BMIE Market 20774

Prince George's County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	51,816 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	21,095 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±788 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	43,013 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	17,131 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$128,259 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,281 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$455,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20774
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+111.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+533.3% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 27–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20774. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	95.5	96	40%	+38.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.1	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	58.2	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	51,816	97	40%	+38.9
Median household income (ACS)	128,259	93	40%	+37.0
Households (ACS)	21,095	98	20%	+19.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-5	21	35%	+7.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.3	83	25%	+20.8
Population (ACS)	51,816	97	20%	+19.5
Median household income (ACS)	128,259	93	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.8	70	50%	+34.8
10-year restaurant growth	-5	21	30%	+6.3
20-year restaurant growth	111.1	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (91)

By cuisine

American 28 · Pizza 8 · Seafood 8 · Asian 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Chinese 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Burgers 3 · Caribbean 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Japanese 2 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 66 · Quick service 17 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Fast casual 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
America's Best Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	966 Largo Center Dr	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1000 Largo Center Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service		2030 St Josephs Dr	open
B'Licious	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Seafood		open
Bojangles	Quick service		1050 Largo Center Dr	open
BurnBox Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	36 Watkins Park Dr	open
Cafe Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9421 Largo Dr W	open
Calvert Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		15850 Commerce Ct	open
Canmoore Fresh Fruit Smoothies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10478 Campus Way S Ste 128	open
Capitol Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10428 Campus Way S	open
Carolina Kitchen Carolina Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	800 Shoppers Way	open
Charbroiled Chicken & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10426 Campus Way S	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	9430 Annapolis Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1040 Shoppers Way	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2 Watkins Park Dr	open
Chop Six	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	13710 Central Ave	open
Coaster Candy	Dessert		13710 Central Ave	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	880 Capital Centre Blvd, Ste C	open
Collington Kitchen	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	501 Commerce Dr	open
Crafty Crab Largo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	10560 Campus Way S	open
Crazy Horse Restaurant & Theatre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13710 Central Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	796 Harry S Truman Dr	open
El Rincón del Borrego (Mexican Food)	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	18811 Central Ave	open
Famous Dave	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Capital Centre Blvd	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	9680 Lottsford Ct	open
Fresh Green	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	32 Watkins Park Dr	open
Gladys Knight And Ron Winans Chicken And Waffles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	860 Capital Centre Blvd	open
Golden Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	832 Largo Center Dr	open
Golden Corral Golden Corral Buffet & Grill	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1001 Shoppers Way	open
Homeboy Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	10664 Campus Way S	open
House of Chang	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	64 Watkins Park Dr	open
Hunan China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	792 Harry S Truman Dr	open
Irie Cafe'- Jamaican Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	881 Capital Centre Blvd Ste A	open
Jasper's	Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	9640 Lottsford Ct	open
Jerry Yum's	Quick service	Chinese · American	10696 Campus Way S	open
Kayak's Fireside Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	102 Chartsey St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10 Watkins Park Drive	open
Kobe Japanese Steak Kobe's Japanese Steak House	Bar	Seafood · Japanese	860 Capital Centre Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	3511 Crain Highway	open
Largo Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	51Kettering Dr	open
Ledo Pizza Largo, MD - Largo Plaza Ledo Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10574 Campus Way S	open
Longhorn Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1100 Capital Centre Blvd	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	1100 Capital Centre Blvd	open
Manna Corporaye Deli Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1400 Mercantile Ln	open
Maryland's Fresh Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	62 Watkins Park Dr A	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1030 Largo Center Dr	open
Menchie's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10418 Campus Way S	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	9680 Lottsford Ct	open
Ninety Bistro and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9100 Basil Court	open
Olde Towne Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9421 Largo Dr W	open
OTI Largo, Largo, MD	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9421 Largo Dr W	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	9660 Lottsford Ct	open
Panda Express Panda Express	Quick service		155 Crain Hwy	open
Parham and Sarshid	Quick service		881 Capital Centre Blvd Ste G	open
Pepperidge Farm	Bakery	Bakery	1221 Caraway Ct	open
Peter's Carryout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	87 Kettering Dr	open
Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10672 Campus Way S	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10500 Campus Way Prince Georges	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		1020 Largo Center Drive	open
Reggiano's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	801 Shoppers Way	open
Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	820 Capital Centre Blvd Ste R	open
Rita’s of 73 Kettering Rd-Kettering MD Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Rock and Toss Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	908 Largo Center Dr	open
Sakura Hibachi and Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	10562 Campus Way S	open
Sandlot Largo	Bar		9490 Lottsford Road	open
Sapphire Kabob And Curry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Halal / kosher	62 Watkins Park Dr	open
Sk Watkins Park, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		48 Watkins Park Dr	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	48 Watkins Park Drive	open
Solomon's Porch Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		828 Largo Center Dr	open
Spiced Black	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	10420 Campus Way S	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	10500 Campus Way S	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10586 Campus Way S	open
Stonefish Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	880 Capital Centre Blvd Ste G	open
Stop Smack’N	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	51 Kettering Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	978 Largo Ctr Dr Unit # 29	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10428 Campus Way, Ste #3	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1006 Largo Center Dr	open
TGI Fridays TGI Fridays	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1101 Shoppers Way	open
The Corner Lounge	Bar		105 Crain Hwy	open
The Dinner A'Fare - Largo/Upper Marlboro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10416 Campus Way S	open
The Free State Distillery, Inc	Winery / distillery / taproom		1001 Prince Georges Blvd STE 200	open
The Grove Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	600 Bowieville Manor Ln	open
The Lavish Lounge	Bar		96 Harry S Truman Dr	open
Uniontown Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Uno Chicago Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1101 Shoppers Way	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8 Watkins Park Dr	open
Win SH	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	4921 W Desert Dr	open
Wings 21	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	10578 Campus Way S	open
Wow Bao	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · American	9680 Lottsford Ct	open
WOW Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 Shoppers Way	open
Xanadu Management And Consulting Corp. Dba Jaspers Largo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9640 Lottsford Ct	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	8	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	26	23	6	15	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	35	31	13	16	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	41	34	13	19	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	40	35	16	15	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	41	38	16	20	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	41	37	14	20	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	41	37	13	20	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	42	38	14	19	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	41	35	12	20	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	46	40	13	22	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	41	35	12	18	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	39	34	12	18	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	42	38	13	20	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	42	37	12	21	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	38	34	10	20	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	38	34	11	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	31	10	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	35	13	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	41	34	13	18	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	38	14	21	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20774. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20721	2.8 mi	14	2023
20716	4.5 mi	43	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.