BMIE Market 19043

Delaware County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,317 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±996 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,276 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±369 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,664 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,086 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,377 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,941 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,154 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$277,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46,866 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19043
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	37.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	12 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19043. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.3	63	40%	+25.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.7	36	35%	+12.5
Market Momentum Score	12.3	12	25%	+3.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,317	54	40%	+21.5
Median household income (ACS)	95,377	78	40%	+31.1
Households (ACS)	1,276	54	20%	+10.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30.8	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.1	23	25%	+5.9
Population (ACS)	3,317	54	20%	+10.8
Median household income (ACS)	95,377	78	20%	+15.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 12 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	50%	+7.0
10-year restaurant growth	-30.8	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 5 · Burgers 3 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 5 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Barnaby's of America	Bar		2107 Macdade Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	501 MacDade Boulevard	open
Callum No 7 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2107 Macdade Blvd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2603 MacDade Blvd	open
Gateway Diner	Casual dining	American	2215 Macdade Blvd	open
Haggerty's Cafe	Bar · Casual dining		2373 MacDade Blvd	open
Hunter's Auto Tags	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2229 Macdade Blvd Ste A	open
Italian Delight Italian Delight of Kansas City, Kansas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2603 MacDade Blvd	open
Katouna Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2215 Macdade Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2711 MacDade Blvd	open
Nolan's Pour House Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2038 Parker Ave	open
Panda Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	2117 MacDade Blvd	open
Pat's Pizza Family Restaurant Pat's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2104 MacDade Blvd	open
Pretzel Stop Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 Macdade Blvd Ste A	open
Ridley House Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2107 Macdade Blvd	open
Roma Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2103 MacDade Boulevard	open
roma deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2103 E MACDADE Blvd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2650 Macdade Blvd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2610 East Macdade Boulevard	open
The Snack Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2105 Macdade Blvd	open
Walt's Red Rose Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2222 MacDade Boulevard	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	19	16	6	7	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	5	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	15	12	4	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	12	3	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	3	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	4	6	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	15	13	4	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	12	4	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	15	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	16	13	6	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	14	10	4	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	14	10	4	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	14	10	4	5	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	15	11	4	7	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	16	13	6	7	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	15	11	6	5	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	15	12	7	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	13	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	11	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19043. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19036	0.9 mi	15	2023
19070	0.9 mi	10	2023
19076	1.0 mi	13	2023
19074	1.2 mi	6	2023
19033	1.3 mi	24	2023
19018	1.7 mi	31	2023
19032	1.9 mi	10	2023
19078	2.0 mi	17	2023
19081	2.1 mi	12	2023
19079	2.3 mi	3	2023
19023	2.5 mi	26	2023
19094	2.7 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.