BMIE Market 17103
Dauphin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,115 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,203 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±443 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,848 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,421 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $39,825 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $137,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,804 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17103 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 11 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 39 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17103. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 39 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 47.1 | 47 | 40% | +18.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42.8 | 43 | 35% | +15.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 19 | 19 | 25% | +4.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,115 | 75 | 40% | +29.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 39,825 | 6 | 40% | +2.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,999 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -20 | 14 | 35% | +4.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.1 | 88 | 25% | +21.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,115 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 39,825 | 6 | 20% | +1.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -20 | 13 | 50% | +6.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -20 | 14 | 30% | +4.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 42 | 20% | +8.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (36)
By cuisine
American 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Caribbean 4 · Coffee 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Seafood 3 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 6 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aces Lounge | Bar | 1105 Herr St, Harrisburg, PA 17103 | open | |
| American Dream Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1933 Herr St | open | |
| Bams Crab Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1860 Walnut St | open |
| BlueDoggz717 | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1498 Reily Rd | open |
| Brisenas Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1922 Walnut St | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2000 N Cameron St | open |
| Butterkrust Baking Co. | Bakery | Bakery | 1901 N Cameron St | open |
| Capow Jamaican restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1403 Market St | open |
| Capows | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1403 Market St | open |
| Coda Rouge | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 2013 North St | open |
| D&L's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 1501 Herr St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1100 Market St Hess Sta | open |
| El Pilon De Carmen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 2306 Walnut St | open |
| Ephraim Slaughter American Legion Post 733 Home Association | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2009 State St | open | |
| Halfway Tree Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1248 Market St | open |
| Harrisburg Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1314 Market St | open |
| King Assad's Seafood Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1706 Walnut St | open |
| Magic Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1313 Market St | open |
| MASA Mexican Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1504 Market St | open |
| MC Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Italian · Halal / kosher | 2327 Walnut St | open |
| Midstate Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1817 N Cameron St | open | |
| Nana's Ice Cream | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2648 Walnut St | open |
| New York Fried | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1314 Market St | open |
| Od's Fish House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 1500 Market St | open |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1276 Market St | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1900 N Cameron St | open |
| Roberto's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2536 Walnut St | open |
| Soul House Cafe Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1852 North St | open | |
| Subway Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Sandwiches | 1000 Herr St | open |
| Taste Of Kates | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1719 Walnut St | open |
| The Pincho's Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1127 N Cameron St | open | |
| The Real Outback | Quick service | Steakhouse | open | |
| True Fit Nutrition | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 3106 Hoffer St | open |
| Under The Sea & Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1719 Walnut St | open |
| Unreal Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2805 Market Street Rd Ste A | open | |
| Zimmerman's Nuts and Candies | Dessert | 2701 Elm St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 10 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 11 | — | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 14 | 11 | — | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 14 | 11 | — | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 11 | 8 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |