BMIE Market 20716

Prince George's County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,362 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,254 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,450 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,787 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,469 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$125,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,460 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$429,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20716
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+2.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+330.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	48 (range 43–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20716. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.9	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.7	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	35.9	36	25%	+9.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,362	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	125,034	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	9,450	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.2	60	35%	+20.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.2	39	25%	+9.8
Population (ACS)	22,362	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	125,034	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.5	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	16.2	60	30%	+17.9
20-year restaurant growth	2.4	36	20%	+7.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (95)

By cuisine

American 24 · Sandwiches 12 · Pizza 10 · Burgers 8 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Mexican 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Seafood 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Caribbean 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 20 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
"jerry's Seafood ""home Of The Crab Bomb"""	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	15211 Major Lansdale Blvd	open
America's Best Wings America's Best Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · Burgers	3440 Crain Hwy	open
Applebee's Grill + Bar Applebee's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4100 Crain Hwy	open
Arby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3876 Town Center Blvd # 7248	open
Armands Chicago Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3552 Crain Hwy	open
Aroma Ultra Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	4000 Town Center Blvd	open
Asian Chao	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3860 Town Center Blvd, Bowie Town Center, Bowie, MD 20716	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Quick service · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Bakery	3300 Crain Hwy	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Quick service · Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Dessert · Bakery	15606 Emerald Way	open
Baskin Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	3921 Evergreen Pkwy	open
Beijing Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1324 Crain Hwy	open
BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	15701 Emerald Way	open
Blaze Pizza Blaze Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15431 Excelsior Dr	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	4308 Nw Crain Hwy	open
Bowie TC Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3916 Town Center Blvd	open
Bowie, MD Blaze Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15431 Excelsior Drive	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4001 Town Center Blvd	open
Cake Batter And Co.	Bakery	Bakery	3902 Town Center Blvd	open
California Tortilla California Tortilla Qatar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3941 Evergreen Pkwy	open
Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	16431 Governor Bridge Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	15411 Excelsior Dr	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	15411 Excelsior Dr	open
Cheng And Wang Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3921 Evergreen Pkwy	open
Chessie's Chesapeake Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4500 Crain Hwy	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	16503 Ballpark Rd	open
Chicken Out Rotisserie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3916 Town Center Blvd	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	16401 Heritage Blvd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	15500 Excelsior Dr	open
Dairy Queen	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3878 Town Center Blvd #VC01	open
DC Charcoal Chicken Lima's Chicken - Hanover, Maryland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher	3552 Crain Hwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3544 Robert Crain Hwy	open
DuClaw Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		4000 Town Center Blvd	open
Elite Nutrition DMV	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	1344 Crain Hwy	open
First Watch First Watch	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	15471 Excelsior Drive	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	3851 Town Center Blvd	open
Folino Estate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		15633 Emerald Way	open
Getti's Island Spyce Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	3548 Crain Hwy	open
Gimmy Some Suga	Bakery	Bakery	3902 Town Center Blvd	open
Go To Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	3520 Crain Hwy	open
Great Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3852 Town Center Blvd Spc VC-15	open
Heaven Sent Cupcakery	Dessert	Dessert	3902 Town Center Blvd	open
Hibachi Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3856 Town Center Blvd	open
Hunan Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15712 Mt Oak Rd	open
Hungry Bowl Mongolian Grill Sushi & BBQ (AYCE)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	15207 Major Lansdale Blvd	open
Ichiban Sushi Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3921 Evergreen Pkwy	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	16451 Excalibur Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	16220 Marketplace Blvd	open
Jesus Is Merciful Food Service Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1344 Crain Hwy	open
Jimmy John's	Other	Sandwiches	15411 Excelsior Dr	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	4100 Town Center Blvd	open
Lovenese Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	15606 Emerald Way	open
M Lounge Studios	Bar		15619 Emerald Way	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4306 Crain Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		151 Robert Crain Hwy Sw	open
mezeh Mezeh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	15601 Emerald Way	open
Moh's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	15710 Mt Oak Rd	open
Noodles and Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · American	3916 Town Center Blvd	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4101 Town Center Blvd	open
On The Border Mexican Grill & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	16403 Heritage Blvd	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	15437 Excelsior Dr	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	3931 Town Center Blvd	open
Patuxent Restaurant Services Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4500 Crain Hwy	open
Peach Cobbler Factory - DMV Mobile Unit Peach Cobbler Factory Detroit	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	15606 Emerald Way	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	1322 Crain Highway Prince Georges	open
Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3900 Town Center Blvd	open
Quickway Japanese Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese		open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	15477 Excelsior Dr	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	16401 Heritage Boulevard	open
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Burgers · American	15650 Excelsior Dr	open
Rips Country Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3809 Crain Hwy	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	16451 Excalibur Rd	open
Ruby's Southern Comfort Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4410 Mitchellville Rd	open
Sardi's Pollo A La Brasa Sardi's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings	4001 Town Center Blvd	open
Shantoo Togetherness	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1290 Crain Hwy	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Delivery-focused	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	15407 Excelsior Dr.	open
Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Pizza · Coffee	4600 Mitchellville Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	810 Fairmont Drive	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4100 Northview Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	16501 Ballpark Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1344 Crain Highway Unit 18	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	16300 Heritage Blvd	open
Teavana	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	15535 Emerald Way	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		16451 Excalibur Rd	open
TGI Fridays	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	15207 Major Lansdale Blvd	open
The Twisted Crab The Twisted Crab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	15535 Emerald Way	open
Three Brothers Italian Restaurant Three Brothers Italian Restaurants - MD	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	15485 Excelsior Dr	open
Tony Roma's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15211 Major Lansdale Blvd	open
Town Center Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4201 Northview Dr	open
Tru Blue Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15211 Major Lansdale Blvd	open
Uno Pizzeria & Grill - Bowie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4001 Town Center Blvd. Bowie Town Center	open
Villa Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3864 Town Center Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	16400 Harbour Way	open
Wesley's Southern Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3852 Town Center Blvd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	15477 Excelsior Dr	open
Bj's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	16520 Ballpark Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	19	19	8	9	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	21	21	12	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	27	26	15	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	29	28	14	11	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	36	35	17	16	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	43	42	17	23	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	40	39	16	21	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	42	41	17	22	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	43	42	18	21	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	42	41	16	20	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	42	41	16	20	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	39	37	15	18	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	41	39	15	20	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	42	40	16	20	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	40	37	14	20	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	40	37	14	20	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	43	41	16	19	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	42	40	16	19	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	44	43	18	21	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	48	47	19	24	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	47	46	19	23	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	46	45	17	24	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	48	47	18	24	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	46	44	15	25	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	42	16	22	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	43	17	23	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20716. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20721	3.8 mi	14	2023
20715	4.3 mi	41	2023
20774	4.5 mi	38	2023
21035	4.8 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.