BMIE Market 14610

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,311 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±944 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,383 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±483 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,233 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,618 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,195 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$258,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14610
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-9.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+11.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14610. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.0	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.3	50	35%	+17.6
Market Momentum Score	46.6	47	25%	+11.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,311	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	85,961	69	40%	+27.6
Households (ACS)	7,383	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-9.5	19	35%	+6.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.3	59	25%	+14.8
Population (ACS)	14,311	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	85,961	69	20%	+13.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.6	62	50%	+31.0
10-year restaurant growth	-9.5	19	30%	+5.6
20-year restaurant growth	26.7	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 6 · Italian 6 · Pizza 5 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Balsam Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	288 Winton Rd N	open
Blimpie	Quick service		1849 East Ave	open
Blossom Road Pub	Casual dining · Bar		198 N Winton Rd	open
Cam's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1827 East Ave	open
Canaltown Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1805 East Ave	open
Captain Tony's Pizza and Pasta Emporium Captain Tony's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	385 Winton Rd N	open
Cc Diner Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1743 East Ave	open
China Garden Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	268 Winton Rd N	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2000 East Ave	open
Colter's Colters Bar B Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	262 N Winton Rd	open
Country Club Diner	Casual dining	American	1743 East Ave	open
Devilish Delights	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	121 Harris Park	open
DiBella's Subs DiBella's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1876 East Ave	open
Doctor's Inn	Casual dining · Bar		1743 East Ave	open
Dolce Italy	Bakery	Bakery	1803 East Ave # 7	open
Douglass Dining Center	Buffet		735 Library Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1691 East Ave	open
Float Our Way	Restaurant (service type not stated)		127 Shaftsbury Rd	open
Frost and Foundry	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1245 Park Ave	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1849 East Ave	open
Jim's Restaurant	Casual dining	American	233 N Winton Rd	open
Joe Bean Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	565 Blossom Rd	open
Khong Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	260 Winton Rd N	open
Liberty Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	160 Winton Rd N	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1701 East Ave	open
Montgomery Court	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1245 Park Ave	open
Perri's Pizzeria Pub Perri's Pizzeria	Bar	Pizza · Italian	1881 East Ave	open
Rhino's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	391 Humboldt St	open
Ristorante Lucano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1815 East Ave	open
Shema Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	102 Dorchester Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	668 Blossom Rd	open
Tealightful	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	146 Halstead St	open
The Boot Room Pub	Bar · Casual dining		198 Winton Rd N	open
The Grill on East	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2500 East Ave	open
The Pasta Shoppe	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	277 Winton Rd N	open
The Rabbit Hole	Bar		20 Audley Way	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1844 East Avenue	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service		237 North Winton Road	open
Wong's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1801 East Ave	open
New Service Merchandiser Cdg	Bakery	Bakery	146 Halstead St Ste 109a	closed
Pasta Chef To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)		260 N Winton Rd	closed
Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	1750 East Ave	closed
The Ravioli Shop	Bakery	Bakery	260 N Winton Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	19	12	6	6	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	17	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	21	15	9	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	21	14	8	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	21	15	8	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	15	7	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	24	16	10	4	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	25	17	9	6	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	28	20	9	8	3	3	NAICS2002
2007	27	19	7	11	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	26	18	6	11	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	26	19	6	12	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	25	18	6	11	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	25	19	7	11	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	27	19	6	10	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	31	21	7	11	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	29	18	6	9	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	30	18	7	8	3	4	NAICS2012
2016	28	16	6	7	3	5	NAICS2012
2017	29	17	6	8	3	5	NAICS2017
2018	31	18	6	9	3	5	NAICS2017
2019	30	18	7	8	3	5	NAICS2017
2020	29	16	6	7	3	5	NAICS2017
2021	29	18	7	7	4	5	NAICS2017
2022	27	18	8	7	3	4	NAICS2022
2023	29	19	7	8	4	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14610. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14618	1.9 mi	56	2023
14625	2.1 mi	24	2023
14607	2.2 mi	105	2023
14609	2.5 mi	60	2023
14620	3.1 mi	72	2023
14604	3.2 mi	37	2023
14445	3.4 mi	19	2023
14605	3.4 mi	11	2023
14614	3.7 mi	12	2023
14608	4.0 mi	18	2023
14642	4.2 mi	1	2016
14627	4.4 mi	1	2009

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.