BMIE Market 20895
Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,054 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,475 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $173,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,225 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,113 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $781,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20895 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -22.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -17.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 16–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20895. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.3 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.1 | 56 | 35% | +19.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 37 | 37 | 25% | +9.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,184 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,625 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,991 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -20 | 14 | 35% | +4.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.5 | 62 | 25% | +15.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,184 | 81 | 20% | +16.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,625 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 4.4 | 61 | 50% | +30.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -20 | 14 | 30% | +4.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -22.6 | 13 | 20% | +2.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (72)
By cuisine
Coffee 12 · Bakery 7 · American 6 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · Mediterranean 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · French 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Café 9 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Delivery-focused 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1101 K Street Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10400 Connecticut Ave Ste 208 | open | |
| 2401 Restaurant Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10400 Connecticut Ave Ste 208 | open | |
| All About Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10560 Metropolitan Ave | open | |
| Amateur Radio On The International Space Station | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10605 Concord St | open | |
| Babycat Brewery | Brewery / taproom | 10241 Kensington Pkwy | open | |
| Baklava Couture | Bakery | Bakery | 10560 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Bamboo Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Coffee | 4222 Howard Ave | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 10592b Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10541 Connecticut Ave | open | |
| Bertucci's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 11301 Rockville Pike | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 10619B Connecticut Avenue | open |
| Bump 'n Grind | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4120 Howard Ave | open |
| Buns N Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 10509 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Cafe Medrano | Coffee shop | Coffee | 10400 Connecticut Ave Ste 308 | open |
| Carmen's Italian Ice of Kensington | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 10309 Kensington Pkwy | open |
| Chef Jess Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10560 Metropolitan Ave | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 10526 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Continental Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 10532 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Crisp and Juicy Crisp & Juicy Kensington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 10534 Connecticut Ave | open |
| deliClub Kensington | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3750 Howard Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 5268 E. Nicholson Lane | open |
| Donut King Donut King | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Dessert | Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery | 3727 University Blvd W | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 10625 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Fat Nomads | Food truck | 3700 University Blvd W | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 10510 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Founding Farmers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10605 Concord St | open | |
| Frankly Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 10417 Armory Ave | open |
| Hibachi Express Japanese Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 10508 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Hiro Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 5268 Nicholson Ln | open |
| Homa Inc Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3701 University Blvd W | open | |
| Hong Kong Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 10510 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Il Pinito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5071 Nicholson Ln. | open |
| Itsy bitsy bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 10419 amory avenue | open |
| J. Chow's | Café | Coffee | 11301 Rockville Pike | open |
| Java Nation Java Nation | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 10516 Connecticut Ave | open |
| JennyCakes Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 10419 Armory Ave | open |
| Julie's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 10562 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| K Town Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 3784 Howard Ave | open |
| Kensington Pizza & Kabob House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Mediterranean | 3701 University Blvd W | open |
| Knowles Station Wine & Co | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10414 Detrick Ave | open | |
| La Gelatteria | Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 10414 Detrick Ave | open |
| Manny's Pizza and Sub Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 10592 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2741 University Blvd W | open |
| Mussel Bar Arlington Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10400 Connecticut Ave Ste 208 | open | |
| Old Town Market | Café | Coffee | 10251 Kensington Pkwy | open |
| Pats Grill and Chill | Café · Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · Coffee | open | |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10707 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 10414 Detrick Ave | open |
| Potomac Falls Tavern Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10400 Connecticut Ave Ste 208 | open | |
| Potomac Sweets | Bakery | Bakery | 10419 Armory Ave | open |
| Red Ginger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 10525 Summit Ave | open |
| Rw Restaurant Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10400 Connecticut Ave | open | |
| Rw Restaurant Ltd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10400 Connecticut Ave | open | |
| Sckk Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10509 Metropolitan Ave | open | |
| Sineti Restaurant Goup Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5268 Nicholson Ln | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 10541 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 10821 Connecticut Ave | open |
| Stella Point Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | Chinese · American | 3739 University Blvd W | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 5210 Nicholson Ln | open |
| Sushi Toro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5268 Nicholson Ln Ste P | open |
| Talia's Cuzina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mediterranean · American | 10560 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Talia's Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mediterranean · American | 10562 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| The Big Greek Cafe Big Greek Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 5268 Nicholson Ln | open |
| The Cheesecake Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 11301 Rockville Pike Ste 148 | open |
| The Country Cupboard Tea Room | Other | Sandwiches | 3750 Howard Ave Ste 1 | open |
| The Dish and Dram | Casual dining · Bar | 10301 Kensington Pkwy | open | |
| The Karib | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Caribbean | open | |
| Vie de France Bakery Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 5218 Nicholson Ln | open |
| Wu Mountain Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 3912 Kincaid Terrace | open |
| Yoga In A Bowl | Food truck · Delivery-focused | Indian | 10812 St Paul St | open |
| Pizza Brothers East Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2813 University Blvd W | closed |
| Two Pears Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10417 Armory Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 29 | 29 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 31 | 31 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 34 | 34 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 38 | 38 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 31 | 9 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 36 | 32 | 10 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 12 | 8 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 35 | 31 | 8 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 39 | 35 | 9 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 31 | 8 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 30 | 8 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 30 | 28 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 27 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 26 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 18 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 33 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 23 | 6 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 28 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |