BMIE Market 17057
Dauphin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±559 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,216 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±478 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,329 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,602 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $73,407 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,704 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $201,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,937 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 31.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17057 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -8.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +15.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -4.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -8.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 29 (range 25–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17057. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 71.9 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.1 | 66 | 35% | +23.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 31.5 | 31 | 25% | +7.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,560 | 84 | 40% | +33.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,407 | 52 | 40% | +21.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,216 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15 | 59 | 35% | +20.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.8 | 73 | 25% | +18.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,560 | 84 | 20% | +16.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,407 | 52 | 20% | +10.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -8 | 20 | 50% | +10.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15 | 59 | 30% | +17.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -4.2 | 19 | 20% | +3.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (72)
By cuisine
American 13 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Bar 19 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 11 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Mamas Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 62 Wayne Ave | open |
| 9 East Main Operating Associates Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9 E Main St | open | |
| Alfred's Victorian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 38 N Union St | open |
| Angelina's Pizza & Ice Cream | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1100 Fulling Mill Rd | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | One Terminal Dr | open |
| Auntie Anne's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 3751 E Harrisburg Pike | open |
| Baddies bones | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 221 Water St | open |
| Biscotti's | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 777 W Harrisburg Pike | open |
| Black Horse Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 E Main St | open | |
| Blue Room Family Restaurant and Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 214 S Union St | open |
| Brownstone Cafe | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 1 N Union St | open |
| Buddy Boy Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 3751 E Harrisburg Pike | open | |
| CAHOOTS by YAH Brew & Cartel | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1 S Union St | open | |
| Capital Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1 Terminal Dr | open |
| Dairy Queen | Quick service | 1100 Fulling Mill Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | Harrisburg Int'L Airport | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1 Terminal Drive | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1955 W Harrisburg Pike | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | Harrisburg Int L Airport Harrisburg Int L Airport | open |
| Flea Market at The Vineyard at Hershey | Specialty food shop · Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service | Sandwiches | 598 Schoolhouse Rd | open |
| Gio's Smokin' Grill & Sweet Treats | Dessert | Pizza · Italian · Ice cream / frozen desserts | open | |
| Gioseven, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 288 E Main St | open | |
| Guido Mcneal's | Bar | 9 E Main St | open | |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 230 Nissley St | open |
| He | Juice, smoothie, tea | Chinese · Tea / bubble tea | 460 N Union St | open |
| Hershey Harrisburg Wine Country | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 598 Schoolhouse Rd | open | |
| Hops And Barleys | Casual dining · Bar | 9 E Main St | open | |
| J & J Pizzeria and Grille | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · Italian | 288 E Main St | open |
| Jak Frost Frozen Desserts | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 503 E Emaus St | open |
| JD's Junction | Bar · Casual dining | American | 15-17 Mill St | open |
| Kepler's Seafood and Steak | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 100 Brown St #20 | open |
| Kuppy's Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 12 Brown St | open |
| Lan's Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 302 W Main St #103 | open |
| Lin Garden Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2285 W Harrisburg Pike | open |
| Living Life Community Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 56 E Emaus St | open | |
| Main St Mac | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | American | 3751 E Harrisburg Pike | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | 1611 W Harrisburg Pike | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2270 W Harrisburg Pike | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3555 Vine Street | open |
| Middletown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 270 W Emaus St | open | |
| Middletown Anglers & Hunters | Bar | 1350 Schoolhouse Rd | open | |
| Middletown VFW Post 1620 | Bar | 200 Pike St | open | |
| Midtown Pizza of Middletown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 442 E Main St | open |
| Moose Home | Bar | 100 Mill St | open | |
| New China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 436 E Main St | open |
| Nonnie's Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 2285 W Harrisburg Pike | open |
| Phillips Seafood | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1 Terminal Dr Ste 300 | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2298 W Harrisburg Pike | open |
| Raider Steaks & Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Steakhouse · Sandwiches | 1900 Pineford Dr | open |
| River House Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2495 E Harrisburg Pike | open |
| Roberto's Pizza Subs and Brew | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 23 S Union St | open |
| Roy Rogers Roy Rogers | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee · American | 300 Industrial Lane | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1 Terminal Dr | open |
| Steel-Devil Pub | Bar | open | ||
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1 Terminal Drive, Level 2 | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | HIA Terminal A | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3555 Vine St | open |
| Sunset Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2601 Sunset Dr | open | |
| T.A. Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5 Park Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 825 S Eisenhower Blvd | open |
| Tattered Flag Brewery & Still Works | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1 S Union St | open | |
| Temporadas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 2158 W Harrisburg Pike | open |
| The Copper Mine Bar | Bar | 3 Donald Ave | open | |
| The G Spot Bar & Grill In the Lakeside | Casual dining · Bar | 119 Park Dr | open | |
| The Hop Yard | Bar | 360 W Main St | open | |
| The Sweet Meltdown Bakery & Coffee | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 1 S Union St | open |
| Tony's Beverage | Bar | 40 E Emaus St | open | |
| Tonys Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 302 W Main St | open |
| Vineyards of Hershey in Middletown | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 598 Schoolhouse Rd | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 801 Eisenhower Blvd | open |
| Y2dr Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 214 S Union St | open | |
| 茶瘾BobaAddict | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 20 S Union St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 32 | 25 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 31 | 25 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 32 | 26 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 34 | 28 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 21 | 10 | 11 | — | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 33 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 36 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 40 | 23 | 8 | 13 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 25 | 7 | 16 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 24 | 7 | 15 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 27 | 9 | 16 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 40 | 24 | 8 | 14 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 14 | — | 5 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 23 | 9 | 13 | — | 5 | NAICS2022 |