BMIE Market 17113

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,724 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±613 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,631 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,749 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,741 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,244 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,046 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,216 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$161,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17113
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17113. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.6	62	40%	+24.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.3	52	35%	+18.3
Market Momentum Score	14.7	15	25%	+3.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,724	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	68,244	44	40%	+17.7
Households (ACS)	4,631	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.3	94	25%	+23.5
Population (ACS)	11,724	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	68,244	44	20%	+8.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-28.6	9	50%	+4.6
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Italian 6 · Latin American (other) 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 10 · Bakery 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
717 Hookah and Cigar Lounge	Bar		109 N Front St	open
Aleco's Cafe & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza	714 N 3rd St	open
American Legion Post 420	Bar			open
Bam’s Crab Place Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	51 N Front St	open
Blue Front Lounge	Bar		109 N Front St	open
Bressler Club	Bar		757 Main St	open
Café Dorothè	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	722 S 2nd St	open
El Gallito Mexican Bakery lll	Bakery	Bakery · Mexican · Latin American (other)	750 N Front St	open
Five I Caribbean Haitian Restaurant	Bar	Caribbean	2443 S Front St	open
Fratelli's Towne Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	209 S 3rd St	open
Fresa Bistro on Third	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 N 3rd St	open
Giovanni's Pizza and Bakery	Bakery	Italian · Pizza · Bakery	620 N Front St	open
Halal Fusion Bites	Food truck · Delivery-focused · Catering		154 S Front St	open
Herby's El Mexicano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	720 Main St	open
Jones' Corner	Bar		428 N Harrisburg St	open
Karicu Halal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	2 S Front St	open
Latin Mambo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	51 N Front St	open
Marla's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2 S Front St	open
Mezzluna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	316 S 2nd St	open
Naples Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	121 S Front St	open
New Grace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	377 S Front St	open
Nuevo Mexico LLC	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	117 S Front St	open
Panda Chinese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	51 N Front St	open
Pastorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	175 S Front St	open
Steelton Elks	Bar		120 Adams St	open
The Venu and Lounge	Bar			open
Tres Hermanos Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	216 N Front St	open
Vickis Italian Sausage Shop	Bar	Italian		open
Z&S Halal Grill	Quick service	Halal / kosher	330 N Front St	open
One Love Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2443 S Front St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	8	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	13	6	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	19	9	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	18	9	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	18	7	6	1	—	9	NAICS1997
1999	16	7	6	1	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	17	8	7	1	—	7	NAICS1997
2001	17	7	4	2	1	9	NAICS1997
2002	18	9	5	2	2	7	NAICS1997
2003	16	5	2	2	1	7	NAICS2002
2004	17	8	4	3	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	16	8	3	4	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	14	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	12	4	2	2	—	5	NAICS2002
2008	12	4	2	2	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	12	3	1	2	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	12	4	2	2	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	9	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	14	7	2	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	11	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17113. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17034	2.4 mi	6	2023
17070	2.7 mi	17	2023
17104	3.0 mi	22	2023
17111	3.5 mi	88	2023
17103	3.8 mi	8	2023
17120	4.0 mi	1	2016
17109	4.1 mi	57	2023
17101	4.3 mi	47	2023
17043	4.3 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.