BMIE Market 14625

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,717 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±866 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,826 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,387 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,801 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,865 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,831 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,563 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$244,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,645 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14625
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-4.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 22–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.84) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14625. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.84, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.3	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.5	71	35%	+24.7
Market Momentum Score	79.0	79	25%	+19.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,717	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	110,865	87	40%	+34.8
Households (ACS)	4,826	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	71.4	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.4	32	25%	+7.9
Population (ACS)	10,717	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	110,865	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	71.4	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	26.3	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 7 · Dessert 6 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbott's Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard	Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1610 Penfield Rd	open
All Star Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1628 Penfield Rd	open
Andy's Candies	Dessert		1601 Penfield Rd	open
Bernunzio's Deli Bakery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	745 Penfield Rd	open
Bill Gray's Bill Gray's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1650 Penfield Rd	open
Bonafede's Pizzaeria & Pasta Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	514 Linden Ave	open
Browncroft Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2501 Browncroft Blvd	open
Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	1601 Penfield Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1645 Penfield Rd	open
Cam's Pizzeria Cam's Pizzeria Dewitt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2487 Browncroft Blvd	open
Capitano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1400 Empire Blvd	open
Charley Brown's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1675 Penfield Rd	open
Chef's Kitchen & Bakery	Other	Sandwiches	745 Penfield Rd	open
Donna Marie's Gluten Free Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1694 Penfield Rd	open
Eleven Lakes Restaurant Group, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 Panorama Trl S	open
Europa Cafe & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1694 Penfield Rd	open
Europa Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1694 Penfield Rd	open
Forno Di Laura	Dessert	Pizza · Dessert · American	1601 Penfield Rd	open
George's Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1601 Penfield Rd	open
Halco Of Rochester	Restaurant (service type not stated)		365 N Washington St	open
Indus Real Estate Iii Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 Panorama Trl S	open
Lina's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	494 Landing Rd N	open
Lina’s	Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	494 Landing Rd N	open
Lisas Qaulity Catering Cafe	Café	Coffee	514 Linden Ave	open
Michael's Valley Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1694 Penfield Rd	open
Mike & Hilary's Place Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1665 Penfield Rd	open
Monty's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	70 Linden Park	open
Mr Shoes Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	514 Linden Ave	open
Mr Shoes Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2448 Browncroft Blvd	open
Offaly Dining Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		916 Panorama Trl S	open
Panera Bread	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	1621 Penfield Rd	open
Petite Picasso Cookie Company LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	83 Bunker Hill Dr	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	775 Panorama Trail South	open
Psd Of Penfield Inc Michaels Valley Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1694 Penfield Rd	open
Rising Storm at The Mill	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1880 Blossom Rd	open
Roadhouse Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1635 Penfield Rd	open
Sandwich Works Cafe	Other	Sandwiches	2501 Browncroft Blvd	open
Smoothies Plus Ice Cream / Quigley's Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1592 Qualtrough Rd	open
Sonny's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	494 Landing Rd N	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1000 Linden Park	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1620 Penfield Rd	open
The Original Steve's Diner Original Steve's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	1694 Penfield Rd	open
The Penfield Pour House	Bar · Casual dining		1665 Penfield Rd	open
The Pizza Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1601 Penfield Rd	open
Timothy Patrick's Irish Restaurant and Sports Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	916 Panorama Trl S	open
Traci Tegg Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1628 Penfield Rd	open
Tree Town Cafe	Café	Coffee	745 Penfield Rd	open
What's 'Ur Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1601 Penfield Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1601 Penfield Rd	open
Jg Crummers Inc	Bar		1665 Penfield Rd	closed
The Hughmidor	Bar		365 N Washington St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	25	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	25	25	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	27	27	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	30	26	13	10	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	32	28	17	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	33	27	16	8	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	29	24	13	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	23	19	10	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	23	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	22	19	8	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	18	7	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	19	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	26	19	10	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	25	18	8	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	16	7	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	18	7	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	14	5	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	23	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	18	6	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	19	7	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	18	6	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	20	6	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	21	6	12	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	24	6	15	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14625. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14610	2.1 mi	19	2023
14445	2.7 mi	19	2023
14609	3.0 mi	60	2023
14526	3.1 mi	29	2023
14618	3.5 mi	56	2023
14607	4.1 mi	105	2023
14605	4.9 mi	11	2023
14622	5.0 mi	22	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.