BMIE Market 14526
Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,629 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,804 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,308 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $118,777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,810 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,201 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $282,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14526 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -14.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -14.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +7.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +26.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 21–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.8 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14526. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.6 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.2 | 53 | 35% | +18.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 20.2 | 20 | 25% | +5.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,629 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,777 | 90 | 40% | +36.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,833 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -14.7 | 16 | 35% | +5.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.8 | 54 | 25% | +13.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,629 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,777 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -14.7 | 16 | 50% | +7.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -14.7 | 16 | 30% | +4.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 7.4 | 38 | 20% | +7.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (54)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 11 · Italian 7 · Pizza 7 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Thai 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 11 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 1694 Penfield Rd | open |
| Boost Juice Penfield | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 2084 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 2146 Fairport Nine Mile Point Rd | open |
| Cam's Pizzeria Cam's Pizzeria Dewitt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2110 Fairport Nine Mile Point Rd | open |
| Capones Italian eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1811 Penfield Rd | open |
| Chick Magnet - Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 1794 Penfield Rd | open |
| Don's Original | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | Burgers · American | 2055 Fairport Nine Mile Point Road | open |
| Dragon House Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2200 Penfield Rd | open |
| Duchess Restaurant The | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2160 Penfield Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1802 Penfield Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2055 Fairport Nine Mile Point | open |
| Elegant Expressions | Bakery | Bakery | 2084 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| Fairfield's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2600 Baird Rd | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2067 Fairport Nine Mile Point Rd. | open |
| Grill & Tap Room at Shadow Lake | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1850 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| Guacamole Taqueria Catering & Food Truck | Food truck | Mexican | 1778 Penfield Rd | open |
| Hong Wah Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1802 Penfield Rd | open |
| Itacate Penfield 4-Corners | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1859 Penfield Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 2067 Fairport Nine Mile Point Road | open |
| Joe Gatt's Food & Cocktails | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2126 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| Joey's Pasta House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1789 Penfield Rd | open |
| Lindburgers Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2157 Penfield Rd | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2200 Penfield Rd | open |
| Mamitas Mexican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1778 Penfield Rd | open |
| Mark's Pizzeria Mark's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2107 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| Market Café | Café | Coffee | 2157 Penfield Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2191 Penfield Rd | open |
| Menchie's Frozen Yogurt Menchie's Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2160 Penfield Rd | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2150 Fairport Nine Mile Point Road | open |
| Monte Alban | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2160 Penfield Rd | open |
| Mooseberry Cafe | Café | Coffee | 2555 Baird Rd | open |
| New York State Craft Beer | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Oak & Apple Cidery Oak & Apple Cidery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1600 Dublin Rd | open | |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2152 Fairport Nine Mile Road | open |
| Pattaya Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1843 Penfield Rd | open |
| Penfield Hots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1794 Penfield Rd | open |
| Penfield Pizza Parlor, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2160 Penfield Rd | open | |
| Perri's Pizzeria Perri's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1837 Penfield Rd | open |
| Pontillo's Pizza - Penfield | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 1811 Penfield Rd | open |
| Rosey's Italian Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Coffee | 2133 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 2160 Penfield Rd | open |
| Signatures at the Humphrey House | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1783 Penfield Rd | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Quick service | 2150 Fairport Nine Mile Point Road, Ste B | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1806 Penfield Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2071 Fairport Nine Mile Point Rd | open |
| Subway Restaurants | Other | Sandwiches | 2200 Penfield Rd | open |
| Superfly Dmc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2157 Penfield Rd | open | |
| Sushi King Sushi King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1825 Penfield Rd | open |
| T-bones Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1778 Penfield Rd | open |
| The 5 Mile Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 2084 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| TheCorner | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1350 Five Mile Line Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 1700 Penfield Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2230 Penfield Rd | open |
| Times Square Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2160 Penfield Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 24 | 23 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 23 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 25 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 32 | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 36 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 37 | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 37 | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 34 | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 31 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 31 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |