BMIE Market 11727
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,495 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,811 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±615 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,030 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,652 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $103,287 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,899 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,479 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $443,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,084 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11727 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -3.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -8.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +45.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +52.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 27–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11727. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.8 | 86 | 40% | +34.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57.7 | 58 | 35% | +20.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 30.1 | 30 | 25% | +7.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,495 | 88 | 40% | +35.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,287 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,104 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -8.6 | 19 | 35% | +6.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.2 | 67 | 25% | +16.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,495 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,287 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -3.0 | 24 | 50% | +12.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -8.6 | 19 | 30% | +5.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 45.5 | 61 | 20% | +12.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (68)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 10 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · American 5 · Burgers 5 · Bakery 4 · Caribbean 4 · Chinese 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Halal / kosher 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 17 · Bakery 7 · Bar 7 · Dessert 7 · Specialty food shop 7 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Tequila Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other) | 1970 NY-112 #3 | open |
| Bagels Your Way Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 350 Middle Country Rd, Suite A | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1852 Route 112 | open |
| Bella Maria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1844 NY-112 | open |
| Bella Roma Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 264L Middle Country Rd | open |
| Better On A Bagel Express | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 25 Gibbs Rd | open |
| Bishop Brothers Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Burgers | Samantha Dr | open |
| Bloomberg Bagel | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast | 2229 Rte 112 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 283 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Cantonese Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1 Glenmere Ln | open |
| Coach's Corner | Bar | 24 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Coram . Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery | Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee | 35 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Coram Diner | Casual dining | American | 383 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Coram Kitchen Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1852 Route 112 | open | |
| Deli La Esmeralda | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3663 NY-112 | open |
| Delish Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 1 Glenmere Ln | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2229 Route 112 Unit I | open |
| Eeg Hicksville Llc Dba Eminent Property Management | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 625 Middle Country Rd Ste 203 | open | |
| Estevez Deli & Minimarket | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 99 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Friendly's Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2220 Route 112 | open |
| Great Wall Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1671 Route 112 | open |
| Halal Bite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 3663 Rte 112 | open |
| Health Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 350 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Jackee's Jamaican Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 16 Middle Country Rd Ste 7 | open |
| Jodan Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Gibbs Rd | open | |
| Johnny O's Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 24 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Kerri's Kandies | Dessert | Dessert | 2160 NY-112 | open |
| La Bistro | Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 512 Middle Country Rd | open |
| La Bodega Hispana And Grocery Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 50 Middle Country Rd Ste A | open |
| La bodega latina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 50 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| La Bonita Tacos & Tequila | Dessert | Dessert | 1850 Route 112 | open |
| Long Island Logistics Llc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 625 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Long Shot Bar And Grill | Bar | 3720 Route 112 | open | |
| Los Amigos Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 50 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Matt's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 25 Gibbs Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 313 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Mezo Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Sandwiches | 3632 New York 112 | open |
| Milky Ways Ice Cream & Cereal Bar | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2229 Rte 112 | open |
| Ming Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1844 NY-112 | open |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2220 Rte 112 | open |
| Negril Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Caribbean · American | 3632 NY-112 | open |
| Noor cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Halal / kosher · American | 272 Middle Country Rd | open |
| O'Brien's | Casual dining · Bar | 3720 NY-112 | open | |
| Panda House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3663 Route 112 Ste 8 | open |
| Pine Ridge Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2 Golf Course Dr | open |
| Poki Poke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 1710 Route 112 | open |
| Polo Deli Food Center | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 16 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Popei's Clam Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 451 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Pro Restoration, Inc. Dba Servpro Of Port Jefferson | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 501 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Ralph's Famous Italian Ices | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2229 Route 112 | open |
| Randazzo's Restaurant and Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1879 Route 112 | open |
| Rodeo Tierra Caliente | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 507 Mill Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1710 NY-112 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 350 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1 Glenmere Ln | open |
| T's Chicken and Fish | Food truck | Chicken / wings · British / Irish pub food | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 348 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Tainos Cafe & Lounge | Bar | Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 24 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Tata's Jamaican Roots Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 16 Middle Country Rd | open |
| The Burger Shack | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Hot dogs | 3672B Rte 112 | open |
| The HoneyBaked Ham Company | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 393 Middle Country Rd | open |
| The Original Vito's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1879 Route 112 | open |
| The Pink Fin The Pink Fin | Quick service | 1710 Route 112 | open | |
| The VP Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1027 Clubhouse Ct | open |
| Tommy's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Spanish / tapas · Pizza | 16 Middle Country Rd Ste 10 | open |
| Tommys Old Town Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 2229 Rte 112 A | open | |
| Wake Cake & Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 99 Middle Country Rd Ste 9 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 23 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 32 | 29 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 28 | 9 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 36 | 12 | 20 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 39 | 39 | 10 | 25 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 34 | 8 | 22 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 35 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 33 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 30 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 34 | 31 | 8 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 31 | 9 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 32 | 8 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |