BMIE Market 11778
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,390 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±401 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,709 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,971 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $126,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,847 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,324 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $456,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,816 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11778 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +20.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +3.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +61.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +52.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 20–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11778. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.0 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57.6 | 58 | 35% | +20.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 67.9 | 68 | 25% | +17.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,390 | 74 | 40% | +29.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,349 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,592 | 73 | 20% | +14.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.6 | 49 | 35% | +17.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 23.4 | 29 | 25% | +7.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,390 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,349 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 20.8 | 78 | 50% | +39.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.6 | 49 | 30% | +14.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 61.1 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (46)
By cuisine
American 7 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Greek 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Specialty food shop 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antino's Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 279 Route 25A | open |
| B & Gee's Whole Lotta Steak & Cheese | Food truck | 605 Route 25A | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 597 Route 25A | open |
| BBD's Beers, Burgers, Desserts | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Burgers | 49 Rte 25A | open |
| Bonita Mexican Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 47 NY-25A | open |
| Broadway Market | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Breakfast | 643 Broadway In between Prince Rd and, King Rd | open |
| Brooklyn Bagels and Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 379 NY-25A | open |
| Brugman's Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Healthy / salads / bowls · Sandwiches | 287 Rte 25A | open |
| Campus Heroes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 660 Route 25A | open | |
| Caruso's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 41 Broadway | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 51 Route 25A | open |
| Chong Sar Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 277 Route 25A | open | |
| Del Fiore Italian Market of Rocky Point | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches | 39 Broadway | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 379 Route 25 A | open |
| Don't Drop The Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 379 Route 25A | open | |
| Enzo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | open | |
| Fresh & Hot Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 346 NY-25A | open |
| Golden Chopsticks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 382 NY-25A | open |
| Greek Tastes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 46 Broadway | open |
| Gyro Palace Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 379 NY-25A J | open |
| Island Empanada Island Empanada Rocky Point | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 29 Rocky Point Yaphank Rd | open |
| J&R's Steakhouse | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 181 NY-25A | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 357 Route 25A | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 375 Route 25 A | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 463 Route 25A | open |
| Melanina's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 46 Broadway | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 346 Ny-25A | open |
| Mr Broadway Deli Corp. | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 53 Broadway | open |
| Oishii Asian fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 415 NY-25A | open |
| Philly Pretzel Factory Philly Pretzel Factory | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Bakery · American | 346 Route 25A | open |
| Phuckit Pub | Bar | 27 Eos Rd | open | |
| Pompei Pizza Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 346 NY-25A Ste 64 | open |
| Rocky Point Ale House | Casual dining · Bar | 42 Broadway | open | |
| Rocky Point Artisan Brwery | Brewery / taproom | 56 Hallock Landing Rd | open | |
| Rocky Point Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 279 Route 25A | open |
| Rocky Point Townhouse Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 400 New York 25A | open |
| Sea Basin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 642 Route 25A | open |
| Spiro's Spiro's | Bar | American | 4 Patchogue Dr | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 375 Route 25A | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 346 Route 25A Suite 68 | open |
| Sung Wo Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 346 Route 25A | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service | 346 Route 25A Ste 30 | open | |
| Tao Kitchen Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 346 Route 25a Ste 52 | open | |
| Tilda's Bake Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 640 RT-25A | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 217 Rte 25 A North Country Road | open |
| VFW Rocky Point | Bar | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 19 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 18 | 16 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 22 | 20 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |