BMIE Market 20794
Howard County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,814 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,928 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,098 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,202 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $116,406 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,032 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $426,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,818 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20794 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +31.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +38.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +107.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 29–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20794. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.2 | 81 | 40% | +32.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71.5 | 71 | 35% | +25.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 81.8 | 82 | 25% | +20.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,814 | 78 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,406 | 89 | 40% | +35.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,928 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.1 | 76 | 35% | +26.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.3 | 45 | 25% | +11.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,814 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,406 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 31.8 | 84 | 50% | +41.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.1 | 76 | 30% | +22.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 107.1 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
Mexican 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Coffee 8 · American 7 · Burgers 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 16 · Food truck 7 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antojitos La Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Mexican | 7915 Waterloo Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7410 Assateague Dr | open |
| Baltimore Crab Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 7901 Oceano Ave #54 | open |
| Beer Farm Distro | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 7901 Oceano Ave Unit 20-24 | open | |
| Billiards Sports | Bar · Casual dining | 8406 Washington Blvd | open | |
| Blob's Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 8024 Max Blobs Park Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7940 Washington Blvd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8775 Washington Blvd | open |
| CaribeExpress | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 8530 Washington Blvd Ste 10 | open |
| Cazabe Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 8801 Washington Blvd | open |
| China Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 8610 Washington Blvd Ste 105 | open |
| Coco's Butter Cafe | Café | Coffee | 7361 Assateague Dr Ste 1030 | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 8530 Washington Blvd | open |
| Country Pride Country Pride | Other · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 7401 Assateague Dr | open |
| Delicias Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 7855 Rappahanock Ave | open |
| Django's Hot Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 7351 Assateague Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee | 8600 Washington Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 7916 Dorsey Run Road | open |
| El Paisa Food Truck | Food truck | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 7150 Montevideo Rd | open |
| El Tucan Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7919 Dorsey Run Rd | open |
| G Cefalu & Brother | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 8005 Rappahanock Ave | open | |
| G&G Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7901 Waterloo Rd | open |
| Haagen Dazs | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8250 Preston Ct Ste F | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 7371 Assateague Dr | open |
| Jey's Subs and Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Pizza | 7351 Assateague Dr | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 8530 Washington Blvd Suite 1 | open |
| Jireth El Buen Gusto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 7260 Montevideo Rd | open |
| Jj McDonnell and Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 7901 Oceano Ave | open |
| Kay's Diner | Casual dining | American | 8221 Preston Ct | open |
| Kronheim Co Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8201 Stayton Dr | open | |
| Las Vegas Tex-mex Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7968 Washington Blvd | open |
| Lunch Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8221 Preston Ct | open | |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7081 Arundel Mills Cir | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7878 Pocomoke Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 8700 Washington Blvd | open |
| Morning Star Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Breakfast | 7916 Dorsey Run Rd | open |
| OLD LINE BBQ | Jessup MD | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2846 Jessup Rd | open |
| Orinoco Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 8265 Patuxent Range Rd suite l | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 7351 Assateague Drive Suite #10 Suite #10 | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2849 Jessup Road | open |
| Perfect Break Systems | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10630 Riggs Hill Rd | open | |
| Pizzeria Santa Lucia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8610 Washington Blvd | open |
| Pollo Fuego | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7351 Assateague Dr #280 | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 8520 Washington Blvd | open |
| Pupuseria Vanessa | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8806 Washington Blvd | open |
| Rardin Restaurants, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8017 Dorsey Run Rd Ste A1 | open | |
| RNDC | Quick service · Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Salvadorean Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 7810 Clark Rd TRLR A3 | open | |
| Sdr Management, Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8017 Dorsey Run Rd Ste A1 | open | |
| Spurrier's Restaurant and Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 7900 Washington Blvd | open | |
| Squisito Too | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7351 Assateague Dr, 7351 Assateague Dr | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 7351 Assateague Dr | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8610 Washington Blvd #108 | open |
| Super Antojitos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 7968 Washington Blvd | open |
| Sushi Q7 Sushi Q3 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8530 Washington Blvd Unit 8&9 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 8620 Washington Blvd | open |
| Taqueria Los Primos 2 | Food truck | Mexican | 8167 Washington Blvd | open |
| Taqueria Los Primos Truck 1 | Food truck | Mexican | 8802 Washington Blvd | open |
| The Cake Faerie | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 79 Jane Court | open |
| Wayne's Hot Dog Stand | Food truck | Hot dogs | 7901-7973 Oceano Ave | open |
| Wnb Factory - Wings & Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7351 Assateague Dr Ste 110 | open |
| Woody's Liquor & Bar | Bar | 8806 Washington Blvd | open | |
| ZiZa Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 7351 Assateague Dr #100 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 31 | 28 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 29 | 26 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 16 | 6 | 9 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 9 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 26 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 19 | 3 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 24 | 22 | — | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 22 | 20 | — | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 29 | 7 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |