BMIE Market 17109
Dauphin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,466 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,960 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±741 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 23,131 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,230 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $71,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $215,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,827 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 57 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17109 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +11.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +39.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 51 (range 45–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17109. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.3 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48.5 | 49 | 35% | +17.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 52.2 | 52 | 25% | +13.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,466 | 87 | 40% | +34.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 71,833 | 50 | 40% | +20.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,960 | 87 | 20% | +17.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.8 | 35 | 25% | +8.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,466 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 71,833 | 50 | 20% | +10.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.6 | 67 | 50% | +33.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 11.8 | 40 | 20% | +8.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (103)
By cuisine
American 27 · Pizza 14 · Dessert 11 · Italian 10 · Asian 7 · Mexican 7 · Burgers 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Coffee 5 · Breakfast 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Seafood 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Japanese 3 · Bakery 2 · Caribbean 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 20 · Casual dining 14 · Bar 13 · Dessert 13 · Other 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A2Z Vietnamese Restaur | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3402 Walnut St | open |
| Apple Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3502 Walnut St | open | |
| Applebee's Grill + Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4401 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Arooga's Franchising | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 55 S Progress Ave Ste 2 | open | |
| Auntie Anne's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 31A Colonial Park Mall | open |
| Azteca Mexican | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3917 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Beijing Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 47 N Progress Ave | open |
| Blaze Pizza Blaze Pizza | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 4401 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 4600 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Cafe 22 | Café | Coffee | 3502 Walnut St | open |
| Cancun Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4659 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Cantones's Southern Italian Restuarant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4701 Fritchey St | open |
| CD Pizza and House of Brews | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4501 Locust Ln | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3531 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Chocolena | Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 3905 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Crave The Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 4010 Jonestown Rd | open |
| D & B Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1 N Progress Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3890 Walnut St | open |
| Den Bubble Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Asian | 304 S Progress Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 530 N Progress Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 4005 Jonestown Rd | open |
| El Rodeo Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | open | |
| Empire Asian Bistro Red Crab - Juicy Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · Asian · American | 3819 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Fantasy Show Girls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3920 Jonestown Rd | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5106-A Jonestown Rd | open |
| Frederic Loraschi Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 4615 Hillcrest St | open |
| Gabriella Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 3907 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Gilligan's Bar & Grill Gilligans Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 10 N Houcks Rd | open |
| Halfway Tree Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 3315 Walnut St | open |
| Happy Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 403 S Houcks Rd | open |
| Harrisburg, PA Blaze Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4401 Jonestown Rd, Suite 102 | open |
| HFC Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3828 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Himalayan Hookah Lounge & Cafe | Bar | 59 N Progress Ave | open | |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 4002 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 3909 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Joe K's Brewhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3523 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Jonestown Diner | Casual dining | American | 4010 Jonestown Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 3819 Walnut St | open |
| La Oaxaquena Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 3 N Progress Ave | open |
| Lahori Kabab Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | Indian · Middle Eastern | 3840 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4002 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Long John Silver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4601 Jonestown Rd | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 4590 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Lucky Harrisburg Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4089 Londonderry Rd | open | |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 4401 Jonestown Road Suite 101 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4605 Jonestown Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1043 Briarsdale Rd | open |
| Miso Sushi and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4620 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Mochi Mama | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific | 4800 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Moez Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4083 Londonderry Rd | open |
| Momo Hunt Restaurant and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 3500 Walnut St | open |
| Naples Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3903 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| New China Express New China Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3877 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Nirvana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 3500 Walnut St | open |
| Osaka Japan Grille II Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 4600 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 3527 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| P.J. Whelihan's P.J. Whelihan's Pub + Restaurant | Bar · Casual dining | 3882 Union Deposit Rd Unit 33 | open | |
| Peachtree Restaurant & Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 251 N Progress Ave | open |
| Pepper Pot Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 3816 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Pepsi Bottling Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 941 Dana Dr | open | |
| PFCHA | Bar · Casual dining | 38 Short St | open | |
| Philly Pretzel Factory | Other · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 530 N Progress Ave 300 | open |
| Pizza Anela | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1 Colonial Park Mall | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 3801 Walnut Street | open | |
| Pizza Zone | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4600 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4601 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Progress Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 314 S Progress Ave | open |
| Progress Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 3526 Walnut St | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 4300 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3884 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Rita’s of Union Deposit Road PA Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Roberto's Pizza Jonestown Rd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3970 Jonestown Rd | open |
| ROOTS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 251 N Progress Ave | open |
| S & K Associates Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 N Progress Ave | open | |
| Seafood Saturday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 4600 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Soul Burrito | Food truck | 3816 Union Deposit Rd | open | |
| Soul Burrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 314 S Progress Ave | open |
| Spring Valley Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 4131 Spring Valley Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3901 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 90 Colonial Park Mall | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3820 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 25 N Progress Ave | open |
| Subway - Harrisburg - 51863 | Other | Sandwiches | 25 N Progress Ave | open |
| Sweet Confections Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4702 Fritchey St | open |
| sweetFrog | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3911 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4640 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 3529 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| TGI Fridays | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3882 Union Deposit Rd | open | |
| The Meadows | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 4636 Jonestown Rd | open |
| The Pan Tree Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9 N Progress Ave | open |
| The Wild Tomato Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4315 Jonestown Rd, 4315 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Tito's Diner | Casual dining | American | 9 N Progress Ave | open |
| Tokyo Diner | Casual dining | American · Japanese · Asian | 4089 Londonderry Rd | open |
| Tonino's Pizza & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 530 N Progress Ave | open |
| Vocelli Pizza Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4315 Jonestown Rd Ste 2 | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 3890 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3887 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 100 N Progress Ave | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4919 Jonestown Rd | open |
| Yianni's Gyros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 3911 Union Deposit Rd | open |
| Your Place Restaurant | Bar | 4001 Union Deposit Rd | open | |
| Colonial Diner | Casual dining | American | 4301 Jonestown Rd | closed |
| Oceanville Llc | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4600 Jonestown Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 46 | 41 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 51 | 46 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 49 | 43 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 50 | 46 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 48 | 44 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 49 | 47 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 48 | 46 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 48 | 45 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 59 | 52 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 57 | 51 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 52 | 46 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 47 | 42 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 45 | 40 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 49 | 44 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 50 | 45 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 49 | 43 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 54 | 49 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 56 | 51 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 59 | 54 | 25 | 23 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 64 | 57 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 63 | 56 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 60 | 52 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 59 | 54 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 58 | 52 | 24 | 21 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 56 | 52 | 23 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 56 | 52 | 23 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 55 | 50 | 21 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 52 | 47 | 20 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 60 | 56 | 25 | 24 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 60 | 57 | 26 | 25 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |