BMIE Market 14301
Niagara County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,923 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±907 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,918 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,817 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,396 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $34,549 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 49.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±66 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $83,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,289 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14301 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 32.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -3.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -20.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -26.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 38 (range 32–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 32 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 28 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14301. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 32 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 45.6 | 46 | 40% | +18.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 28.2 | 28 | 35% | +9.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 17.3 | 17 | 25% | +4.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,923 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 34,549 | 3 | 40% | +1.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,918 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 28 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -3.1 | 22 | 35% | +7.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 28.4 | 22 | 25% | +5.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,923 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 34,549 | 3 | 20% | +0.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.9 | 16 | 50% | +8.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -3.1 | 22 | 30% | +6.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -20.5 | 13 | 20% | +2.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (87)
By cuisine
American 15 · Indian 10 · Italian 9 · Pizza 9 · Coffee 8 · Asian 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Chinese 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · Halal / kosher 4 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Dessert 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Mexican 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Burgers 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 62 · Quick service 18 · Bar 16 · Casual dining 10 · Café 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 3 · Buffet 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A&W | Quick service | 7665 Thorold Stone Road | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1001 Cedar Ave | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Quick service | 222 Rainbow Boulevard | open | |
| Baby Cakes Cupcake Diner | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 1412 Pine Ave | open |
| BananaLeaf Grand | South Indian Restaurant in Niagara Falls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 427 3rd St | open |
| Black House Beignet | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 616 Niagara St | open |
| Buck's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1890 Pierce Ave | open |
| Caribbean Flava | Food truck | Caribbean | 2501 Pine Ave | open |
| Carmine's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1701 Pine Ave | open |
| Chill 443 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 443 Main St | open | |
| China Garden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 727 Portage Rd | open |
| Chinatown Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1525 Pine Ave | open |
| Choice Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2501 Pine Ave | open |
| Chu's Dining Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1019 Main St | open |
| Cinnabon Niagara Falls - Rainbow Blvd Cinnabon | Quick service | 222 Rainbow Boulevard | open | |
| Colosso Taco II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2440 Pine Ave | open |
| Como Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2220 Pine Ave | open | |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 443 Main St | open |
| DG Bread & Pizza | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery · Pizza | 840 19th St | open |
| DiCamillo Bakery Di Camillo Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Italian | 1700 Pine Ave | open |
| Donatellos Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 466 3rd St | open |
| Dosa Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Vegetarian | 745 E Market St | open |
| Fortuna's Restaurant and Banquets | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 827 19th St | open |
| Frankies Donuts and Pizza &pizza | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Pizza · Dessert | 717 Portage Rd | open |
| Gagster's Restaurant & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 708 E Market St | open |
| Goodfellas Pizzeria Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 745 W Market St | open |
| Halal Bites of Niagara | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · American | 1701 Pine Ave | open |
| Halal Fresh N Fast | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 1801 Pine Ave | open |
| Halal Haven Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Middle Eastern · Indian | 1532 Pine Ave | open |
| Hong Kong Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2715 Pine Ave | open |
| Indian Kitchen King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 610 Main St | open |
| Isaac's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 500 Ridge Ave | open | |
| Jakes Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 1201 11th St | open | |
| Jmf22 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 827 19th St | open | |
| Judas Tree | Bar · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1507 Pine Ave | open |
| Kentucky Fried Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1309 Main St | open |
| La Hacienda Ristorante and Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 3019 Pine Ave | open |
| Lahori Fried Chicken and Gyro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Halal / kosher | 1738 Pierce Ave | open |
| Lal Qila Halal Indian Pakistani Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Halal / kosher | 431 3rd St | open |
| Lee's Restaurant & Juicebar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining · Bar | Juice / smoothies | 630 10th St | open |
| Madras Cafe USA | Café | Indian · Coffee · American | 427 3rd St | open |
| Mama Rose | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 744 E Market St | open | |
| Marketside Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 712 E Market St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1726 Pine Ave | open |
| Mirch Masala Mirch Masala | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 539 Main St | open |
| Mughal E Azam Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1915 Pine Ave | open | |
| N Town Wingz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 2440 Pine Ave | open |
| New York Fish Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 745 E Market St | open | |
| Niagara Falls Chinese Buffet | Buffet | Chinese · Asian | 2901 Pine Ave | open |
| Noor Intercontinental Cuisine HALAL | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 1019 Main St | open |
| Orchard Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1217 Main St | open |
| Packers's Bar N Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | open | ||
| Pho Golden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 3004 Pine Ave | open |
| Pita Pit Pita Pit | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | open | |
| Pizza Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 507 3rd St | open |
| Power City Eatery | Other | Sandwiches | 444 3rd St | open |
| Preet And Simran Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 610 Main St | open | |
| Ray Mart Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 925 Pine Ave | open |
| Sheesha Lounge | Bar | 3004 Pine Ave | open | |
| Shorty's Patio Grill & Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 2626 Pine Ave | open | |
| Simply Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 829 Main St | open |
| Stadium Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1234 Hyde Park Blvd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2608 Pine Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | open | |
| T&M Golden Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 742 19th St | open |
| Tandoori King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 1915 Pine Ave | open |
| Taste of India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 427 3rd St | open |
| The 755 Restaurant & Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 755 W Market St | open |
| The Archives Pub | Bar | 439 3rd St | open | |
| The Craft Kitchen and Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Spanish / tapas · American | 223 Ferry Ave | open |
| The GoldBar | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 435 3rd St | open |
| The Neu Lounge | Bar | 831 16th St | open | |
| The New-Doug’s Famous | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2440 Pine Ave | open |
| The original Bambino's pizzeria & Italian cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2001 Pine Ave | open |
| The Original Sepe’s Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1801 Pine Ave | open |
| The Starry Night Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 1201 Pine Ave | open |
| The Third Street Tap Room | Bar | 439 3rd St | open | |
| The Why Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · American | 1317 Main St | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 3024 Pine Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 621 10th St | open |
| Unc's Bar | Bar | American | 223 Ferry Ave | open |
| Venus Greek & Mediterranean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 630 10th St | open |
| Viola's Submarine House | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1717 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Wine on Third Restaurant and Bar | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 501 3rd St | open |
| Yummiez | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2501 Pine Ave | open |
| Zaika Indian Cuisine | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 421 3rd St | open |
| Michael's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 3011 Pine Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 58 | 42 | — | — | — | 16 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 49 | 36 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 49 | 35 | — | — | — | 14 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 52 | 40 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 52 | 40 | 23 | 16 | 1 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 49 | 38 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 46 | 36 | 22 | 13 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 45 | 37 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 50 | 40 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 51 | 39 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 41 | 33 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 41 | 32 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 42 | 35 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 44 | 40 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 40 | 37 | 19 | 17 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 45 | 41 | 23 | 16 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 44 | 39 | 24 | 13 | — | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 34 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 32 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 37 | 32 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 34 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 39 | 35 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 40 | 36 | 20 | 15 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 36 | 18 | 16 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 36 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 37 | 14 | 19 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 41 | 19 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 31 | 16 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |