BMIE Market 20905

Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,636 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,899 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±496 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,044 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,977 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$159,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,105 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$656,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,608 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20905
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20905. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.4	86	40%	+34.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.6	82	35%	+28.6
Market Momentum Score	74.9	75	25%	+18.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,004	81	40%	+32.2
Median household income (ACS)	159,740	97	40%	+38.8
Households (ACS)	5,899	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	35%	+24.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.8	85	25%	+21.2
Population (ACS)	19,004	81	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	159,740	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	30%	+21.3
20-year restaurant growth	85.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bear Brick Oven Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15410 New Hampshire Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	15421 New Hampshire Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	15509 New Hampshire Ave	open
Fusion Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	15535 New Hampshire Ave	open
Fusion De Sabor	Food truck	Mexican	15541 New Hampshire Ave	open
Greek Islands Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	15410 New Hampshire Ave	open
Indochine Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Halal / kosher · Asian	15416 New Hampshire Ave	open
Kabob N Karahi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Middle Eastern	15521 New Hampshire Ave	open
La Cocina de la Abuela	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	15541 New Hampshire Ave	open
Lin's Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	734 Cloverly St	open
Miss Fiba World 2022 2030	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1379 Elm Grove Cir	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15410 New Hampshire Ave	open
Pocket Bar	Bar			open
Reddemeade	Bar		1701 Ednor Rd	open
Silver Spring Dream Dinners	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)		720 Cloverly St	open
Siriwan Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	736 Cloverly St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	15449 New Hampshire Ave Safeway-Silve R Spg # 1565	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	728 Cloverly St	open
Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	730 Cloverly St	open
Wings Creations Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15412 New Hampshire Ave # A	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	12	5	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	1	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20905. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20868	1.8 mi	1	2016
20861	2.7 mi	5	2023
20904	2.8 mi	69	2023
20866	2.9 mi	28	2023
20860	3.8 mi	1	2016
20906	3.9 mi	70	2023
20759	4.3 mi	14	2023
20777	4.6 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.