BMIE Market 11780
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,018 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±960 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,459 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±403 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,524 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,586 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $144,577 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,316 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $723,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,838 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11780 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 23.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -20.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -18.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +59.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 36 (range 29–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11780. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.0 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.9 | 47 | 35% | +16.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 19.2 | 19 | 25% | +4.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,018 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 144,577 | 95 | 40% | +38.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,459 | 76 | 20% | +15.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.6 | 14 | 35% | +5.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 23.3 | 30 | 25% | +7.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,018 | 77 | 20% | +15.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 144,577 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -20.5 | 12 | 50% | +6.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.6 | 14 | 30% | +4.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 44 | 20% | +8.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (77)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 11 · Bakery 10 · Italian 10 · Pizza 9 · Asian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Breakfast 2 · European 2 · French 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegan 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Bakery 11 · Bar 9 · Quick service 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Steak House & Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 556 Route 25A | open |
| All Star Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 429 Route 25A | open | |
| Ancient Ginger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 556 N Country Rd | open |
| Bagel Paradise | Bakery | Bakery | 418 Route 25A | open |
| Basil Cafe Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 413 Lake Ave | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 430 North Country Rd Suite 1 | open |
| Bean's Bagels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 410 Lake Ave | open |
| Bella Vita City Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 430 Route 25A | open | |
| BETTY'S DELI | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast | 598 MIDDLE COUNRTY Rd | open |
| BLT Cafe St James | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 521 Lake Ave | open |
| Brooklyns Best Baking Company | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 420 Lake Ave | open |
| Cafe Bench | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 194 Northern Blvd | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 680 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Cey Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 731 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Comiskey Holding Co Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 485 Lake Ave | open | |
| Comiskey Park | Bar | 485 Lake Ave | open | |
| Creative Auto Accessories Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 779 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Crust Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 739 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 594 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Del Fuego Del Fuego | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 430 N Country Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 665 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Enology Wine Bar & Bistro | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 412 N Country Rd | open | |
| Everyday Bagel | Bakery | Bakery | 731 Middle Country Rd | open |
| FeelGoods Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 412 Route 25A | open |
| Fireandrainentertainment | Casual dining · Bar | 412 Lake Ave | open | |
| Fried chicken haven KFC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 600 Middle Country Rd | open |
| FUEL Food Truck | Food truck | 545 N Country Rd | open | |
| Galiano Wine Bar & Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 410 Lake Ave | open | |
| Garguilos Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 503 Lake Ave | open |
| Gnd Enterprises | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 739 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| Golden Dynasty | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 416 N Country Rd | open |
| Harmony Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 169 Harbor Rd | open | |
| Husk and Vine Kitchen and Cocktails | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 655 Middle Country Rd | open | |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 594 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Kitchen A Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 404 Route 25A | open |
| Kusha Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 964 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Lake Avenue Gourmet Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 250 Lake Ave | open |
| Lau Vietnamese Pho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 556 N Country Rd | open |
| Long Island Winery Limo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 190 Jefferson Ave | open | |
| Lorenzo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 600 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Luca Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 600 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Matt's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 348 Lake Ave | open |
| Mauricio's Orlando's II | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 645 Middle Country Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 614 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Mickey's Ice Cream Kitchen & Space | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 370 Lake Ave | open |
| Mirabelle Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 404 Route 25A | open | |
| Mosaic Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 418 N Country Rd | open |
| Mrs. Poke Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Chicken / wings | 745 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Neopolitan Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 600 Middle Country Rd | open |
| NOCO | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Healthy / salads / bowls | 429 N Country Rd | open |
| Patio Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 244 Lake Ave | open |
| Peach & Pine | Café | Coffee | 454 Lake Ave | open |
| Planet Tubes | Other | Sandwiches · Hot dogs · Burgers | open | |
| Premier Pastry Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 429 Route 25A | open |
| Rocco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 429 Route 25A | open |
| Saint James Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 430-13 N Country Rd | open | |
| Seaqua Deli and Caterers | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 430 N Country Rd | open |
| SoBol St. James SoBol of Ridgefield | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 412 N Country Rd | open |
| Sorrento Caterers | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 823 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Soul Brew | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 556 N Country Rd | open |
| Spuntino St. James | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 420 N Country Rd | open |
| St James Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 244 Lake Ave | open |
| St James Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 739 Middle Country Rd | open |
| St. James Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 418 N Country Rd | open |
| St. James Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 270 Lake Ave | open |
| St. James Public House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 552 Route 25A | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 417 N Country Rd | open |
| Sweet Soul Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 454 Lake Ave | open |
| The Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean | 532 N Country Rd | open |
| Up in Smoke BBQ Inc. | Catering | BBQ · American | 415 N Country Rd | open |
| Vintage Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 433 N Country Rd | open |
| Voila the Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European · American | 244 Lake Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 570 Middle Country Rd | open |
| Whisper Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 485 Edgewood Ave | open | |
| yērōs - authentically Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · European | 429 NY-25A | open |
| Yummy Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 479 Lake Ave | open |
| Mr Gyro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 745 Middle Country Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 27 | 22 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 19 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 27 | 23 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 33 | 27 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 33 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 37 | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 42 | 36 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 43 | 37 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 42 | 35 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 41 | 36 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 44 | 40 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 36 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 40 | 36 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 37 | 35 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 46 | 43 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 33 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 45 | 42 | 20 | 19 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 41 | 38 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 43 | 40 | 23 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 48 | 44 | 23 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 40 | 20 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 46 | 39 | 18 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 44 | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 41 | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |