BMIE Market 17547

Lancaster County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,599 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,378 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,199 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,397 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,242 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$270,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,496 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17547
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+160.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+225.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 14–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17547. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.8	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.6	71	35%	+24.7
Market Momentum Score	74.3	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,210	70	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	92,199	75	40%	+30.1
Households (ACS)	3,599	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.1	56	25%	+14.0
Population (ACS)	9,210	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	92,199	75	20%	+15.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	30%	+23.6
20-year restaurant growth	160	90	20%	+17.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · American 3 · Coffee 3 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bron's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	34 W Market St	open
Chens House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	320 Honeysuckle Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1154 River Rd	open
Hell In A Bucket Brewing	Brewery / taproom		392 E Front St	open
Iron Born Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	12 W Market St	open
Level Up Pizza Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	316 Honeysuckle Dr	open
Marco's Restaurant and Pizzeria MARCO'S Rosenheim	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1410 River Rd	open
Marietta S Stanley Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		392 E Front St	open
MBA	Bar		17 S Waterford Ave	open
McCleary's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	130 W Front St	open
Molly's Courtyard Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	17 E Market St	open
Mulberry Thrill Outdoor Cafe	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	100 W Market St Rear	open
Nicks Bistro	Casual dining · Bar	American	324 W Market St	open
Painter's Palette Painting	Bar		630 Stackstown Rd	open
Parma Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	132 W Market St	open
Perry Street Cellar	Bar		280 W Front St	open
River Trail Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		40 E Front St	open
Shank's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		36 S Waterford Ave	open
Sicilia Pizza Marietta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	318 Honeysuckle Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	322 Honeysuckle Dr	open
Sven's Cafe	Food truck		1256 River Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	7	4	4	—	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	8	4	4	—	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	9	5	5	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	7	3	3	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	7	3	2	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	9	5	4	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	11	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	8	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	6	4	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	6	—	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	8	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	13	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	13	9	4	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	15	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	14	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	15	11	6	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	16	12	6	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	14	10	5	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	15	11	5	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	18	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	13	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17547. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17550	0.3 mi	—
17570	3.9 mi	—
17552	4.7 mi	24	2023
17406	4.9 mi	10	2023
17502	4.9 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.