersDessertDessert5507 Nesconset Hwy Ste 12aopen
Pvd Pizza CorporationRestaurant (service type not stated)5507 Nesconset Hwy Ste 17open
Renzo's Restaurant & PizzeriaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza37 Rte 25Aopen
Rocco's Amici Express PizzeriaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza1028 NY-25Aopen
Rocco's Pizzeria and RistoranteRestaurant (service type not stated)Italian · Pizza5507 NY-347open
Savino's HideawayRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · BarAmerican258 N Country Rdopen
Senor Taco Express Senor Taco Grill & BarRestaurant (service type not stated)Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex1028 NY-25Aopen
Strathmore Bagel Of Mount SinaiBakery · Quick service · Specialty food shopBakery · Sandwiches271 NY-25Aopen
SubwayOtherSandwiches5507 Nesconset Hwy Ste 4open
Taco Island Mexican CantinaRestaurant (service type not stated) · Food truckSouthwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican5507 Nesconset Hwyopen
TCBYOther · DessertIce cream / frozen desserts5507 Nesconset Hwy Ste 16open
Ten Ten BistroRestaurant (service type not stated)Asian · Sushi · Japanese331 Rte 25Aopen
The Cue and Brew Bar and BilliardsBar164 NY-25Aopen
The North TapBar340 25Aopen
Tiki Joe's Cedar Beach Tiki Joe's Smith PointRestaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining244 Harbor Beach Rdopen
Vineyards at Mt. SinaiWinery / distillery / taproom100 Farm Acre Circleopen
Win HingRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese · Asian5507 Nesconset Hwy #9open
Xue's Asian CuisineRestaurant (service type not stated)Japanese · Sushi331 Route 25Aopen
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
19941515————SIC1987
19951111————SIC1987
19961716———1SIC1987
19971918———1SIC1987
1998242010641NAICS1997
199922189541NAICS1997
200020168531NAICS1997
200117136521NAICS1997
200218148421NAICS1997
20031815852—NAICS2002
20041816952—NAICS2002
20052018783—NAICS2002
200620186102—NAICS2002
20071917872—NAICS2002
200822187921NAICS2007
200923197841NAICS2007
20102218594—NAICS2007
2011242051051NAICS2007
2012262281132NAICS2012
2013272381052NAICS2012
2014272411941NAICS2012
2015272310942NAICS2012
2016272412842NAICS2012
201729251474—NAICS2017
201826241455—NAICS2017
201930281576—NAICS2017
2020302914105—NAICS2017
2021333215107—NAICS2017
2022302913106—NAICS2022
202329271584—NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11766. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
117762.3 mi472023
117642.5 mi322023
117772.8 mi442023
117892.9 mi52023
117274.2 mi322023
117784.3 mi292023
119534.8 mi182023
117334.9 mi342023
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.