BMIE Market 14606
Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 25,538 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,824 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,255 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,090 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $55,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,600 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,055 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $158,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,092 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14606 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -18.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +17.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +24.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 34–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14606. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 60.8 | 61 | 40% | +24.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 40.9 | 41 | 35% | +14.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 21.8 | 22 | 25% | +5.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 25,538 | 86 | 40% | +34.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 55,807 | 23 | 40% | +9.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,824 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.8 | 20 | 35% | +7.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.1 | 49 | 25% | +12.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 25,538 | 86 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 55,807 | 23 | 20% | +4.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -18 | 14 | 50% | +7.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.8 | 20 | 30% | +6.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 17.1 | 44 | 20% | +8.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (102)
By cuisine
Pizza 21 · American 14 · Italian 11 · Sandwiches 11 · Burgers 9 · Dessert 9 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 7 · Asian 5 · Hot dogs 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Vietnamese 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Cuban 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 20 · Bakery 11 · Casual dining 11 · Dessert 10 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Specialty food shop 6 · Café 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anjan, Inc. & Bhavesh N. Patel Co-borrowers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 36 Spencerport Rd | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2336 Lyell Ave | open |
| Big City Deli & Pizzeria | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Pizza | 113 East Ave | open |
| Blimpie Subs & Sandwiches | Other | Sandwiches | 1954 Lyell Ave | open |
| Buddha's Burgers & Hots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches · Hot dogs | At the security Gate, 1600 Lexington Ave Ste 603 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 560 Lyell Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4 Spencerport Road | open |
| Burger Stop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3872 Lyell Rd #2 | open |
| C&C Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2310 Lyell Ave | open |
| Cam's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1219 Lyell Ave | open |
| Cane Cave | Bar | 73 Ann Marie Dr | open | |
| Carousel Cookies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1163 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Chef King CHEF KING | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2370 Lyell Ave | open |
| Ciaccia's Delicatessen and Eatery | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 183 Lee Rd | open |
| Cordello's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2445 Lyell Rd | open |
| DARLA & BILL’s GRILL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Hot dogs | 970 Lyell Ave | open |
| Diane's Food Cart | Food truck | Hot dogs · Burgers | 731 Lee Rd | open |
| DiRosato's Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3869 Lyell Rd | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 1460 Lyell Ave | open |
| Donald g ioannone | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 4099 Lyell Rd | open | |
| Dorothy's Diner | Casual dining · Café | American · Coffee | 1600 Lexington Ave | open |
| Dreamers Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 777 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1578 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 573 Lyell Ave | open |
| Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 459 Spencerport Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 719 Elmgrove Rd Hess | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1954 Lyell Ave | open |
| El Divino Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1149 Lyell Ave | open | |
| El Puerto Del Sabor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13 Glasser St | open | |
| Etna Italian Pastry Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Italian · Dessert | 1913 Long Pond Rd | open |
| Frank's Italian Ices & Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 479 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Gates Cleaners, Inc. Dba Saginaw Dry Cleaning & Tailorin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2356 Lyell Ave # 2358 | open | |
| Giuseppe's Restaurant - Rochester, NY | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 50 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Godfathers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 719 Elmgrove Rd | open |
| Godfathers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1954 Lyell Ave | open |
| Godfathers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 459 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Guida's Pizzeria Guida’s Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 736 Elmgrove Rd | open |
| Gus’s Urban kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1332 Lyell Ave | open |
| Hunan Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 781 Spencerport Rd | open |
| JEJ Sweet & Treats | Bakery | Bakery | 7 Waldo St | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 20 Spencerport Road | open |
| Jim's Ground | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1205 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Jing Hui | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1358 Lyell Ave | open | |
| Joey's Thirst Parlor | Bar | 1600 Lyell Ave | open | |
| Kamara's West African Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | African · American | 2003 Lyell Ave | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2222 Lyell Ave | open |
| Lexington Insurance Agency Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1820 Lexington Ave | open | |
