BMIE Market 19078

Delaware County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,683 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,725 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,067 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,837 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,329 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$257,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19078
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+88.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.88) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19078. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.88, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.8	75	40%	+29.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.7	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	72.9	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,683	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	94,681	77	40%	+30.9
Households (ACS)	4,725	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	35%	+25.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.6	54	25%	+13.6
Population (ACS)	11,683	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	94,681	77	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	13.3	71	50%	+35.7
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	88.9	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 10 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Taste Of Key West	Bar		401 S Swarthmore Ave	open
AFAF COFFEE	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	632 E Chester Pike	open
Aldo and Manny's Pizza And Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14 Acres Dr	open
Ardour Bakery + Coffee	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	119 E Sellers Ave	open
Big Daddy'z BBQ & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	515 E Chester Pike	open
Brownies Hookah Lounge	Bar		16 E Hinckley Ave	open
Burgundy lounge	Bar		25 E Hinckley Ave	open
Casey's Ridley Park Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	601 E Chester Pike	open
Chill Out Chocolate Therapy	Dessert	Dessert	19 E Hinckley Ave	open
Chill Out Desserts & Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	12 Acres Dr	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	648 E Chester Pike	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	27 E Hinckley Ave	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	125 S Stewart Ave	open
Dolan's Bar	Bar	British / Irish pub food	24 E Sellers Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	700 E Chester Pike	open
Double Decker Pizza Double Decker Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	29 E Hinckley Ave	open
Eric’s pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	241 E Chester Pike	open
Gas Light	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 E Hinckley Ave	open
Giada's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 Russell St	open
Judy's Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	19 E Hinckley Ave # 2116	open
Little Hut Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	650 E Chester Pike	open
Pike Cold Cut Center	Other	Sandwiches	241 E Chester Pike	open
R. Park Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 E Sellers Ave	open
Rosemary	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		25 E Hinckley Ave	open
Stargate Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	240 W Chester Pike	open
Stinger's Waterfront	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		401 S Swarthmore Ave	open
Talluto's Ridley Park Talluto's Ridley Park	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Italian · Sandwiches	20 E Sellers Ave	open
The BrickHaus	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	13 E Hinckley Ave	open
The Stogie Lounge	Bar		10 E Hinckley Ave	open
Wendy's	Quick service		115 S Stewart Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	10	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	8	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	8	4	1	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	10	6	1	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	1	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	2	5	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	12	8	3	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	13	10	4	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	14	10	3	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	15	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	17	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	19	13	7	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	17	12	7	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	17	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	17	13	6	6	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	19	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19078. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19076	1.1 mi	13	2023
19033	1.3 mi	24	2023
19094	1.3 mi	10	2023
19022	1.4 mi	8	2023
19074	1.6 mi	6	2023
19029	1.7 mi	9	2023
19043	2.0 mi	9	2023
19081	2.2 mi	12	2023
19070	2.3 mi	10	2023
19036	2.6 mi	15	2023
19113	2.6 mi	2	2016
19032	2.6 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.