BMIE Market 14605

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±912 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±373 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,610 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,304 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$21,201 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$852 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$82,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,039 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14605
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14605. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.1	44	40%	+17.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.7	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	53.7	54	25%	+13.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,783	73	40%	+29.3
Median household income (ACS)	21,201	1	40%	+0.3
Households (ACS)	4,500	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.3	75	25%	+18.7
Population (ACS)	11,783	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	21,201	1	20%	+0.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	22.2	47	20%	+9.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

American 10 · Latin American (other) 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 7 · Brewery / taproom 6 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
447 North St	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	447 North St	open
Abyssnia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		80 University Ave	open
Bobo's Chicken Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	532 Joseph Ave	open
Boocha Babe Kombucha Llc	Brewery / taproom		850 Saint Paul St Ste 34	open
Cataract Brewery Building	Brewery / taproom		13 Cataract St	open
Central Park Family Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	271 Central Park	open
De Mi TIERRA	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	828 N Clinton Ave	open
El Chinchorro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Peruvian	26 Lowell St	open
El Sazon de Tu Tierra	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	776 N Clinton Ave	open
Genesee Beer & Ale	Brewery / taproom · Bar		445 St Paul St	open
Genesee Brewery Cooler Room (Free Beer)	Brewery / taproom			open
Genesee Brewing Co Receiving Department	Brewery / taproom · Bar		505 St Paul St	open
Ghetto Foods	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1 Hudson Ave	open
Gravitte’s Soul Food Kitchen & Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	447 North St	open
Grill Kingz Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern	447 North St	open
High Falls Brewing Co. Llc	Brewery / taproom		445 St Paul St	open
J&S Fried Dough	Food truck · Quick service	American	280 N Union St	open
Jim's On Main	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	785 E Main St	open
Korey Baker's	Bakery	Bakery	828 N Clinton Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	618 Upper Falls Blvd	open
Latino Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	216 Hudson Ave	open
Latino's Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	478 Portland Ave	open
Lounge 2six9	Bar		269 Central Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	275 Upper Falls Blvd	open
Mojoe's Take Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	515 Portland Ave	open
Plum Garden Japanese Restaurant Plum Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4 Schauman Pl	open
Privacy Hookah Lounge	Bar		269 Central Ave	open
R Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	695 North St #697	open
RNR Ice Cream Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	280 N Union St	open
Roc City Empanadas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas	250 Cumberland St	open
S & T Lounge Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		330 North St	open
Seventy West	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Central Ave	open
Sidora's Lounge	Bar		374 Portland Ave	open
Sills Ice Service	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	464 Portland Ave	open
Silvanas Arize Corporation	Bakery	Bakery	250 Cumberland St	open
Sooul Wings Takeout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	509 Joseph Ave	open
Sticky Fingers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	216 Hudson Ave	open
Tavern at Gibbs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Steakhouse	58 University Ave	open
The Pierogie Guy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	280 Union St N	open
Thesoulpalace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	327 North St	open
Tilt Nightclub	Bar		444 Central Ave	open
Valentino's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	26 Lowell St	open
Wang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	804 N Clinton Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	744 East Main St	open
H&d Food Products, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		445 Central Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	7	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	17	6	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	11	5	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	6	5	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	5	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	18	11	4	4	3	4	NAICS2012
2013	18	11	4	4	3	4	NAICS2012
2014	15	11	5	3	3	4	NAICS2012
2015	17	12	4	5	3	4	NAICS2012
2016	18	13	5	5	3	4	NAICS2012
2017	15	11	5	3	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	9	4	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	11	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14605. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14604	0.8 mi	37	2023
14614	1.0 mi	12	2023
14607	1.4 mi	105	2023
14621	1.5 mi	54	2023
14608	1.5 mi	18	2023
14613	2.2 mi	15	2023
14609	2.5 mi	60	2023
14611	2.7 mi	14	2023
14620	2.8 mi	72	2023
14627	3.1 mi	1	2009
14619	3.3 mi	4	2023
14642	3.4 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.