BMIE Market 16146

Mercer County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,936 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,155 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±273 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,040 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,138 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$45,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,603 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$78,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,718 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16146
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-25.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 20–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16146. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.4	49	40%	+19.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.4	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	36	36	25%	+9.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,936	74	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	45,670	10	40%	+4.1
Households (ACS)	6,155	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.5	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	12,936	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	45,670	10	20%	+2.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.8	23	50%	+11.5
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	20%	+2.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Italian 6 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Sandwiches 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 9 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aldo's Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1440 E State St	open
Allie's Sweet Tooth	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	47 E State St	open
Anderson Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	152 W State St	open
Another Corner Tavern	Bar		930 N Sharpsville Ave	open
Archie’s BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	495 George St	open
Big Shot Bob's House of Wings - Sharon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	797 E State St	open
Brewtus Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		23 Chestnut Ave	open
Canas Corner Coffeehouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	226 W State St	open
Clarencedale Cake Sharon	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	80 E State St	open
Coney Island Niko Lou's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Hot dogs	44 W State St	open
Cornerstone Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	107 E State St	open
Cravings!	Café	Coffee	76 Shenango Ave.	open
Croaker's Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		74 N Sharpsville Ave	open
Daffin's Candies See's Candies	Dessert	Dessert	496 E State St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	869 E State St	open
Donna's Diner	Casual dining	American	10 W State St	open
Ferrarra Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1208 Hall Ave	open
Gifted at Applegate	Coffee shop	Coffee	36 N Sharpsville Ave	open
Giovanni's Pizza and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1354 E State St	open
Haitian Sensation	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Coffee	76 Shenango Ave	open
Iron Indian Saloon	Bar		804 N Sharpsville Ave	open
JJ's Litehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	971 Division St	open
Keg Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	1499 E State St	open
Lulu Beans Cafe & Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	234 E State St	open
MAIN MOON CHINESE BUFFET	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	Chinese · Asian	84 W Connelly Blvd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1140 E State St	open
Marigold Restaurant Marigold Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	38 N Main Ave	open
McCalls Chicken & Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings · African	810 S Irvine Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	67 W State St	open
Nittany Pub & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1208 Hall Ave	open
Our Gang's Lounge	Bar		93 N Sharpsville Ave	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1006 E State St	open
Penn Ohio Lottery and Deli	Other	Sandwiches	830 Irvine Avenue	open
Pizza Joe's Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	52 S Water Ave	open
Quaker Steak and Lube Quaker Steak and Lube	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	101 Chestnut Ave	open
Sharon Hotdog Shop	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	134 W State St	open
Sharon Slovenian Home	Bar		1037 Baldwin Ave	open
Side Pocket Cafe	Bar		109 E Silver St	open
Sons of Italy #875 Sharon, PA	Bar	Italian	299 Vine Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	869 E State St Suite 2	open
Tavola234	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	234 E State St	open
The Bake Shoppe & Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	80 E State St	open
The Block	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Chestnut Ave	open
The Randy Bar	Bar · Casual dining		930 N Sharpsville Ave	open
Tony's Pizza & Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	628 Stambaugh Ave	open
Tully's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Chestnut Ave	open
Vey S Pub	Bar		1354 E State St	open
Hangry's Sub Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		247 Mcclure Ave # A	closed
West Side Beverage Co	Bar		110 N Water Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	37	27	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1995	33	22	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1996	31	21	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	31	22	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	33	21	14	7	—	9	NAICS1997
1999	32	21	14	7	—	9	NAICS1997
2000	32	22	13	8	1	8	NAICS1997
2001	30	20	11	8	1	8	NAICS1997
2002	32	20	13	7	—	10	NAICS1997
2003	34	26	17	8	1	6	NAICS2002
2004	28	19	12	7	—	7	NAICS2002
2005	30	21	10	10	1	7	NAICS2002
2006	29	19	8	10	1	8	NAICS2002
2007	30	18	9	9	—	9	NAICS2002
2008	29	18	9	9	—	8	NAICS2007
2009	29	20	13	7	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	28	19	11	8	—	6	NAICS2007
2011	23	16	9	7	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	22	16	10	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	20	15	9	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	22	17	9	8	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	23	20	10	9	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	20	10	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	24	22	12	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	21	12	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	20	12	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	20	12	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	20	11	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	21	10	7	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	25	20	11	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16146. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16121	1.6 mi	4	2023
44438	1.7 mi	3	2018
16161	2.3 mi	2	2016
16150	4.2 mi	7	2023
16148	4.3 mi	50	2023
44403	4.3 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.