BMIE Market 14611

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,145 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,460 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,344 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±625 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,396 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,849 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$31,376 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,584 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±100 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$82,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,683 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14611
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 16–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14611. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.5	49	40%	+19.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.1	42	35%	+14.7
Market Momentum Score	14.4	14	25%	+3.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,145	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	31,376	3	40%	+1.0
Households (ACS)	7,344	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.2	80	25%	+19.9
Population (ACS)	17,145	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	31,376	3	20%	+0.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-36.4	8	50%	+3.8
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 13 · Caribbean 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 8 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Catering 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ann Marie’s Edible Arrangements	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	554 Chili Ave	open
Antonetta's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1160 Jay St	open
B + Healthy Fresh Food Market	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	442 Genesee St	open
Better Stop Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		626 W Main St	open
BigBack takeout	Restaurant (service type not stated)		459 Jay St	open
Boog’s Chicken Trap	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	18 West Ave	open
Bridgeway Liquor and Wines	Bar		900 Genesee St	open
Brooks Landing Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	904 Genesee St	open
Brue Coffee	Café	Coffee	960 Genesee St	open
C & C Soul Food	Dessert	Dessert	463 Jay St	open
Campi's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	205 Scottsville Rd	open
Cassan's Catering & Restaurant	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	626 W Main St	open
CDC Sweets & Treats	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	3 Lenox St	open
Chili Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	945 Chili Ave	open
City Fish Mkt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	626 W Main St	open
Cookie's Jar Bar & Grill	Bar		1172 S Plymouth Ave	open
CRUNCHICKS( The Best Halal Fried Chicken, Crunchy Shawarma, gyro and Chicken over rice))	Restaurant (service type not stated)		355 Child St	open
D'mangu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	154 Genesee St	open
Dama’s Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		493 West Ave	open
Diner at maple	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	993 Maple St	open
Eat Greek	Food truck		10 Mount Read Blvd Unit C	open
El Latino Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	1020 Chili Ave	open
Excel Manufacturing Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 Mount Read Blvd	open
G&G Steakout II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches · Burgers	810 Genesee St	open
GeminEyez Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	611 Jefferson Ave	open
Genesee Block Ice Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		399 Ames St	open
Hound Dogs Bar and Grill	Bar		461 Maple St	open
Isabelita's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · European	808 Brown St	open
Jamaican Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	211 Genesee St	open
Jimmy's Jimmy John's El Salvador	Quick service	Middle Eastern	651 Jefferson Ave	open
Kareen's Jamaican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	507 Chili Ave	open
Killa's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1172 S Plymouth Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		199 Lyell Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1218 Jay St	open
Livie's Jamaican Restaurant	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	375 Chili Ave	open
Magic Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	554 Chili Ave	open
Maple street diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Mason's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	396 Jefferson Ave	open
Menezes Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	445 Chili Ave	open
Mojoe's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	797 W Main St	open
Mojoe's Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)		337 Genesee St	open
Obsessions Bar Grill	Bar	American		open
Oea Market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	348 Jay St	open
Paul's Discount Restaurant Equipment	Restaurant (service type not stated)		427 Maple St	open
Pi's 1 Lounge	Bar		495 West Ave	open
Pomodoro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		337 Genesee St	open
Pop Style International	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	227 Genesee St	open
Rob's Kabobs	Café · Catering	Coffee · Latin American (other)	Mt Read	open
Rocky's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	810 Genesee St	open
Sabor a la cubana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Caribbean	1217 Jay St	open
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	433 Mt Read Blvd	open
Smc Food Service	Quick service		598 Jefferson Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	913 Genesee Street Suite B	open
The Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	912 Genesee St	open
Three Brothers Grocery & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	595 Jefferson Ave	open
Tropical Blendz Café & Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	753 Genesee St	open
Unkl Moe's Bbq & Catering Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	493 West Ave	open
V.v. Bella Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		433 Mount Read Blvd	open
Zocs Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	975 Chili Ave	open
Morrell Manufacturing & Development	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19 Silver St	closed
Reggae Jam Restaurant & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		651 Jefferson Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	18	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	30	22	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	28	19	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	24	17	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	25	14	8	6	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	25	15	7	8	—	6	NAICS1997
2000	24	14	7	7	—	7	NAICS1997
2001	26	16	8	8	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	23	13	5	8	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	22	14	5	9	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	22	15	6	9	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	21	14	8	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	21	17	10	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	17	13	7	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	17	13	7	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	18	13	7	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	9	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	18	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	18	13	7	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	21	16	6	9	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	24	16	6	9	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	21	15	6	9	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	19	14	4	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	27	19	4	15	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	30	22	5	17	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	25	19	4	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	21	4	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	22	6	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	21	7	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	14	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14611. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14619	0.8 mi	4	2023
14608	1.3 mi	18	2023
14627	1.6 mi	1	2009
14614	1.7 mi	12	2023
14642	2.1 mi	1	2016
14604	2.2 mi	37	2023
14613	2.4 mi	15	2023
14620	2.6 mi	72	2023
14605	2.7 mi	11	2023
14606	3.0 mi	41	2023
14607	3.0 mi	105	2023
14621	3.6 mi	54	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.