BMIE Market 21046
Howard County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,608 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,065 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,165 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,080 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,262 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $127,813 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $479,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,828 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21046 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +21.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21046. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.4 | 83 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.9 | 63 | 35% | +22.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 45.8 | 46 | 25% | +11.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,608 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 127,813 | 92 | 40% | +37.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,165 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 52 | 35% | +18.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.9 | 43 | 25% | +10.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,608 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 127,813 | 92 | 20% | +18.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 52 | 30% | +15.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 21.7 | 47 | 20% | +9.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (75)
By cuisine
American 12 · Sandwiches 9 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 5 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · BBQ 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · Vegetarian 2 · African 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 12 · Bar 10 · Dessert 7 · Specialty food shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 3 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby's Gourmet Deli | Specialty food shop · Café · Quick service | Sandwiches · Coffee | 6724 Alexander Bell Dr | open |
| Abby's Market Cafe | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 7160 Riverwood Dr | open |
| African Delight Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10400 Shaker Dr | open | |
| Aida Bistro & Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 6741 Columbia Gateway Dr | open |
| Anegada Delights Caribbean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Caribbean · American | 9861 Broken Land Pkwy | open |
| Applecore's Bake Shoppe | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 9693 Gerwig Ln Ste F | open |
| Barstool Bites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open | |
| Bennett's Grill | Food truck | Caribbean · BBQ | 8200 John McAdam Dr | open |
| Bertucci's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open |
| Best Hunan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 8630 Guilford Rd | open |
| Black Flag Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 9315 Snowden River Pkwy | open | |
| Bold Afrika | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 10015 Old Columbia Rd | open |
| Bombay Peacock Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 10005 Old Columbia Rd | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9061 Snowden River Pkwy | open |
| Brew House Express | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7031 Columbia Gateway Dr | open |
| Bullhead Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 9570 Berger Rd Ste K | open |
| Cafe Gateway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6841 Benjamin Franklin Dr | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9851 Broken Land Pkwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7185 Columbia Gateway Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 10430 Shaker Dr | open |
| Dwaraka's Bawarchi Indian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian · Vegetarian | 7185 Columbia Gateway Dr | open |
| Eat Well Stay Well | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10296 Shaker Dr | open | |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open | |
| Frito-Lay Frito-Lay - The Boston Zone | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 7075 Samuel Morse Dr | open | |
| Gdit | Bar | 9820 Patuxent Woods Dr | open | |
| Green Gate Gourmet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9693 Gerwig Lane Ste F | open | |
| Greene Turtle Franchising | Bar | 6990 Columbia Gateway Dr Ste 120 | open | |
| Grotto Pizza Grotto Pizza Delaware Beaches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7075 Minstrel Way | open |
| Guy Fieri's Flavortown Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open |
| Hilltop Hearth Bakeries | Bakery | Bakery | 9755 Patuxent Woods Dr | open |
| Huntington Deli & Market | Quick service · Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 7635 Murray Hill Rd # B | open |
| Hysteria Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 9570 Berger Rd Ste J | open | |
| IHOP Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9520 Berger Rd | open |
| Jack and Jills Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6751 Alexander Bell Dr | open |
| Jae's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7085 Samuel Morse Dr | open |
| Jae's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 221 Lee Deforest Dr | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 9851 Broken Land Pwky Suite 300 | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 7075 Minstrel Way Ste. 200 | open |
| KBR | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 7000 Columbia Gateway Dr | open |
| Larray's Loaded Mac | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open | |
| Lee's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6350 Stevens Forest Rd | open |
| Lost Ark Distilling Company | Winery / distillery / taproom | 9570 Berger Rd Ste L | open | |
| Mahana Fresh Mahana Fresh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian | 9851 Broken Land Pkwy Ste 200 | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 8600 Guilford Road | open |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open | |
| Nascar Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9081 Snowden River Pkwy | open | |
| Old Line Kitchen & Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6741 Columbia Gateway Dr | open |
| Orinoco Coffee & Tea | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 7190 Oakland Mills Rd Ste 7 | open |
| Oversea Distillery and Bar | Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom | 9315 Snowden River Pkwy Ste J | open | |
| Peking Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7060 Oakland Mills Rd | open |
| Pepsi Bottling Group | Bar | 7095 Samuel Morse Dr | open | |
| Pepsico | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 7095 Samuel Morse Dr #300 | open | |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7060 Oakland Mills Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Of Maryland, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7070 Oakland Mills Rd | open | |
| Pollo Campero Pollo Campero USA | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 9061 Snowden River Pkwy | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 9071 Snowden River Parkway | open |
| Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 9011 Snowden Sq Dr S | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8640 Guilford Road, Center Suite B-10 | open |
| Rita’s of Kings Contrivance Village Center MD Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Roma's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 10400 Shaker Dr | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9071 Snowden River Pkwy | open |
| Rudy's Mediterranean Grill and Turkish Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 7185 Columbia Gateway Dr | open |
| Sky Breakers Lounge | Bar | 7101 Natures Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 8620 Guilford Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 8640 Guilford Rd | open |
| Sushi Nari | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8640 Guilford Rd | open |
| Taqueria La Patrona | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 6300 Stevens Forest Rd | open |
| The Big Greek Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 8874 McGaw Rd | open |
| The Corner Stable | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 8630 Guilford Rd | open |
| The Kings Contrivance | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · European | 10150 Shaker Dr | open |
| Touche Touchet Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 10400 Shaker Dr | open |
| Trattoria E Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 8630 Guilford Rd C70 | open |
| White Oak Tavern | Bar | European | 6445 Belleview Dr | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 9011 Snowden River Pkwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 36 | 32 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 29 | 9 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 32 | 28 | 9 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 33 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 26 | 8 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 29 | 25 | 9 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 32 | 26 | 9 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 32 | 28 | 11 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 28 | 10 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 25 | 9 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 28 | 11 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2022 |