BMIE Market 17070

York County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,830 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,034 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,116 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,692 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,039 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$253,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,830 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17070
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-19.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-39.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-10.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17070. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.8	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.9	53	35%	+18.5
Market Momentum Score	13.6	14	25%	+3.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,830	78	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	88,000	71	40%	+28.5
Households (ACS)	7,116	80	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-19.1	14	35%	+5.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	16,830	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	88,000	71	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15	15	50%	+7.7
10-year restaurant growth	-19.1	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	-39.3	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

Pizza 8 · American 6 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
114 Bridge Street Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 Bridge St	open
Bob Evans Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	135 Sheraton Dr	open
Boomerang Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	110 Limekiln Rd	open
Brew Crumberland's Best	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1903 Bridge St	open
Bridge Diner	Casual dining	American	600 Bridge St	open
Brother's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	110 Old York Rd	open
Bruno's Pizza Bar & Grill Original Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	118 Old York Rd	open
Carpe Diem	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	401 Market St	open
China Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	126 Old York Rd	open
Coakley's Irish Pub	Bar		305 Bridge St	open
Culhane's Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1 Laurel Rd	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Fairview Plaza, 110 Old York Rd	open
Dead Lightning Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		311 Bridge St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		120 Old York Road	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	710 Limekiln Rd Hess	open
Eagles Nest Pub and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		430 Lewisberry Rd	open
El Rancho Restaurante Bar & Grill \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	135 Sheraton Dr	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	302 Front St	open
Fratelli's Towne Tavern	Bar		209 3rd St	open
Golden Luck	Restaurant (service type not stated)		213 3rd St	open
Grain + Verse Bottlehouse	Bar		148 Sheraton Dr	open
Hanna's Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	321 Bridge St	open
Happy Conez Llc	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1 Lewisberry Rd	open
Jennie's Custom Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	481 Old York Rd	open
John's Diner	Casual dining	American	146 Sheraton Dr	open
Little Ceasars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	119 Bridge St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	101 Limekiln Rd	open
Neato Burrito Neato Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	316 4th St	open
Nick's 114 Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		114 Bridge St	open
Olde Towne Beverage	Bar		119 Bridge St	open
Phat Alberts ~ Pizza done John's Way	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	760 Lewisberry Rd	open
Plants in the Cloud	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	214 4th St	open
Sophia's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	110 Old York Rd Ste 204	open
Steak Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		146 Sheraton Dr	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	120 Old York Rd	open
Taqueria El Puente-1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	213 3rd St	open
The Garlic Poet Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		148 Sheraton Dr	open
The Runway Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 Old York Rd	open
Villa Roma Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	314 Market St	open
Wild Rabbit Pies & Pints	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	314 Bridge St	open
Yak N Yeti	Restaurant (service type not stated)		213 3rd St	open
Yianni's Gyros	Dessert	Dessert	146 Sheraton Dr	open
Shawneetown Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		324 Market St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	23	19	15	4	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	24	20	16	4	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	24	20	15	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	26	23	18	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	28	25	18	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	30	28	17	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	28	24	14	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	31	28	17	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	38	34	18	14	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	28	26	13	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	27	26	11	14	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	25	11	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	20	9	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	20	8	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	25	23	10	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	21	9	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	26	24	11	10	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	26	13	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	24	21	9	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	20	11	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	21	11	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	21	11	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	19	8	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17070. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17113	2.7 mi	5	2023
17034	3.7 mi	6	2023
17104	3.9 mi	22	2023
17043	4.1 mi	34	2023
17319	4.2 mi	16	2023
17101	4.5 mi	47	2023
17339	4.6 mi	6	2023
17011	4.6 mi	91	2023
17120	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.