BMIE Market 20866
Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,849 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±455 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,344 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,652 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $140,308 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,686 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,285 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $446,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,720 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20866 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -9.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +12.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +64.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +115.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 26–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20866. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.9 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.1 | 65 | 35% | +22.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 40.7 | 41 | 25% | +10.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,986 | 78 | 40% | +31.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,308 | 95 | 40% | +37.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,033 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.5 | 44 | 25% | +11.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,986 | 78 | 20% | +15.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,308 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -9.7 | 19 | 50% | +9.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12 | 56 | 30% | +16.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 64.7 | 72 | 20% | +14.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (47)
By cuisine
American 6 · Coffee 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Indian 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Pizza 3 · African 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 11 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abokina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | African | 14900 Blackburn Rd | open |
| Ahadu Ethiopian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 15510 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Barra Brava Cevicheria Peruana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 15420 Old Columbia Pike B | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 15640 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Biryani Joint Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 15504 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 15500 B Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 15703 Columbia Pike | open |
| Centrado Café Shop | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 15530 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Chapala Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 15530 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Chel's kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 4 Saddle Creek Ct | open | |
| Chicken Basket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 15452 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 15701 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Cuba De Ayer Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Caribbean | 15446 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 15530 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Eggspectation - Burtonsville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 15701 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Goodies Carryout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 15420 Old Columbia Pike D | open |
| Goodies Kitchen Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15420 Old Columbia Pike Ste D # Suites | open | |
| Hunan Manor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 15504 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 15614 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Khana - Claypot Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 15616 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Kim's Hunan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15739 Columbia Pike | open | |
| Maiwand Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 15508 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 15569 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Moby Dick House of Kabob Burtonsville Moby Dick House of Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 15783 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Mora Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15508 Old Columbia Pike | open | |
| Naz's Halal Food Naz's Halal Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 15636 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Old Hickory Grille | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 15420 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 15430 Old Columbia Pike Ste A | open |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 15731 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Quick service | 15731 Old Columbia Road, Unit 180 | open | |
| Restaurant 198 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 15540 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 15430 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Rita’s of Burtonsville MD Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Roy Rogers Roy Rogers | Quick service | American · Burgers | 15662 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Royal Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 15504 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Seibel's Restaurant and UpTown Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 15540 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Seibels Dairy Bar Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15540 Old Columbia Pike | open | |
| Soni And Sons Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15440 Old Columbia Pike | open | |
| Squisito Pizza & Pasta Squisito Too, Pizza, Pasta and MORE | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 15654 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 15658 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 15500 Old Columbia Pike Ste B | open |
| Sunup Distributors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3641 Turbridge Dr | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 15670 Columbia Pike | open |
| The Greene Turtle Sports Bar and Grille The Greene Turtle | Bar · Casual dining | 15660 Old Columbia Pike | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 15638 Old Columbia Pike | open |
| Wenny's Carryout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 943 Washington Blvd | open |
| Zen Asian Grill & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 15602 Old Columbia Pike | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 23 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 23 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 24 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 23 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 27 | 9 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 29 | 9 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 28 | 9 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |