BMIE Market 14303
Niagara County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 6,156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±680 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,958 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 5,981 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,599 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $45,646 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,495 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $862 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $79,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,411 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14303 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 31.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +38.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +71.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 30–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 42.9 | 43 | 40% | +17.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43.5 | 44 | 35% | +15.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 67.5 | 67 | 25% | +16.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 6,156 | 64 | 40% | +25.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 45,646 | 10 | 40% | +4.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,958 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.5 | 76 | 35% | +26.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 58.5 | 8 | 25% | +2.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 6,156 | 64 | 20% | +12.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 45,646 | 10 | 20% | +2.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.9 | 59 | 50% | +29.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.5 | 76 | 30% | +22.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 71.4 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (106)
By cuisine
American 31 · Coffee 14 · Indian 8 · Asian 6 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · German / Eastern European 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · Korean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 66 · Bar 32 · Casual dining 23 · Café 13 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Buffet 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Food truck 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A&W A&W | Quick service | Burgers · American | 303 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Aces Casino Bar | Bar | 310 4th St | open | |
| Amala Restaurant and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 311 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Anchor Bar Niagara Falls Anchor Bar-San Antonio | Casual dining · Bar | American | 114 Buffalo Ave | open |
| Bakery Restaurant Lounge And Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3004 Niagara St | open |
| Bella Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 360 Rainbow Blvd Fl 2 | open | |
| Blues Burger Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 310 4th St | open |
| Bombay Palace Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | Next to visitors center, 24 Buffalo Ave | open |
| Buckson BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 331 22nd St | open |
| Buffalo Wing Cart | Quick service | 305 Prospect St | open | |
| Cantina Falls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 310 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 310 Rainbow Boulevard | open |
| Cracker's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 301 Hyde Park Blvd | open | |
| Crepes by Mary | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Dessert | 360 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2432 Niagara St | open |
| Dosa Hut Fine Indian Cuisine | Quick service | Indian · Asian | 16 Rainbow Blvd S | open |
| Dueger's Tenowon Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 1001 Niagara St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 621 Niagara St Seneca One Stop | open |
| El Rinconcito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 360 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Everest Microbrewery | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 1 Prospect Pointe unit 1 | open | |
| Five Bro Xpress Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 295 Rainbow Blvd | open | |
| Flip Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 305 Prospect St | open |
| Frenchy's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2210 Niagara St | open |
| Gadawski's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European · American | 1445 Falls St | open |
| Giacomo Breakfast Lounge | Bar | Breakfast | 222 1st St | open |
| Giacomo Lobby Bar | Bar | 220 Rainbow Blvd | open | |
| Halal Indian and Pakistani Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 333 1st St | open |
| Hard Rock Cafe Hard Rock | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 333 Prospect St | open |
| Hard Rock Cafe Niagara Falls USA Hard Rock Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 333 Prospect St, Niagara Falls, NY, 14303, US | open |
| Hyde Park Café | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 311 Hyde Park Blvd | open |
| Hyderabad Biryani House Niagara | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 26 Niagara St | open |
| Indian Spice Cafe,llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 360 Rainbow Blvd | open | |
| International Bar& Grill | Buffet | 333 Rainbow Blvd | open | |
| International Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet · Casual dining | Indian · American | 295 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Jimmy's | Bar · Casual dining | American | 3044 Niagara St | open |
| Joann's Village Gate | Bar | 2265 Niagara St | open | |
| Jon Fre's Restaurant | Bar · Casual dining | 2623 Niagara St | open | |
| Kathi Roll On The Falls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 7 Old Falls St | open |
| Koi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Buffet | Coffee · Asian | 310 4th St | open |
| Kona Ice of Niagara Falls Kona Ice | Dessert · Food truck | Dessert | Services Available In: | open |
| Kristen's Bar and Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2602 Niagara St | open | |
| La Patisserie | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 28 Old Falls St | open |
| Legends Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 240 1st St | open |
| Links At Niagara | Bar | 360 Rainbow Blvd Fl 2 | open | |
| Maharaja Indian Rest Inc Punjabi Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 26 Niagara St | open | |
| Maharaja Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 295 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Mario's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 307 Prospect St | open |
| Marjim Manor at the Falls | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 28 Old Falls St | open | |
| Marsil's Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 2230 Falls St | open | |
| Misty Dog Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 18 Niagara St | open |
| Misty Guild Cafe | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 324 Niagara St Unit 103 | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Quick service | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 333 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Mother Cluckers | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Chicken / wings | 303 Prospect St | open |
| Mr. Teriyaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 360 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Murugan Cafe | South Indian Vegetarian Restaurant | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Coffee | Unit 6 Old Falls St | open |
| My Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 133 24th St | open |
| Niagara Falls Hard Rock Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Coffee | open | |
| Niagara Getaway | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1441 Fort Ave | open | |
| Niagara Tandoori Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 399 Rainbow Blvd | open | |
| NY Wood Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza | 360 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Old Falls Street Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Hot dogs · American | 240 1st St | open |
| Palmeri's & Son Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2432 Niagara St | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 240 1st St | open |
| Parkway Prime Steakhouse & Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 401 Buffalo Ave | open |
| Pizza Oven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1903 Niagara St | open |
| Player's Sports Bar | Bar | 328 Niagara St | open | |
| Polish Nook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European · European | 2242 Cudaback Ave | open |
| Press Box | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 324 Niagara St | open | |
| Prospect Point Caf | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Bakery | 1 Prospect Pointe | open |
| Pyung Taik Korean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 420 Niagara St | open |
| Rainbow Blvd Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 795 Rainbow Blvd | open | |
| Rainforest Cafe Rainforest Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 300 3rd St | open |
| Rock Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 328 Niagara St | open | |
| Royal Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 311 Hyde Park Blvd | open |
| Royal Dragon Noodle Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 310 Rainbow Blvd Ste 100 | open |
| Savor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · European | 28 Old Falls St | open |
| SÄ“vÄ Kitchen & Bar | Bar | Spanish / tapas · American | 200 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Sēvā Tapas Bar & Lounge | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 200 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Sky Lounge | Bar | 222 1st St | open | |
| Spa & Salon | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Bar · Quick service · Buffet | Steakhouse · Sandwiches · American | 310 4th St | open |
| SPoT Niagara Falls | Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 24 Buffalo Ave | open |
| Steelbound Brewery & Distillery Niagara Falls | Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 300 3rd St | open | |
| Street Cafe and Halal Foods | Café | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern · Coffee | 526 Niagara St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service | Sandwiches | 222 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Sweet Treats Starbucks | Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 300 3rd St | open |
| Swift Current Eatery LLC | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 300 3rd St | open |
| Taj mahal cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Halal / kosher | 360 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| TGI Fridays | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 300 3rd St | open | |
| The Bistro – Eat. Drink. Connect. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 900 Buffalo Ave | open | |
| The Dog House The Dog House | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 360 Rainbow Blvd #8 | open |
| The Hurricane Deck Patio Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 360 Rainbow Blvd N | open | |
| The Lobby Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 310 4th St | open | |
| The Mami House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 250 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Third Street Retreat Eatery & Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 250 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 310 4th St | open |
| Tony Roma's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 114 Buffalo Ave | open |
| Top of the Falls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Goat Island Rd | open | |
| Top of the Falls Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 30 Goat Island Rd | open |
| Torrent Bar & Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 300 3rd St | open | |
| Twist O The Mist | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 18 Niagara St | open |
| Twisted Olives | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 333 Rainbow Blvd | open | |
| Twisted Taco NF | Food truck | Mexican | 18 Niagara St | open |
| Villella's Italian Resturaunt | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 795 Rainbow Blvd | open |
| Vinnie's Minis | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches · Italian | 2789 Niagara St | open |
| Wanderlust Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 307 Prospect St | open | |
| Wine Boutique | Winery / distillery / taproom | 28 Old Falls St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 48 | 36 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 42 | 31 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 44 | 33 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 46 | 32 | — | — | — | 14 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 42 | 29 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 11 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 35 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 19 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 36 | 29 | 18 | 11 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 33 | 26 | 17 | 9 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 39 | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 36 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 36 | 18 | 16 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 42 | 35 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 37 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 15 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 36 | 14 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 36 | 13 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |