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BMIE Market 17319

York County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)11,292
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,049 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households4,322
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count10,417
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units4,092
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income$99,778
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,016 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age38.9
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent$1,145
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±364 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value$236,900
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area16.8 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants16
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17319
Restaurants per 10,000 residents12.5
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year+6.7%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year+33.3%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year+14.3%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file+60.0%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 202816 (range 13–19)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score70 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score76 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score70 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score62 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score75.87640%+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score70.37035%+24.6
Market Momentum Score62.26225%+15.5
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)11,2927340%+29.0
Median household income (ACS)99,7788140%+32.3
Households (ACS)4,3227220%+14.4
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth33.37335%+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)14.25625%+14.0
Population (ACS)11,2927320%+14.5
Median household income (ACS)99,7788120%+16.2
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth6.76350%+31.7
10-year restaurant growth33.37330%+22.0
20-year restaurant growth14.34220%+8.4
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 6 · Italian 5 · American 4 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Chinese 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 5 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
589 Salem Rd IncRestaurant (service type not stated)589 Salem Rdopen
601 PizzeriaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Sandwiches · American601 Old York Rdopen
Angelo's Pizza & SubsRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Italian940 Old Trail Rdopen
Antonio's PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Italian209 S York Stopen
Brothers PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Italian140 Newberry Pkwyopen
Bruster's Real Ice CreamDessertIce cream / frozen desserts560 Financial Wayopen
Burger King Burger KingQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Burgers75 Robinhood Dropen
Dunkin' Dunkin'Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · BakeryCoffee · Dessert2210 Old Trail Rdopen
Dunkin' Dunkin'Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shopDessert · Coffee · Bakery560 Financial Wayopen
Dunkin' DonutsCoffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)Coffee55 Robinhood Dr Hessopen
Etters VFW Post 537Restaurant (service type not stated)1095 Pines Rdopen
Fine Wine & Good SpiritsWinery / distillery / taproom180 Newberry Pkwyopen
Hillside CafeRestaurant (service type not stated)Steakhouse589 Salem Rdopen
Hogan's Bar & GrillBar · Restaurant (service type not stated)BBQ · Burgers1227 Valley Green Rdopen
Hogans RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · BarAmerican1227 Valley Green Rdopen
Hong Kong BuffetRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese128 Newberry Pkwyopen
KFC KFCQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Chicken / wings49 Robin Hood Driveopen
Maa Durga Enterprises LlcRestaurant (service type not stated)49 Robinhood Dropen
Mamma's Pizza & SubsRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Sandwiches450 Fishing Creek Rdopen
Mamma's Pizza & Subs Mamma's Pizza CanadaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian450 Fishing Creek Rdopen
Maple Donuts Maple DonutsBakery · DessertDessert · Bakery50 Robinhood Dropen
McDonald's McDonald'sQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Burgers56 Robin Hood Dropen
Mi Isla Bella Food TruckRestaurant (service type not stated)Caribbean · Latin American (other)2200 Old Trail Rdopen
New ChinaRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese · Asian170 Newberry Commonsopen
Nonna's Made From ScratchBakeryBakery1465 Valley Rdopen
Pk's Smoothie ShackJuice, smoothie, teaJuice / smoothies1227 Valley Green Rdopen
Rock-It Pizza & SubsRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Sandwiches1995 Old Trail Rdopen
Starbucks StarbucksCoffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · CaféCoffee105 Newberry Parkwayopen
Subway Auntie Anne'sRestaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick serviceSandwiches · Bakery50 Newberry Parkwayopen
Subway SubwayQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches90 Newberry Commonsopen
Summit RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual diningAmerican335 Pleasant View Rdopen
Tacos SanchezFood truckMexican2180 Old Trail Rdopen
The Blue Sky TavernCasual dining · BarAmerican895 Old Trail Rdopen
The Fieldhouse All American Sports BarBar895 Trail Rd.open
USA & IRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Italian176 Newberry Commonsopen
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
19941210———2SIC1987
19951210———2SIC1987
1996109———1SIC1987
19971312———1SIC1987
199815136611NAICS1997
199916146711NAICS1997
20001615672—NAICS1997
20011513472—NAICS1997
20021212651—NAICS1997
20031414851—NAICS2002
200417171052—NAICS2002
20051313652—NAICS2002
20061313562—NAICS2002
20071111461—NAICS2002
20081414671—NAICS2007
20091111461—NAICS2007
20101313571—NAICS2007
20111414581—NAICS2007
20121515581—NAICS2012
20131212461—NAICS2012
20141312461—NAICS2012
20151514562—NAICS2012
20161816582—NAICS2012
2017181649——NAICS2017
20181715310——NAICS2017
2019171549——NAICS2017
2020151237——NAICS2017
2021171448——NAICS2017
20221615310——NAICS2022
20231616493—NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17319. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
173703.0 mi12016
170343.4 mi62023
170704.2 mi172023
170574.3 mi232023
173394.7 mi62023
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.