BMIE Market 14614

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,158 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	186 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,224 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	76 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,394 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±479 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14614
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	122.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-29.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-47.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	22 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	32 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	18 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14614. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	31.8	32	40%	+12.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	18.0	18	35%	+6.3
Market Momentum Score	10.0	10	25%	+2.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,158	35	40%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	62,500	34	40%	+13.8
Households (ACS)	186	21	20%	+4.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 18 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	103.6	4	25%	+1.0
Population (ACS)	1,158	35	20%	+6.9
Median household income (ACS)	62,500	34	20%	+6.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-29.4	9	50%	+4.6
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · Sandwiches 5 · American 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bar 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amato’s Cravings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		158 W Main St	open
Atlanta Bread Company	Bakery	Bakery	1 E Main St	open
Benson Cheng Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 Exchange Blvd	open
Biltmore Bar and Lounge	Bar		47 State St	open
Busy Bee Busy Bee	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	124 W Main St	open
Byblos Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	9 E Main St	open
Camp Good Days Wine Auction Dinner	Winery / distillery / taproom		70 State St	open
Cassie's Citchen & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	163 State St	open
Christopher's Times Square Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	30 W Broad St	open
Cravings	Other	Sandwiches	158 W Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	89 State St	open
Executive Cafe & Bakery	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	36 W Main St	open
Founders Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	13 S Fitzhugh St	open
Galleria Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	16 E Main St	open
Grill & Greens	Café	Coffee	39 State St	open
He's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	20 Exchange Blvd	open
Herman's High Falls Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	130 Platt St	open
Hot Rosita's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17 E Main St	open
Java Joe's	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2 State St	open
Jimmy Mac's At High Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 Platt St	open
Joe and Charlies grill	Food truck · Casual dining · Bar	Hot dogs	39 W Main St	open
Keys Piano Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		233 Mill St	open
Legacy Wine Bar	Bar		51 State St	open
Mor Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	49 W Main St	open
New York Pizza Products Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		131 State St	open
O'Bagelo's	Bakery	Bakery	165 State St	open
Old Pueblo Grill, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30 W Broad St Ste 406	open
Peach blossom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9 E Main St	open
Pittsford Village Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	24 State St	open
Red White And Brew Of Rochester	Bar		147 State St	open
Sapori Cafe & Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	Powers Building Atrium, 16 W Main St Suite 111	open
Spin Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	229 Mill St	open
Squatcho's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	17 E Main St	open
State Street Bar&grill	Casual dining · Bar		70 State St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	31 E Main St	open
T's Eats	Other · Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	45 Exchange Blvd	open
Thai Quick Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Thai · Asian	17 E Main St	open
The Daily Grind Coffee Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2 State St	open
THE IRVING PLACE Restaurant and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		30 W Broad St LL01	open
The Pizza Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	131 State St #133	open
The Spirit Room	Bar		139 State St	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	1 E Main St	open
Zoe’s Haitian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	141 State St	open
Riverview Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70 State St	closed
Roc City Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Noodles / ramen / pho · Coffee	229 Mill St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	28	26	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	23	20	9	7	4	1	NAICS1997
1999	20	16	8	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	22	17	10	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	16	11	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	14	12	1	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	22	15	11	1	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	22	14	9	3	2	4	NAICS2002
2005	27	18	11	5	2	6	NAICS2002
2006	27	20	10	8	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	24	18	9	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	22	15	6	8	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	22	17	7	7	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	21	15	8	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	24	20	9	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	23	19	10	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	18	5	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	16	6	5	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	17	6	7	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14614. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14608	0.5 mi	18	2023
14604	0.5 mi	37	2023
14605	1.0 mi	11	2023
14607	1.5 mi	105	2023
14611	1.7 mi	14	2023
14620	2.1 mi	72	2023
14613	2.1 mi	15	2023
14627	2.2 mi	1	2009
14619	2.3 mi	4	2023
14621	2.3 mi	54	2023
14642	2.5 mi	1	2016
14609	3.4 mi	60	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.