BMIE Market 19032

Delaware County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,772 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,566 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,606 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,600 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,306 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,329 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$171,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19032
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+150.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19032. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.8	52	40%	+20.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.0	65	35%	+22.8
Market Momentum Score	89.4	89	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,772	65	40%	+26.0
Median household income (ACS)	61,306	32	40%	+12.8
Households (ACS)	2,566	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.8	54	25%	+13.4
Population (ACS)	6,772	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	61,306	32	20%	+6.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	150	89	20%	+17.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 4 · American 3 · Chinese 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
China Wok III	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1844 Delmar Dr	open
Chubby Charlie's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2012 Delmar Dr	open
Delmar Tavern	Bar		2012 Delmar Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1876 Delmar Dr	open
Folcroft Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1512 Chester Pike	open
Folcroft Original	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2010 Delmar Dr # 1501	open
Italian Style Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1940 Delmar Dr	open
J & A Breakfast and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1601 Elmwood Ave	open
Leo's Steak Shop	Other	Sandwiches · Steakhouse · American	1403 Chester Pike	open
Millers Cafe II	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1884 Delmar Dr	open
Mongolian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1946 Delmar Dr	open
No. 1 China III	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1844 Delmar Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1500 Chester Pike Delaware	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1861 Delmar Drive	open
Talluto's Authentic Italian Food - Talluto's Pasta	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	600 Kaiser Dr	open
Terry's Too	Casual dining · Bar		1541 Chester Pike	open
The Field House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1542 Elmwood Ave	open
Wayne Lang	Casual dining · Bar		1541 Chester Pike	open
Yummy Yummy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1878 Delmar Dr	open
Danny's Luncheonette	Quick service		1540 Chester Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	7	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	11	7	2	4	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	12	7	2	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	12	7	2	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	9	4	1	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	12	6	1	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	10	4	—	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	10	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	10	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	13	8	2	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	11	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	4	1	3	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	8	4	1	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	9	5	2	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	9	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	9	5	1	4	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	8	5	2	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	8	4	1	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	9	5	2	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	10	5	2	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	11	7	—	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	11	7	—	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	11	7	—	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	13	9	—	8	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	14	10	—	9	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	16	12	—	11	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	13	10	—	9	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19032. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19074	1.1 mi	6	2023
19079	1.1 mi	3	2023
19113	1.2 mi	2	2016
19036	1.4 mi	15	2023
19076	1.7 mi	13	2023
19043	1.9 mi	9	2023
19029	2.0 mi	9	2023
19023	2.1 mi	26	2023
19153	2.1 mi	47	2023
19078	2.6 mi	17	2023
19018	2.7 mi	31	2023
19033	2.8 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.