BMIE Market 16150

Mercer County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,111 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,426 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,328 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,334 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$842 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$148,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,070 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16150
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-30.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16150. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49	49	40%	+19.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.5	42	35%	+14.5
Market Momentum Score	41.1	41	25%	+10.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,856	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	56,334	24	40%	+9.4
Households (ACS)	3,111	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.2	71	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	6,856	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	56,334	24	20%	+4.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ashley's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2844 Lake Rd	open
Breakfast at Tiffany's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	45 S Walnut St	open
Chocolate Season	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	561 S 9th St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	30 N Walnut St	open
DiLorenzo's Specialty Deli and Bakery	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	30 E Shenango St	open
Erie Canal Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar		285 E High St	open
High Street Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	103 E High St Exd	open
Lock Stock & Barrel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	78 E Shenango St	open
Marigold	Casual dining · Bar		111 Main St	open
Muscarella's Cafe Italia	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	500 Main St	open
Orangeville Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		7506 Orangeville Rd	open
Ron's Bar And Grille	Bar	American	1448 W Ridge Ave	open
The Erie Canal Grille Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		285 E High Street Ext	open
The Sacred Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	106 N Mercer Ave	open
Thelma's Sports Nook	Bar		255 High St	open
Webb Winery Webb Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		29 N 2nd St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	14	8	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	15	10	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	15	8	6	2	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	15	8	6	2	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	15	8	5	3	—	7	NAICS1997
2001	14	8	4	4	—	6	NAICS1997
2002	16	7	4	3	—	8	NAICS1997
2003	13	4	3	1	—	9	NAICS2002
2004	19	6	3	3	—	12	NAICS2002
2005	21	11	7	3	1	9	NAICS2002
2006	14	6	3	2	1	7	NAICS2002
2007	17	9	4	4	1	7	NAICS2002
2008	14	8	5	3	—	5	NAICS2007
2009	14	10	7	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	10	6	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	13	8	5	3	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	13	9	6	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	12	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	13	8	5	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16150. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16113	1.3 mi	1	2011
16154	3.4 mi	3	2023
16148	4.0 mi	50	2023
16146	4.2 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.