BMIE Market 17104
Dauphin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,541 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,522 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±615 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,962 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,747 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $46,510 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $963 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $104,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,040 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17104 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -4.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 21–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17104. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 52.5 | 53 | 40% | +21.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.7 | 47 | 35% | +16.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 29.9 | 30 | 25% | +7.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,541 | 80 | 40% | +32.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 46,510 | 11 | 40% | +4.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,522 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.9 | 65 | 25% | +16.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,541 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 46,510 | 11 | 20% | +2.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -8.3 | 20 | 50% | +10.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 22.2 | 47 | 20% | +9.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (97)
By cuisine
American 17 · Latin American (other) 10 · Caribbean 8 · Coffee 8 · Mexican 8 · Pizza 8 · Chinese 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Vietnamese 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Seafood 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cuban 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 73 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 11 · Café 8 · Quick service 8 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd St Ventures Lp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1591 S 19th St | open | |
| 901 Lounge at Lochiel Hotel | Bar | 901 Shanois St | open | |
| A lo pr food truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hudson News Distributors, 711 Gibson Blvd | open | |
| A Taste of Bourbon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1080 Carlise St | open |
| A Taste of New Orleans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 49 Kline Vlg | open | |
| Anafe Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1222 Mulberry St | open |
| Antojitos Locos Y Variedades El Chapin | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 1321 Derry St | open |
| Aroogas Franchising | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1591 S 19th St | open | |
| Asadero Costazul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2233 Derry St | open |
| Authentic Chinese Cuisine | Quick service | Chinese | 1070 S Cameron St | open |
| Bam's Crab place. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | open | |
| Bangkok 56 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1917 Paxton St | open |
| Bills Cafe | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2312 Derry St | open |
| C-C Chinese & American Take Out | Quick service | American · Chinese | 1701 Hanover St | open |
| Char's Bella Mundo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 540 Race St | open |
| China Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1819 Paxton St | open |
| Cidra's Cabana Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1716 Derry St | open |
| Club Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 319 S 17th St | open |
| Colina Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 333 South 13th St | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 1651 S Cameron St | open |
| Dodge City U.s.a. Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1037 Paxton St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 501 S 29th St | open |
| Double D Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 564 S 19th St | open | |
| Dragon Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 101 S 25th St | open |
| Earthmovers Machinery Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1080 Elliot St | open | |
| East Shore Diner | Casual dining | American | 711 S Cameron St | open |
| Ed's Philadelphia Water Ice | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 2233 Derry St | open | |
| El Baraka Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 1030 S 13th St | open |
| El Carrizal | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1325 1/2 Derry St | open |
| El Grito del Sabor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · Caribbean | 1601Paxton st. Harrisburg PA 17104 | open |
| El Patron Restaurante El Patrón | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Pizza | 1908 Paxton St | open |
| El Verdadero Sabor de Mexico | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 325 S 17th St | open |
| Foschini's Pizza & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 52 Kline Vlg | open |
| Frank's Tavern | Bar | 1415 Vernon St | open | |
| Fuji Do Japanese Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1701 Paxton St | open |
| Golden Star Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chinese | 1402 Derry St | open |
| Grams Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 25 Argyle St | open |
| Harrisburg Dairy Queen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1651 S Cameron St | open | |
| J Stretch Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2233 Derry St | open | |
| Jazzy Good Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 101 S 25th St | open |
| Jimmy’s Barstool | Bar | 1517 S Cameron St | open | |
| Joe Mama's Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 1430 Derry St | open | |
| Kanlaya Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1030 S 13th St | open |
| La Chapina!! Pizzería y Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 1430 Derry St | open |
| La Melie Grocery LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1436 Swatara Street | open |
| Las Delicias Restaurant Las Delicias | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 2060 Derry St | open |
| Lily's Bakery Coffee Shop | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 35 S 13th St | open |
| Los Hermanos Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1639 Paxton St | open |
| Los Tres Cubanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 540 Race St | open |
| Los Tres Cubanos Cigar Lounge | Bar | 125 Conoy St | open | |
| Matangos Candies | Dessert | Dessert | 1501 Catherine St | open |
| MDO's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1701 Derry St | open |
| Mdo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1908 Paxton St | open |
| Mitaka Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 560 S 29th St | open |
| Music Man Multimedia | Bar | 501 S 29th St | open | |
| New Orleans Po Boy & French Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Vietnamese · Bakery | 1030 S 13th St | open |
| New Wen's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1701 Hanover St # C | open |
| Off The Hook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 138 S 17th St | open |
| Out da South | Bar | 45 Hanover Rd | open | |
| Pa Yokohama Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 560 S 29th St | open | |
| Pansiam Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1030 S 13th St | open | |
| Passage To India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 520 Race St | open |
| Pho 99 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 1030 S 13th St | open |
| Pho Miss Saigon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 1030 S 13th St | open |
| Piccolo's Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 201 S 17th St | open |
| Punta Cana Chimichurri House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1745 Derry St | open |
| Pupusería El Pulgarcito de America | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 2341 Berryhill St | open |
| Pupuseria Mi sazon | Food truck | Latin American (other) | 1340 Vernon St | open |
| Queenie's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 1412 Swatara St #1 | open |
| Quigley's Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1517 S Cameron St | open |
| Rapid Sandwiches And More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 49 Kline Vlg | open |
| Rice & Beans | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 319 S 17th St | open |
| Rikos Pollos and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 1665 S Cameron St | open |
| River City Blues Club & Dart Room | Bar | 819 S Cameron St | open | |
| Rookie's Craft Burger Bar | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 2238 Derry St | open |
| Roots Of My Land | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1430 Derry St | open | |
| Route 11 Ventures Lp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1591 S 19th St | open | |
| Sammar & Son, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2060 Derry St | open | |
| Savannah's on Hanna | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1000 Hanna St | open |
| Sorrento Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1845 Derry St | open |
| Soul House Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1639 Paxton St | open | |
| Souled Out Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 12 Kline Vlg | open |
| Tacos La Barca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1325 1/2 Derry St | open |
| Tacos Mi Tierra | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1416 Derry St | open |
| Taqueria la bendición | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 34 S 13th St | open |
| The Café | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2312 Derry St | open |
| Tortilleria Los Primos | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 135 S 14th St | open |
| Tres Hermanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 712 S Cameron St | open |
| Uncle's Dre's Cafe | Café · Bar | Coffee | 1415 Vernon St | open |
| USA Fried Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1266 Derry St | open |
| V & F Pizza Subs & Strombolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1231 S 13th St | open |
| Vietnamese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 558 S 19th St | open | |
| Vlc Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 525 S Front St | open | |
| Wake and Bake Café | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery | 240 N 3rd St | open |
| Yannette Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 209 S 17th St | open |
| York 124 Ventures Lp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1591 S 19th St | open | |
| Paxton Street Pub | Bar | 1619 Paxton St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 30 | 23 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 29 | 22 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 35 | 25 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 35 | 24 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 11 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 13 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 10 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 33 | 27 | 14 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 25 | 12 | 11 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 23 | 11 | 10 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 27 | 14 | 12 | — | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 12 | — | 4 | NAICS2022 |