BMIE Market 11771
Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,908 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,226 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,007 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,078 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $157,923 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,956 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,017 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $936,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46,879 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11771 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 28.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +32.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +68.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +48.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 34–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11771. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.7 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63.2 | 63 | 35% | +22.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 66.0 | 66 | 25% | +16.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,908 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 157,923 | 97 | 40% | +38.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,961 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 32.1 | 72 | 35% | +25.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 33.9 | 17 | 25% | +4.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,908 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 157,923 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.8 | 59 | 50% | +29.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 32.1 | 72 | 30% | +21.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 68.2 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (67)
By cuisine
American 19 · Italian 10 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 6 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Seafood 4 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · European 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Casual dining 14 · Bar 13 · Café 7 · Quick service 7 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Spring | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2 Spring St | open |
| 4u Nail Of Oyster Bay Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 263 Pine Hollow Rd | open | |
| American House Salad | Fast casual · Café | Healthy / salads / bowls · American · Coffee | 103 Pine Hollow Rd | open |
| Autentico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 124 South St | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 159 Pine Hollow Rd | open |
| Baykery cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 124 South St | open |
| Beach Bird | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 19 E Main St | open |
| Bluebird Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 8 Audrey Ave | open |
| Bonanza's 1897 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 25 Shore Ave | open |
| Canterbury's Oyster Bar & Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 46 Audrey Ave | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2 Audrey Ave | open |
| Casa Mia Italian Deli Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 68 W Main St Ste 6 | open |
| Coach Grill & Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 22 Pine Hollow Rd | open | |
| Coach Meeting House | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 160 Mill River Rd | open |
| Cooper Bluff | Bar | 5 Bay Ave | open | |
| Cuts N Pups Llc Dba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 185A South St | open | |
| Del's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 129 Pine Hollow Rd | open | |
| East Main Street Ale House | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29 E Main St | open | |
| Eddie's Bistro & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 80 South St | open | |
| Fitrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 127 South St | open |
| Gimme Burger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 39 E Main St | open |
| Gioia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 94 South St | open |
| Gpna Fast Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 28 Audrey Ave | open | |
| Happy Garden 79 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 79 South St | open | |
| Harborside Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 99 South St | open |
| Home Sweet Home Cafe | Café | Latin American (other) · Coffee | 19 Summit St | open |
| Hop Sing Kitchen Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 175 Pine Hollow Rd # A | open | |
| It Bagel & Pizza | Bar | 19 E Main St | open | |
| L'Etoile | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European | 108 South St | open |
| La Bella Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 342 Lexington Ave | open |
| Lifequest Natural Health Care | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls | 127 South St C | open |
| Lourdes Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 98 South St | open |
| Magnolia Cafe Planting Fields Arboretum | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 1395 Planting Fields Rd | open |
| Mama Mia's Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 342 Lexington Ave | open |
| Mama Mia's Brick Oven Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 342 Oyster Bay Cove Rd | open |
| Mario's Pizzeria of Oyster Bay Mario's Pizzeria of Oyster Bay | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 253 Pine Hollow Rd | open |
| Marra's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 22 Pine Hollow Rd | open |
| Max & Mina's Pop Up | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 96 South St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 245 Pinehollow Rd | open |
| Mid China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 175 Pine Hollow Rd | open |
| Mill River Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 160 Mill River Rd | open |
| Nikkei of Peru | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 94 South St | open |
| Osteria Leana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Seafood | 80 South St | open |
| Oyster Bay Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 36 Audrey Ave | open | |
| Penelope Bean & Co Craft Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 63 Larrabee Ave | open |
| Periwinkles Catering & Cafe | Café | Coffee | 6 Audrey Ave | open |
| Pietro's Brick Oven Pizza of Oyster Bay | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 342 Lexington Ave | open |
| Ralph's Italian Ices | Dessert | Dessert | open | |
| River Road American Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 160 Mill River Rd | open | |
| Sajoma Grocery R.A | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 21 E Main St | open |
| Serata Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 160 Mill River Rd | open |
| SoBol Oyster Bay SoBol Beverly | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 14 E Main St | open |
| Southdown Coffee Southdown Coffee - Huntington | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 49 Audrey Ave | open |
| Spinnakers Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Seafood · Italian · American · Coffee | 62 South St | open |
| Stellina Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Italian · Coffee | 34 Audrey Ave | open |
| Stellina Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 76 South St | open |
| Sweet Tomato Souplantation/Sweet Tomatoes | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Sandwiches | 91 Audrey Ave | open |
| Taby's Burger House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 28 Audrey Ave | open |
| Teddy's Bully Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 46 Audrey Ave | open |
| The Chef's Counter at FOUR | Restaurant (service type not stated) | European · American | 4 Spring St | open |
| The Homestead | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 107 South St | open |
| The Pearl of Oyster Bay | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 160 Mill River Rd | open |
| The Red Stag | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 61 Audrey Ave | open |
| The Wine Line Kitchen and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 30 Audrey Ave | open | |
| Umberto's of Oyster Bay | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 25 E Main St | open |
| Wild Honey Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1 E Main St | open |
| Cafe Al Dente | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2 Spring St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 25 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 25 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 28 | 27 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 27 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 14 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 25 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 36 | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 33 | 10 | 19 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 28 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 35 | 14 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 36 | 15 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 35 | 13 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 38 | 34 | 13 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 29 | 13 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 37 | 20 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |