BMIE Market 11776
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,808 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,924 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,037 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,235 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,606 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $120,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $496,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,612 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11776 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +17.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +9.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +46.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +34.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 42–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11776. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.0 | 86 | 40% | +34.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.4 | 62 | 35% | +21.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 66.0 | 66 | 25% | +16.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,808 | 84 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 120,573 | 91 | 40% | +36.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,037 | 82 | 20% | +16.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.3 | 53 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.6 | 36 | 25% | +8.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,808 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 120,573 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 17.5 | 75 | 50% | +37.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.3 | 53 | 30% | +16.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 46.9 | 62 | 20% | +12.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (76)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 11 · Sandwiches 10 · Asian 7 · Bakery 6 · Chinese 5 · Dessert 5 · Burgers 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Greek 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 16 · Café 11 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Specialty food shop 7 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Hospitality Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1147 Route 112 | open | |
| B & L Gourmet Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 208 Route 112 Ste 3 | open | |
| Bagelicious Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast | 1031 Route 112 | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5017 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Baya Bar - Acai & Smoothie Shop Baya Bar Howard Beach | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 208 Main St | open |
| Better On A Bagel | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 4960 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Buttercup's Dairy Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 285 Boyle Rd Suite 1 | open |
| Caribbean Flavors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 407A Patchogue Rd | open |
| Carnival Carnival Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4900 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 407 Patchogue Rd | open |
| Ccr Hospitality Group Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4747 Nesconset Hwy Unit 16 | open | |
| Cheezly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 403 Patchogue Rd | open |
| Chenlin Garden(formerly Ting House) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 650 Rte 112 | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5184 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| China Garden II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4970 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1064 Route 112 | open |
| Colosseo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1049 Route 112 | open |
| Dragon Dogs | Quick service | 1581 Route 112 | open | |
| Dunkin | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 208 Route 112 | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 501 Patchogue Rd | open |
| El Axolotl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 112 Jefferson Ave | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5122 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Gilshar Greek Cafe | Café | Greek · Mediterranean · Coffee | 1072 Route 112 | open |
| Hurricane Grill & Wings | Bar | 1037 Route 112 | open | |
| Ichiban Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Sushi · Japanese | 556 Patchogue Rd | open |
| IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Burgers | 513 Patchogue Rd | open |
| Infinite Lounge | Bar | 104 Main St | open | |
| Jefferson Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4900 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 4600 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Jms Port Jeff Station Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4600 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| Kings Landing Irish Pub | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | Westeros Lane | open |
| L.I. Pour House Bar & Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 650 Rte 112 | open |
| Lemonleaf Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Thai · Asian | 208 NY-112 | open |
| Limeño Sport Bar | Bar | Latin American (other) | 104 Main St | open |
| Lucky Strike Bar & Grill @ Port Jeff Bowl | Casual dining · Bar | 31 Chereb Ln | open | |
| Madre Tierra Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other) | 4747 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Madre Tierra Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 1597 NY 112 | open |
| May Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4970 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5136 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Ming's Ice Cream Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 407 Patchogue Rd | open | |
| Mr. P’s Southern Skillet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 650 Patchogue Rd | open |
| North Shore Lincoln Mercury | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5316 Nesconset Hwy | open | |
| Nrgize NrGize Lifestyle Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 1046 NY-112 | open |
| Old Town Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | Old Town Rd | open |
| Old Town Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 691 Old Town Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 4959 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Picante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5316 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| PJ Sushi Teriyaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4950 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Po'Boy Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 200 Wilson St | open | |
| Pokestop Port Jeff - Poke Bowl • Sushi • Ramen • Bubble Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Japanese · Tea / bubble tea · Sushi | 1076 NY-112 | open |
| Road Trip American Ale House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4837 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| seaport deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | open | |
| Seaport Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5045 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| SoBol Port Jeff Station SoBol of Ridgefield | Café | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1035 Route 112 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5316 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | Rt 112 | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | bluepoint ave | open |
| Sundaes | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1074 NY-112 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4833 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Tarantella | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 650 Patchogue Rd | open |
| Tasty House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1070 Route 112 | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 513 Patchogue Rd | open | |
| Terrace Cafe Cups | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 585 Bicycle Path Ste 6 | open |
| Thai Gourmet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 4747 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| The Station Coffee Shop | Casual dining | American | 504 Jefferson Plz | open |
| Toast Coffee and Kitchen Toast Coffee + Kitchen | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 650 Route 112 | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5120 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Vito's of Port Jefferson | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Mexican · Italian · American | 4747-16 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Vortex japanese restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Vietnamese · Asian | 4747 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4955 Nesconset Hwy | open |
| Wing Wah Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · American | 695 Old Town Rd | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4747 Nesconset Hwy (Route 347) | open |
| Wunderbar Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 150 Hallock Ave | open |
| Zorba the Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | 572 Patchogue Rd, Jefferson Plz | open |
| Galaxy 786 Llc | Bar | 650 Patchogue Rd Unit D | closed | |
| Phil S Bagels Llc | Café · Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Bakery · Sandwiches | 650 Patchogue Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 38 | 35 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 39 | 35 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 36 | 32 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 38 | 35 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 41 | 36 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 41 | 35 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 36 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 37 | 32 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 39 | 34 | 15 | 17 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 41 | 35 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 43 | 39 | 14 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 42 | 38 | 13 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 43 | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 46 | 41 | 15 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 46 | 42 | 20 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 47 | 43 | 19 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 49 | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 51 | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 47 | 18 | 17 | 12 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 44 | 15 | 16 | 13 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 40 | 14 | 16 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 49 | 45 | 16 | 19 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 49 | 46 | 15 | 21 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 44 | 14 | 20 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 49 | 47 | 17 | 19 | 11 | — | NAICS2022 |