| Linwood Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 191 Lee Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 2394 Lyell Ave | open |
| Lizzie Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| Mac's Pizzeria & Grill | Casual dining · Catering · Bar | Pizza | 2346 Lyell Ave | open |
| Main-Ford General Supply Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 366 Lyell Ave | open | |
| Martino's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1742 Long Pond Rd | open |
| Martusciello Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 2280 Lyell Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1450 Lyell Avenue | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 35 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Mojoe's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1074 Lyell Ave | open |
| Nam Vang Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1380 Lyell Ave | open |
| Nardo Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1205 Spencerport Rd | open | |
| Nature's Little Helper | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1460 Lyell Ave | open |
| North American Breweries | Brewery / taproom | 1600 Lexington Ave | open | |
| Olympia Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2380 Lyell Ave | open |
| Papa Joe's Italian Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 485 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Paradise Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 777 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Paulino's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2003 Lyell Ave | open |
| Perri's Pizzeria Perri's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2000 Lyell Ave | open |
| Pineapple Jacks | Bar · Casual dining | 507 Spencerport Rd | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 14 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 475 Spencerport Rd, | open |
| Polo's Supreme | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 505 Lyell Ave | open |
| Pontillo's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2320 Lyell Ave | open |
| Rancho Palma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 1149 Lyell Ave | open |
| Rancho Viejo Gates | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2336 Lyell Ave | open | |
| Roybidoux's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1742 Long Pond Rd | open |
| Rpm Innovations Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2346 Lyell Ave | open | |
| Saigon Pho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1384 Lyell Ave | open |
| Salad Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1245 Lyell Ave | open |
| Savastano's Bakery and Pizzeria | Bakery | Bakery · Pizza · Italian | 477 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Smokin Joes Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 425 Lyell Ave | open |
| Snap Burger & Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1245 Lee Rd | open |
| Steve T Hots & Potatoes | Casual dining | American | 2260 Lyell Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1460 Lyell Ave | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 36 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Super Wing Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 420 Lyell Ave | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2317 Lyell Ave | open |
| Taj Mahal Fine Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 1742 Long Pond Rd | open |
| The Coterie Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 777 Spencerport Rd | open |
| The Sugar Shack | Dessert | Dessert | 1074 Lyell Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1563 Spencerport Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1631 Lyell Ave | open |
| Ting's Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 1328 Lyell Ave | open |
| Tucci's | Bar | 1479 Lyell Ave | open | |
| Valicia's Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2155 Long Pond Rd | open |
| VTintermarket | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 932 Mt Read Blvd | open |
| Waffles R Wild | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3872 Lyell Rd | open | |
| Yaad Style Jamaican Restaurant | Quick service | Caribbean | 499 Lyell Ave | open |
| Alfano's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1245 Lee Rd | closed | |
| Frezati Custard Inc | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 775 Spencerport Rd | closed |
| Gates Beverage Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2240 Long Pond Rd # 5142 | closed | |
| I Love Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1074 Lyell Ave | closed |
| Kimmins Coffee Services | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 500 Lee Rd Ste C200 | closed |
| Zach Nick Inc | Bar | 1380 Lyell Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 43 | 33 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 40 | 32 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 40 | 33 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 48 | 39 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 44 | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 45 | 35 | 18 | 15 | 2 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 39 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 38 | 29 | 11 | 16 | 2 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 39 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 43 | 35 | 18 | 15 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 50 | 43 | 19 | 22 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 46 | 38 | 17 | 20 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 42 | 36 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 39 | 18 | 19 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 37 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 46 | 39 | 13 | 22 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 47 | 40 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 49 | 42 | 12 | 28 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 50 | 44 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 53 | 44 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 53 | 44 | 15 | 24 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 50 | 44 | 19 | 21 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 51 | 45 | 19 | 22 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 54 | 47 | 19 | 24 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 58 | 50 | 21 | 26 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 44 | 20 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 44 | 39 | 17 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 47 | 43 | 18 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 40 | 17 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 41 | 16 | 24 | — | — | NAICS2022 |