BMIE Market 11784
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,244 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,687 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,639 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±534 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,655 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,380 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $104,369 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,234 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±133 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $460,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11784 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +13.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +2.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +67.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +136.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 50 (range 45–55) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11784. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.4 | 84 | 40% | +33.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.1 | 60 | 35% | +21.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.7 | 65 | 25% | +16.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,244 | 86 | 40% | +34.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 104,369 | 84 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,639 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 2.0 | 48 | 35% | +16.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.8 | 38 | 25% | +9.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,244 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 104,369 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 13.0 | 71 | 50% | +35.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 2.0 | 48 | 30% | +14.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 67.7 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (101)
By cuisine
Coffee 14 · American 12 · Pizza 10 · Mexican 9 · Bakery 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 7 · Burgers 7 · Italian 6 · Chinese 5 · Halal / kosher 5 · Breakfast 4 · Indian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Dessert 3 · Greek 3 · Japanese 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Sushi 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 71 · Café 13 · Quick service 13 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Kitten Kadoodle Coffee Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 600 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Adobo Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 89 College Plz | open |
| Altoque Fast Food | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1310 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Amici Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 353 Independence Plz | open | |
| Andres Hospitality | Bar | open | ||
| Bagels Your Way Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 787 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Better Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Sandwiches · Burgers · American | 1070 Middle Country Rd #13 | open |
| Blue Tortilla Fresh Mexican Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1070 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1299 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Brody McKay's Tavern | Bar | 742 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Caffe Amici | Café | Italian · Pizza · Coffee | 353 Independence Plaza | open |
| Capriotti's Sandwich Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 253 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 642 Middle Country Rd # Rt, 25 NY-25 | open |
| Cella Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1198 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Chai Qahwah Lounge | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 1310 Middle Country Rd Unit 3a | open |
| Checkers Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1115 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 949 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Chicos Tex Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 656 Middle Country Rd | open |
| China East | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1070 Middle Country Rd Ste 2 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 261 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Choopan Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1310 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Club Lorelle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 862 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Coffee Booths | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 226 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Cousin Vinny's the Dog Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 443 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Curry Leaf | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 1245-8 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Da Hive | Bar · Casual dining | 600 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Doreen J Shindel & Associates Pc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 325 Middle Country Rd Ste 7 | open | |
| Drea Bella Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 45 College Plz | open | |
| Duck Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert · Breakfast | 49 College Plz | open |
| Energize Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 652 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 202 Independence Plz | open |
| Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 996 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Fuchka Xpress (ফুচকা এক্সপ্রেস) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 600 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Glenn's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 203 Independence Plz | open |
| Golden Garden 888 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 37 College Plz | open | |
| Golden Garden Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 37 College Plz | open |
| Golden Wheel Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 263 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Hako Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 255 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Halal home kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 56 Henry Ave | open |
| Hummus Mediterranean | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Greek | 680 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Jan's Place | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Breakfast | 226 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 280A Middle Country Road | open |
| Joe's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 656 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Kane, Cuchel & Kane Dba Coram-selden Den Tal Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 280 Middle Country Rd Ste K | open | |
| Kim's Cafe | Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · American · Juice / smoothies · Breakfast | 810 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Kiran Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1230 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| L'anatra Pizza And Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1198 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Lily's Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1310 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Machi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 280 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Masala Wok & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1228 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Mini Sushi, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 329 Independence Plz | open | |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Mexican · Coffee | 533 College Rd | open |
| Mommy's Girl Cricket Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Mondrian SoHo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9 Crosby St | open |
| My Place Tavern | Bar | 990 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Narducci's Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Italian · Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 638 Middle Country Rd | open |
| New Peking Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 640 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Nishiki Hibachi & Sushi Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 329 Independence Plz | open |
| Ny Axe Throwing Range - Selden | Bar | 307 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| NY Gyro & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 795 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Ocean Ave Deli Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 359 Boyle Rd | open | |
| Packman Central, Inc. Dba The Ups Store #5345 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1070 Middle Country Rd Ste 7 | open | |
| Panera Bread | Café | Coffee | 1 College Plz | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 1 College Plz | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1310 middle country rd | open |
| Picchu | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 1245 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1314 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Pudgie's Famous Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 662 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Red Chilli Restaurant Selden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Halal / kosher | 1228 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Riley Fibbers | Bar · Casual dining | 742 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 289 Middle Country Rd | open |
| S. N D. Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 638 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| S. Prestano Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 806 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Sal Anthonys II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 980 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Selden Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · Greek | 39 College Plz | open |
| Shah's Halal Food Shah’s Halal Food UK | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 1245 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Shake Shack Selden Shake Shack | Quick service | Burgers · American | 618 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Simple Smoothie Cafe Crazy Crepe Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Breakfast · Coffee | 1070 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Soup Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Boyle Rd # 2099 | open |
| SpiceTown Cafe & Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 1245 Middle Country Road, Store 10 & 11 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 1251 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 280 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 307 Independence Plaza | open |
| Strathmore Bagels Strathmore Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 351 Independence Plz | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 672 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1314 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Taco Express Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 1236 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Tacos El Gordo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 369 Boyle Rd | open |
| Tao's Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 1310 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse | 289 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Tex’s Chicken & Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 966 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Thai Shack East Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 389 Independence Plaza | open |
| Time Out To Eat Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 1228 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Tomato Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 229 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 267 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Viva Juan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 280 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 259 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Zaiqa Halal | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher | 795 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Zara Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 365 Boyle Rd | open |
| Zara's Deli and Bagel | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 375 Boyle Rd | open |
| Zorba The Greek Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 253 Middle Country Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 30 | 28 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 29 | 27 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 26 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 31 | 11 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 39 | 36 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 40 | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 36 | 13 | 19 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 36 | 9 | 20 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 42 | 38 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 36 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 46 | 42 | 15 | 21 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 50 | 46 | 16 | 21 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 55 | 51 | 20 | 23 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 52 | 48 | 19 | 22 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 50 | 45 | 16 | 23 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 51 | 46 | 13 | 28 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 46 | 15 | 26 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 50 | 46 | 15 | 26 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 51 | 47 | 15 | 27 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 49 | 45 | 10 | 28 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 47 | 12 | 30 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 53 | 51 | 12 | 31 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 55 | 52 | 13 | 31 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |