BMIE Market 14445
Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,529 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,019 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,687 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $73,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,066 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,151 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $155,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14445 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -13.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +11.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 15–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14445. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 61.6 | 62 | 40% | +24.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 36.2 | 36 | 35% | +12.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 46.0 | 46 | 25% | +11.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,529 | 67 | 40% | +26.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,625 | 53 | 40% | +21.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,500 | 69 | 20% | +13.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.6 | 16 | 35% | +5.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 25.2 | 26 | 25% | +6.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,529 | 67 | 20% | +13.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,625 | 53 | 20% | +10.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 5.6 | 62 | 50% | +31.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.6 | 16 | 30% | +5.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 26.7 | 50 | 20% | +10.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
Coffee 10 · American 7 · Bakery 7 · Italian 7 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bakery 9 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 7 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2130 State Rd., Llc Dba # 1 Auto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 350 W Commercial St | open | |
| A & M Northeast Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 349 W Commercial St Ste 2258 | open | |
| Baytowne Pizza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 349 W Commercial St Ste 1300 | open | |
| Bistro 135 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 135 W Commercial St | open |
| Broken Yolk | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 165 W Commercial St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 875 Fairport Rd | open |
| Chili Paul Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 349 W Commercial St Ste 1300 | open | |
| China Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 452 W Commercial St | open |
| Corner Sports Bar | Bar | 122 Main St | open | |
| Country Party House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 321 E Linden Ave | open | |
| Crust Pizza Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 211 Main St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 785 Fairport Road | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 966 Linden Ave | open |
| El Greco by Mike | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 165 W Commercial St | open |
| Empanada Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Sandwiches | 115 W Commercial St | open |
| ER Hots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza | 115 W Commercial St | open |
| Etna Italian Pastry Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 349 W Commercial St | open |
| Ferrari Pizza Bar ferrari pizza and sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 349 W Commercial St Ste 1950 | open |
| Flourish Yoga Project | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 129 W Commercial St Ste 4 | open | |
| Geninvesco Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 115 W Commercial St | open | |
| GG's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 326 W Commercial St | open |
| Good Smoke Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 326 W Commercial St | open |
| Guacamole Authentic Mexican Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 144 W Commercial St | open |
| Happy Hours Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 72 Lake Crescent Dr | open |
| Hollycake House | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 300 Main St | open |
| JB's SmokeHouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 211 Main St | open |
| La-Tea-Da! Tea Room & Parlour | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 211 W Commercial St | open |
| Landmark Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 825 Fairport Rd | open |
| Lemoncello Italian Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 137 W Commercial St | open |
| Leo's Bakery and Deli | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 101 Despatch Dr | open |
| Lisa & Lecy's Bakery & Barista | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 317 Main St | open |
| Luigis | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 230 W Commercial St | open |
| Mr V's Street Style Vending | Food truck · Catering | 706 McKinley St | open | |
| North Side Speed | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 422 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Northside Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 311 N Washington St | open | |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 785 Fairport Rd | open |
| Perlo's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Steakhouse · Seafood | 202 N Washington St | open |
| PlayerzZone | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 349 W Commercial St Suite 1320 | open | |
| Prince Georges | Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 104 Main St | open | |
| Rochester Coffee Brewing Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 966 W Linden Ave | open | |
| Salty Girl | Other | Sandwiches | 349 W Commercial St #1250 | open |
| Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria | Casual dining | Pizza · Italian · American | 240 W Commercial St | open |
| Sambuca Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 146 W Commercial St | open |
| Steve's Bar and Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 112 Main St | open | |
| Steven James Coffee Co. | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 349 W Commercial St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 341 West Commercial Street | open |
| The Silverball Saloon | Bar | 135 W Commercial St | open | |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 908 Fairport Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 447 W Commercial St | open |
| Vegas Hots | Food truck | 453 W Commercial St | open | |
| Village Rock Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Coffee | 213 Main St | open |
| Watermark Specialty Foods | Bakery | Bakery | 101 Despatch Dr | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 305 West Commercial | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 24 | 17 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 15 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 16 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 19 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 10 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 20 | 11 | 9 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 22 | 13 | 9 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 18 | 11 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 10 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 9 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 12 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 23 | 9 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 10 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 11 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 10 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |