BMIE Market 17552
Lancaster County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,761 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,831 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,551 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $97,683 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,360 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $292,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 32.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17552 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -17.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +26.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -17.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17552. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.7 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.2 | 53 | 35% | +18.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 26.2 | 26 | 25% | +6.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,761 | 81 | 40% | +32.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 97,683 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,368 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -17.2 | 15 | 35% | +5.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.2 | 64 | 25% | +16.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,761 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 97,683 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4 | 24 | 50% | +11.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -17.2 | 15 | 30% | +4.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 26.3 | 50 | 20% | +10.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (59)
By cuisine
American 12 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee 7 · Italian 6 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Mexican 3 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Japanese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Quick service 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amato's Woodfire Pizza & Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 905 W Main St | open | |
| Aussi Bella | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 929 E Main St | open | |
| Babbo's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2000 W Main St | open |
| Beanie's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 78 W Main St | open |
| Bube's Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 102 N Market St | open | |
| Bube's Restaurants, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 102 N Market St | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 915 E Main St | open |
| Cafe 301 Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1909 Cloverleaf Rd | open |
| Centerville Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 740 E Main St | open |
| Chateau Mount Joy | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1710 Milton Grove Rd | open | |
| Copper Cup | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1 W Main St | open |
| Country Table Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 740 E Main St | open |
| DiMarias NY Pizza and Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 759 E Main St | open |
| Dutch Country Hand-Rolled Soft Pretzels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 26 W Main St | open |
| Fu Gui | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 789 E Main St | open |
| Good Day Coffee LLC | Coffee shop · Food truck · Café | Coffee | 1425 W Main St | open |
| Grandview Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1489 Grandview Rd | open | |
| Gus's Keystone Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1050 W Main St | open |
| Harvey's Main Street BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 304 E Main St | open |
| Hennigan's Restaurant and Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1990 W Main St | open |
| House of Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2042 W Main St | open |
| Hulk Hoagies | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Casual dining · Bar | American · Sandwiches | 22 E Main St | open |
| Idea Coffee Idea Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 100 Merchant Ave | open |
| Infusions Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 432 Old Market St | open |
| Isaac's Craft Kitchen and Brewery Isaac’s Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 919 E Main St | open |
| JADE palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | open | |
| Joy's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 62 W Main St | open | |
| Joyful Spirits Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 62 W Main St # 64 | open | |
| Kanji Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 771 E Main St | open |
| Little Dipper's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 432 W Main St | open |
| LIYYU Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | Mount Joy | open |
| Made With Love Not Gluten Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert | 76 E Main St | open |
| Mick's All American Pub Mick's All American Pub, Mt. Joy | Bar | 2201 Strickler Rd | open | |
| Mosby's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 215 E Main St | open | |
| Mount Joy Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Bakery · Coffee | 807 E Main St | open |
| Mount Joy Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 307 W Main St | open |
| Papa's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 454 W MAIN St | open |
| Patriot Oil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1234 Cloverleaf Rd | open | |
| Patterson Logistics | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1004 Cornerstone Dr | open | |
| Petén Guatemala Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 89 E Main St | open |
| Pies Galore & More | Bakery | Bakery | 76 E Main St | open |
| Rise Bake Shoppe | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 740 E Main St | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 809 E Main St | open |
| Rita’s of Mount Joy PA Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Rosie's Tavola | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 114 E Main St | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 855 E Main St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1576 Strickler Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 79 E Main St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 757 E. Main Street | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1580 Strickler Rd | open |
| The Joy of Sweets and Treats | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 55 E Main St | open |
| Time 2 Eat | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 89 E Main St | open |
| Today's Pizza and Mamma Rita Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 933 E Main St | open |
| Tres Hermanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 79 E Main St | open |
| Twisted Bine Beer Co. | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 93 E Main St | open | |
| Two Cousin's Pizza & Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 37 W Main St | open |
| Wilbur Chocolate Mount Joy Division | Dessert | Dessert | 200 Chocolate Ave | open |
| Zuckfoltzfus Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom | 12 S Market St | open | |
| Higher Grounds Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 22 E Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 32 | 29 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 23 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 20 | 13 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 20 | 14 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 32 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 32 | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 30 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 33 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |