BMIE Market 11777

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,396 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,701 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±273 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,968 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,732 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$150,505 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,359 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$680,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,044 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11777
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	34.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+15.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	48 (range 41–55) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11777. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.4	80	40%	+32.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.6	57	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	39.2	39	25%	+9.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,396	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	150,505	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	3,701	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	15.8	59	35%	+20.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	46.8	11	25%	+2.7
Population (ACS)	9,396	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	150,505	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	15.8	59	30%	+17.8
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 11 · Dessert 7 · Italian 6 · Seafood 6 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Burgers 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Bar 18 · Café 10 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arden Kitchen & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 Main St	open
Barito Tacos & Cocktails	Bar	Mexican	201 Main St	open
Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	122 Main St	open
Billie's 1890 Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	American	304 Main St	open
Black Pearl Seafood Chophouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	25 E Broadway	open
Brewology295	Bar		201 Main St	open
C'est Cheese Li Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		216B Main St	open
Castaways Steak & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	106 Main St	open
Cliffside Waterfront Restaurant and Fairway Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian · American	44 Fairway Dr	open
Cornercopia cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	109 W Broadway	open
Costa De Espana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	9 Traders Cv	open
Crest Caterers Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	44 Fairway Dr	open
Curry Club at Saghar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	111 W Broadway	open
Custom Cafe & Deli	Café	Coffee	156 W Broadway	open
Danfords Wave Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood		open
Ditch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	140 Main St	open
Dj Main St Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		122 Main St	open
Dortoni Port Jeff Dortoni Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	125 W Broadway	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	122 Main St	open
El Limeño Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Peruvian · Latin American (other)	1534 Main St	open
Elk Street Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 Main St	open
Fifth Season Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	34 E Broadway	open
Golden Pineapple Bed & Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 Liberty Ave	open
Gourmet Burger Bistro The WORKS Craft Burgers & Cold Brews	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	5 Mill Creek Rd	open
Grumpy Jack's	Bar · Casual dining		28 Oakland Ave	open
Hana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	21 Oakland Ave	open
Health Harmony	Restaurant (service type not stated)		640 Belle Terre Rd	open
Ir Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1534 Main St	open
It's All Greek To Me	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	124 Main St	open
Joey Z's Brooklyn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mediterranean · Italian	217 Main St	open
Kilwins Ice Cream - Chocolate - Fudge Kilwins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	109D Main St	open
Kimi Sushi & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	115 Main St	open
La Cova Ristorante La Parrilla Cancún	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	201 Main St	open
La Paz Bar & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1615 Main St	open
Little Hong Kong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1520 Main St	open
Local's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	106 E Main St	open
Nantuckets	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	9 Traders Cv	open
Ocean 88	Restaurant (service type not stated)		134 Main St	open
Old Fields Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	318 Wynn Ln	open
Pasta Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	234 E Main St	open
Pindar Wine Shop Pindar	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		117 Main St	open
Pj Harbour Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		154 W Broadway	open
Port Bistro and Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 Main St	open
Port Jeff Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		22 Mill Creek Rd	open
Port Jeff Lobster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Burgers	1 N Country Rd	open
Port Jefferson Frigate	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	99 Main St	open
Port Jefferson Ice Cream Cafe	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	30 Chandler Sq	open
Portside Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		242 Traders Cv	open
Prohibition Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 Main St	open
Ralph's of Port Jeff	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	112 Main St	open
Roots Kava Bar	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	250 E Main St	open
Rustic Bread	Bakery	Bakery	128 E Main St	open
RUVO	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	105 Wynn Ln	open
SāGhar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	111 W Broadway	open
Salsa Salsa A Burrito Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	142 Main St	open
Slurp Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	109 W Broadway	open
Southdown Coffee - Port Jefferson Southdown Coffee - Huntington	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	440 Main St	open
Spycoast	Bar		140 Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	201 Main St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Sweet 'n' Savory of Port Jefferson	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	104 Main St	open
Tara Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1519 Main St	open
Tea Brew Bubble Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	116 E Main St	open
The Arden (old Port Jazz)	Bar		201 Main St	open
The Brewtique at Hoptron	Bar		242 E Main St	open
The Graceful Rose	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	154 W Broadway	open
The Pie The Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	216 Main St	open
The Secret Garden Tea Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	225 Main St	open
The Steam Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4 E Broadway	open
The Whiskey Barrel	Bar		138 Main St	open
Tiger Lily Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Coffee	156 E Main St	open
Toast Coffeehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	242 E Main St	open
Tommy's Place	Bar · Casual dining	American	109 Main St	open
Upper Main Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	1600 Main St	open
Vincenzo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	109 Main St	open
You Me & Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · American	45 Chandler Sq	open
Z Pita, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	217 Main St	open
Yogo Delish	Dessert	Dessert	211 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	28	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	31	27	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	35	32	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	34	31	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	34	31	17	10	4	3	NAICS1997
1999	35	31	19	10	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	34	29	17	10	2	5	NAICS1997
2001	35	31	17	12	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	31	29	17	10	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	37	32	16	12	4	4	NAICS2002
2004	37	31	17	10	4	4	NAICS2002
2005	34	29	16	10	3	4	NAICS2002
2006	37	32	16	13	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	37	31	19	9	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	38	34	20	10	4	3	NAICS2007
2009	36	32	20	9	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	37	31	21	7	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	45	38	25	10	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	41	39	22	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	41	38	21	11	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	47	42	23	13	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	50	46	25	13	7	1	NAICS2012
2016	47	42	23	12	6	1	NAICS2012
2017	55	51	29	12	9	—	NAICS2017
2018	53	48	29	11	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	52	47	30	10	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	50	44	28	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	50	44	28	8	8	—	NAICS2017
2022	51	43	26	9	8	4	NAICS2022
2023	51	44	26	9	9	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11777. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11733	2.6 mi	34	2023
11766	2.8 mi	27	2023
11776	3.1 mi	47	2023
11794	4.0 mi	1	2016
11790	4.6 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.