BMIE Market 19081

Delaware County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,089 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±750 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,415 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,337 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,719 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$134,135 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,738 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,535 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$378,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19081
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19081. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.6	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.0	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	37.6	38	25%	+9.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,089	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	134,135	94	40%	+37.5
Households (ACS)	3,415	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.2
Population (ACS)	10,089	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	134,135	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	30%	+5.9
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Café 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
320 Market Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	713 S Chester Rd	open
Antonia's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	615 S Chester Rd	open
Aria Mediterranean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	405 Dartmouth Ave	open
Bamboo Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	333 Dartmouth Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1 S Chester Rd	open
Broad Table Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	12 S Chester Rd	open
Food Truckathon	Food truck		341 Dartmouth Ave	open
Happy Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	607 S Chester Rd	open
Hobbs	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1 Park Ave	open
Lunas Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	6 Park Ave	open
Milmont Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	622 Milmont Ave	open
Mimi's Cafe	Café	Coffee	729 S Chester Rd	open
Occasionally Yours	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	10 Park Ave	open
Pastry Pants	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	10 Park Ave	open
Renato Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8 Park Ave	open
Ship Bottom Brewery	Brewery / taproom		5 Park Ave	open
Swarthmore Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	601 S Chester Rd	open
The Crumb Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	500 College Ave	open
Vicky's Place	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	417 Dartmouth Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	7	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	7	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19081. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19033	1.1 mi	24	2023
19086	1.3 mi	5	2021
19070	1.3 mi	10	2023
19094	1.6 mi	10	2023
19043	2.1 mi	9	2023
19078	2.2 mi	17	2023
19076	2.3 mi	13	2023
19064	2.4 mi	64	2023
19074	2.9 mi	6	2023
19022	2.9 mi	8	2023
19036	2.9 mi	15	2023
19018	3.1 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.