BMIE Market 18041

Montgomery County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,768 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±569 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,373 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,424 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,105 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,615 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,033 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,299 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$317,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,772 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18041
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-35.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18041. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.9	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.3	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	26.7	27	25%	+6.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,768	63	40%	+25.1
Median household income (ACS)	98,615	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	2,373	64	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	35%	+5.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	51	25%	+12.7
Population (ACS)	5,768	63	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	98,615	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-35.7	8	50%	+3.8
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AmericanSoul	Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	205 Main St	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Other · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	620 A Gravel Pike	open
Blommer Chocolate Company	Dessert	Dessert	1101 Blommer Dr	open
Buckeye Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		326 W 4th St	open
Carriage House Restaurant & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American · European	745 Gravel Pike	open
Chibi Cafe Co	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	218 Main St	open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	622 Gravel Pike	open
Cookies Buy the Dozen	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	735 Valley Rd	open
Fiesta Habanero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	644 Gravel Pike	open
Godiva	Bakery	Bakery	700 Gravel Pike	open
Goody'z	Casual dining	American	637 Gravel Pike	open
Hometown Creamery	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	637 Gravel Pike	open
Janey's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	226 Main St	open
Java & Bake Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	231 Main St	open
Java and Friends	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	254 Main St	open
Latin Mixture	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	226 Main St	open
Mario's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	258 Main St	open
Martin's Wings, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		622 Gravel Pike Ste 115	open
Mi's Korean Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	226 Main St	open
Powderbourne Sportsman's Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2071 Baus Rd	open
Simple Days Beer	Brewery / taproom · Bar		231 Main St	open
Solar Harvests	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	239 Main St Ste 103	open
Steep Fine Teas & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		239 Main St Ste 103	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	254 Main St	open
The Wing Man Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		622 Gravel Pike	open
Vince & Friends	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	642 Gravel Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	3	1	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	3	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	3	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	14	3	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	3	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	3	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	—	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	—	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18041. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18070	1.7 mi	1	2016
18056	2.7 mi	1	2006
18073	3.0 mi	14	2023
19503	3.4 mi	5	2023
18092	3.4 mi	1	2011
18076	3.5 mi	1	2016
19504	4.2 mi	3	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.