BMIE Market 20854
Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 50,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,603 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 16,751 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±735 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 49,611 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 17,262 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,165,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,922 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 33.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 60 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20854 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +30.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 66 (range 62–70) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 98 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20854. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 97.8 | 98 | 40% | +39.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77.7 | 78 | 35% | +27.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 62.6 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 98 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 50,498 | 97 | 40% | +38.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 40% | +39.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 16,751 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 35% | +22.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.9 | 65 | 25% | +16.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 50,498 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 20% | +20.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.1 | 66 | 50% | +33.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 30% | +18.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 30.4 | 52 | 20% | +10.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (87)
By cuisine
American 18 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 7 · Italian 7 · Pizza 7 · Burgers 6 · Asian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Mediterranean 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Sushi 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · French 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Bar 11 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 8 · Café 8 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Fast casual 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addie's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 12435 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| Amici Miei Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1093 Seven Locks Rd | open | |
| Attman's Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7913 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Attman's Potomac Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 12505 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| Bagels 'n Grinds | Bakery | Bakery | 9812 Falls Rd | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1079 Seven Locks Road | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7909 Tuckerman Ln Ctr, Cabin John Shopping Ctr | open |
| Benny's Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7747 Tuckerman Ln | open | |
| Bethesda Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 7951 Tuckerman Lane, Unit A | open |
| Bezu | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | French · American | 9812 Falls Rd | open |
| BGR - The Burger Joint | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7949 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Boulangerie Christophe | Bakery | Bakery | 11317 Seven Locks Rd | open |
| Breadsmith | Bakery | Bakery | 7937 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Broadway Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 7965 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Brooklyn's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1089 Seven Locks Rd | open |
| Cabin John Shake Shack | Quick service | 7997 Tuckerman Lane | open | |
| California Tortilla California Tortilla Qatar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7727 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Capo Italian Deli Capo Italian Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 7731 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| CAVA CAVA | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Mediterranean · Healthy / salads / bowls | 7991 Tuckerman Lane | open |
| China Gourmet Bistro Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7945 Tuckerman Ln | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 10116 River Rd Unit B | open |
| CHOPT | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Colada Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 7993 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Colony Grill Colony Grill - Fairfield | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 11325 Seven Locks Rd | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 12962 Travilah Rd | open |
| Duke's Grocery Duke's Counter | Casual dining · Bar | British / Irish pub food · Burgers | 10128 River Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 7739 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Elevation Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 12525 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| En Bistro & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 9945 Falls Rd | open |
| Falls Rd.& River Rd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 10124 River Rd | open |
| Filicori Zecchini Filicori Zecchini | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Italian | 12430 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| FireWok Potomac | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 9812 Falls Rd #104 | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9812 Falls Rd. | open |
| From Miami with Love Pura Vida Miami - West Palm Beach | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7993 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Goldberg's New York Bagels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Halal / kosher | 7731 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Gopo Grill @ Potomac Swim & Tennis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 10531 Oaklyn Dr | open |
| Grand Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 350 Fortune Terrace | open |
| Gregorio's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 12505 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| Gregorio's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 7745 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Gringos & Mariachis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12435 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| Hunter's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 10123 River Rd | open |
| Jsb Restaurant Management Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10123 River Rd | open | |
| Kema by KENAKI | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 11325 Seven Locks Rd Ste 115 | open |
| Kims' Yirasai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 12525 Park Potomac Ave Unit D Bldg G | open |
| King Street Oyster Bar King Street Oyster Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 12435 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| Lahinch Tavern and Grill | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 7747 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Le Pain Quotidien | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 7993 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| LifeCafe | Café | Coffee | 1151 Seven Locks Rd | open |
| Lock 72 Kitchen & Bar | Bar | 10128 River Rd | open | |
| Maryland Catering Co Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10801 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Maurizio's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 10120 River Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 11301 Seven Locks Rd | open |
| Mirch Masala | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 9702 Glynshire Way | open |
| Moby Dick House Of Kabob Cabin John | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 11325 Seven Locks Rd Suite 180 | open |
| Moby Dick House of Kabobb Moby Dick House of Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 9812 Falls Rd #102 | open |
| MoCo's Founding Farmers Founding Farmers | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 12505 Park Potomac Ave | open |
| Mykonos Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 7965 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Nam International | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10220 River Rd | open | |
| New Normandie Farm Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10710 Falls Rd | open | |
| Old Anglers Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10801 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Pama Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 12525-B Park Potomac Ave | open |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 7733 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Pomegranate Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7943 Tuckerman Ln | open | |
| Potomac Pizza Potomac Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9812 Falls Rd | open |
| Quincy's Potomac Bar & Grille | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1093 Seven Locks Rd | open |
| Restaurant Zone Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10220 River Rd | open |
| Shake Shack Shake Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 7997 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Shanghai Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 12944 Travilah Rd | open |
| Sisters Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 7995 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 10116 River Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1087 Seven Locks Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | Shopping Center, 7911 Tuckerman Lane Cabin John | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 7825 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Tally Ho Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Pizza · Coffee | 9923 Falls Rd | open |
| The Bar Mitzvah Experience | Bar | 12004 Titian Way | open | |
| The Grilled Oyster Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7943 Tuckerman Ln | open | |
| The Grove Potomac | Bar | American | 7747 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| The Pony Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9600 Newbridge Dr | open |
| The Scoop Ice Creams | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7909 Tuckerman Ln | open |
| Tony's Kitchen & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Chinese | 8888 Falls Rd | open |
| Vie De France Bakery & Cafe Vie De France - Costa Mesa | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · French · Dessert | 10146 River Rd | open |
| Whelan's Potomac | Bar | 9812 Falls Rd #106 | open | |
| Your Mom's Lost Virginity | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza | 8615 Timber Hill Ln | open |
| Zoës Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 12505 Park Potomac Ave Ste 120 | open |
| Sprinkles Potomac Sprinkles | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery | 10148 River Rd | closed |
| Sweetly Anchored Patisserie | Bakery | Bakery | 11325 Seven Locks Rd Ste 104 | closed |
| Tami's Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12944 Travilah Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 42 | 42 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 38 | 38 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 41 | 41 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 43 | 43 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 43 | 40 | 18 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 49 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 9 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 48 | 45 | 23 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 54 | 49 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 54 | 49 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 53 | 46 | 20 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 54 | 47 | 20 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 52 | 47 | 20 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 53 | 46 | 19 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 51 | 47 | 18 | 20 | 8 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 46 | 42 | 19 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 44 | 40 | 16 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 50 | 44 | 18 | 19 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 51 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 52 | 46 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 58 | 50 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 60 | 52 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 63 | 56 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 60 | 51 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 61 | 55 | 26 | 19 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 63 | 55 | 24 | 20 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 65 | 57 | 23 | 22 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 68 | 61 | 26 | 25 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 67 | 60 | 28 | 21 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 66 | 59 | 27 | 22 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 68 | 60 | 26 | 25 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |