BMIE Market 16148
Mercer County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,959 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,086 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $70,490 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 49.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $899 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $197,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,856 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 31.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 50 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16148 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 28.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -10.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -10.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +51.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 50 (range 44–56) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16148. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 66.7 | 67 | 40% | +26.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 36.4 | 36 | 35% | +12.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.2 | 24 | 25% | +6.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,545 | 78 | 40% | +31.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,490 | 48 | 40% | +19.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,950 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -10.7 | 18 | 35% | +6.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 30.2 | 20 | 25% | +4.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,545 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,490 | 48 | 20% | +9.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -10.7 | 18 | 50% | +9.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -10.7 | 18 | 30% | +5.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (104)
By cuisine
American 18 · Coffee 12 · Dessert 12 · Pizza 12 · Italian 8 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Mexican 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Seafood 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Quick service 27 · Bar 14 · Dessert 14 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Buffet 2 · Fast casual 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 201 S. Hermitage Road | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2385 E State St | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | 1275 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| Auntie Anne's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 3343 E State St | open |
| Backyard Bistro And Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3366 E State St | open |
| Bella Cena | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 3200 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 115 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| Bruster's Real Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 1688 E State St | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 3100 Shenango Valley Freeway | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2049 E State St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 590 South Hermitage Road | open |
| Cannon's Chophouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 3176 E State St | open |
| Charlie's Specialties, Inc. | Bakery | Bakery | 2500 Freedland Rd | open |
| Chiccarino's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 559 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| China Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2425 E State St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 125 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| CiCi's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1133 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 135 North Hermitage Rd | open |
| Combine Bros | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 578 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| Combine Brothers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2376 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · Dessert | 3102 E State St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1688 E State St 1688 E State St | open |
| Deer Creek Winery, Hermitage | Winery / distillery / taproom | 554 S Hermitage Rd | open | |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 2079 E State St | open |
| Desi Tadka | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 489 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 1688 E State St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 1275 N Hermitage Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 3560 E State St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2355 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| Eat'n Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2270 E State St | open | |
| El Arriero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3101 E State St | open |
| El Vallarta Mexican Restaurant & Cantina | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 3101 E State St | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3170 Glimcher Blvd. | open |
| Four Star Pizza Four Star Pizza Cork | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1119 Mercer Ave | open |
| Fox's Pizza Den | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1656 E State St | open |
| Frutta Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 2429 E State St | open |
| Garbanzo Mediterranean Fresh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · European | 2431 E State St | open |
| Georgia's City Lights | Bar | 3036 E State St | open | |
| Giant Eagle Get Go | Café | Coffee | 3150 Shenango Valley Fwy | open |
| Golden Corral Golden Corral Buffet & Grill | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1025 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| Grizzly Bean Coffee and Kitchen | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2560 E State St | open |
| Handel's Ice Cream Handel's Homemade Ice Cream - York, PA | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 550 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| Hermitage Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 420 N Buhl Farm Dr | open |
| Hermitage Hot Dog Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 1628 E State St | open |
| Hg Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1645 N Hermitage Rd | open | |
| Hickory Bar & Grille | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · Seafood | 1645 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| Hickory Vfw Post 6166 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5550 E State St | open |
| Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3362 E State St | open |
| Hotrods Sub Shop | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2923 E State St #2748 | open |
| HUNGER STATION GRILL | Casual dining · Bar | American · Mediterranean | 2431 E State St | open |
| Jai Alai | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1109 Mercer Ave | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2427A E. State Street | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 100 S. Hermitage Road | open |
| Kobe Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 2499 E State St | open |
| La Isla Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1800 E State St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1968 E State St | open |
| Long John Silver's Long John Silver's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 150 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| Luigi's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2918 E State St | open |
| MAY Tea & Coffee | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 1101 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 145 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2066 E State St | open |
| Mobogo Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1656 E State St | open |
| Neshan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Feni, Bangladesh | open | |
| Nick's Inn 62 Restaurant and Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1890 E State St | open |
| NIU by TALLS, LLC - Tropical Beverages | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | open | |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2390 East State Street | open |
| Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1275 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| Perkins Restaurant & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2945 E State St | open |
| Philadelphia Candies | Dessert | Dessert | 1546 E State St | open |
| Pita A Sandwich Stop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2560 E State St | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 400 S Hermitage Rd Mercer | open |
| Pizza Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4195 E State St | open |
| Pizzas By Marchelloni | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 390 N Buhl Farm Dr | open |
| Plaza Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2417 E State St | open |
| Ponderosa Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 3149 E State St | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 135 North Hermitage Road | open |
| Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar - Hermitage Pulp Juice and Smoothie Bar - Zanesville | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2429 E State St | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 3370 Shenango Valley Fwy | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert · Bar | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2393 E State St | open |
| Scotto's Famous Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2090 E State St | open |
| Smoky Martin's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 3601 E State St | open |
| Splitz Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 3825 E State St | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3342 E State St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2079 E State St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2427 E State St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 430 S Hermitage Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1990 East State St | open |
| The Corral | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2190 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| The IPA Institute | Bar | open | ||
| The Perfect Bite - Hermitage, PA | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Coffee · Dessert | 2429 E State St | open |
| The Whole Sh'Bang | Food truck | 1565 E State St | open | |
| Tops Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2980 E State St | open |
| Toss'd Italian Bar & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3640 E State St | open |
| Unstable Eats | Casual dining · Bar | 4945 E State St | open | |
| Valley Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3640 E State St | open |
| Veys Pub and Grille | Casual dining · Bar | American | 3176 E State St | open |
| Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1656 E State St | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service | Sandwiches · Bakery | 1275 N Hermitage Rd | open |
| Webb Winery Webb Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 3180 E State St | open | |
| Webb Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2531 S Hermitage Rd | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 120 N. Hermitage Road | open |
| Yumberries | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3342 E State St | open |
| Cianci’s Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 489 S Hermitage Rd | closed | |
| Jammin Jac's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3381 E State St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 35 | 33 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 36 | 34 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 35 | 32 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 41 | 39 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 42 | 40 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 41 | 39 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 41 | 38 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 43 | 39 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 44 | 42 | 16 | 20 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 43 | 40 | 16 | 19 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 49 | 46 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 49 | 45 | 17 | 19 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 46 | 16 | 20 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 51 | 48 | 17 | 19 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 57 | 52 | 18 | 22 | 9 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 58 | 53 | 20 | 21 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 53 | 49 | 17 | 21 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 59 | 55 | 19 | 24 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 59 | 55 | 19 | 26 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 60 | 56 | 22 | 24 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 54 | 50 | 19 | 22 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 54 | 50 | 19 | 21 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 59 | 55 | 21 | 24 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 64 | 57 | 22 | 27 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 63 | 56 | 20 | 29 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 59 | 53 | 18 | 28 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 59 | 54 | 17 | 29 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 56 | 50 | 16 | 27 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 55 | 50 | 16 | 27 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 55 | 50 | 16 | 27 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |